United States vs Canada World Cup Qualifying Prediction, Odds & Picks

Written by: Cesar Hernandez
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
United States Vs Canada World Cup
  • A lack of World Cup qualifying experience for the USMNT could lead to another tie
  • Canada should be a strenuous opponent through a couple of their proficient names
  • Can Canada break a winless streak that has existed since the 1950s?

[odds data-token=’eC92eEh1HEScmQu7EzwvrzigJZvnWlSMv8dP2Gh8′ class=’odds-1-centered’ data-lang=’en’ data-odds-format=’american’]

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United States vs Canada Odds

The odds for this match are provided by PointsBet. Click on the odds below to head to PointsBet and place a bet.

Team Match Winner
United States -182
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Tie +300
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Canada +475
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United States vs Canada Predictions and Picks

Both teams are coming off ties in their start to Concacaf’s final round of World Cup qualifying.

On Thursday night, the U.S. men’s national team battled it out against El Salvador but couldn’t find the back of the net in an away 0-0 draw.

As for Canada on the same night, a late surge in the 2nd half helped equalize the scoreline but wasn’t enough to push them past the eventual 1-1 result at home against Honduras.

An unlucky evening for both the United States and Canada, or perhaps a sign of things to come?

Things are expectedly tense in the Concacaf region at the start of qualifying, and for most, nobody will want to leave much room for error or mistakes.

Although the USMNT should be aiming for a win, they’ll be well aware of the damage that Canada could do through some of their world-class players.

This will be a close one.

Pick:

The draw for the United States vs Canada.

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Canada had a bit of a scary start to World Cup qualifying.

After being caught off-guard by an adventurous Honduras that took a 1-0 lead in the 1st half, Canada eventually reorganized themselves in the final 45 minutes.

Through a 3-5-2 formation, midfielder Richie Laryea started to take charge, winger Alphonso Davies began to find space, and up top, Cyle Larin equalized the scoreline in the 66th minute.

An eventual game-winner never arrived, but Canada should still hold their heads up high for a strong finish to the game that included 11 shots in the 2nd half.

As for the United States, somewhat of a similar story unfolded.

In their away match, they went back-and-forth with El Salvador before eventually slowing down in the 2nd half.

Neither side were able to find a game-winner, and by the final minutes, it appeared as though a draw was inevitable.

All that said, a win should now be expected for the USMNT, right?

They’ll be hosting the next game and should be eager to bounce back after starting off with a draw.

And yet, it could be surprisingly tough for them once again to claim three points.

USMNT Have Promising But Inexperienced Names

It’s difficult to measure the importance of understanding games like these.

Unlike statistics like possession, shots, or xG, experience is invaluable and absolutely immeasurable during World Cup qualifying.

There’s undoubtedly a lot of excitement regarding the USMNT, and they’ll eventually develop into some incredible players, but for the time being, they’re going through some growing pains.

A generational shift is happening in the USMNT.

And through that process, they might struggle in away games, or even at home this weekend, against teams like Canada that have some mesmerizing names in the frontline.

Canadian Attackers Should Keep This Interesting

At his best, there are few left wingers or left backs in the soccer world that are as dangerous as Alphonso Davies.

Up top, Jonathan David is another star-in-the-making with 15 goals in 17 appearances for Canada.

Elsewhere, there’s much to like about what Canada have to offer in their frontline.

Outside of Mexico, Canada will be the most threatening opponent that the USMNT have to deal with during World Cup qualifying.

After failing to clinch three points at home, they should be more than motivated to test the United States.

That Said, Away Wins Are Uncommon For Canada Against United States

It’s a fascinating statistic but something that should be noted.

In order to find the last time that Canada defeated the USMNT in the United States during a World Cup qualifier, you would have to go back to 1957.

Of every away win in the history of World Cup qualifying in the Concacaf region, none has gone further than that of Canada’s win from over 60 years ago.

There’s a lot of potential for the Canadian side, but like the USMNT, they have much to prove.

How to Watch United States vs Canada

United States vs Canada Information
Teams United States vs Canada
Location Nissan Stadium (Nashville, Tennessee)
Time Sunday, September 5th at 5:00 pm PT/8:00 pm ET
How to Watch FS1, TUDN, UniMas

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Cesar Hernandez

Soccer Betting Analyst

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Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast.
Nationality: American
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