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Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Prediction: Top Contenders Collide on Matchday Five

Published: February 6, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
4 min read
  • Liga MX title holders, Toluca have amassed eight points through four matches 

  • Cruz Azul hope to stay within striking distance of first place sitting with three victories early on

Saturday afternoon, a clash between two prolific sides in the Mexican game is set to take place at Estadio Nemesio Diez as Toluca welcomes Cruz Azul. Entering this fixture, these two are only separated by one point in the standings, which sees the hosts with the upper hand. 

Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Toluca vs. Cruz Azul.

Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Betting Odds for Saturday, February 7

The indicated odds has set both teams to score as the most likely scenario priced at -150. If neither side scores, the market is listed at +110.

Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Odds

The odds for Toluca vs. Cruz Azul in this article are taken from the bet365 sportsbook. Sign up for a bet365 account today with our promo code WSN365 and get $200 in bonus bets.

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Both teams to score Odds
Yes-150
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No+110
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Toluca vs. Cruz Azul 2026 02 07

Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Betting Prediction

Toluca Preview

Antonio Mohamed’s troops will look to keep their unbeaten record intact on Saturday, but hoping to secure maximum points after they have produced two scoreless draws in consecutive weeks. If there is any excuse for the Red Devils failing to find the back of the net, both snakebitten performances occurred away from home. Last weekend, Toluca was unable to capitalize, finishing the match with an extra man up against Puebla, which saw Nicholás Díaz shown a red card in the 63rd minute.

Sharing the achievement in a three-way tie, obtaining last season's Golden Boot, Toluca star striker Paulinho is off to a sluggish start. After hitting the back of the net on 12 occasions during the previous term, the 33-year-old has yet to feature on the scorers’ sheet. It’s not for a lack of chances, as Paulinho is averaging 3.67 shots towards the target per 90. Listed as doubtful for Saturday, the club's current leading goal scorer with two, attacking winger Helinho, could miss his second straight match.

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Cruz Azul Preview

Over the weekend Nicolás Larcamón and his colleagues were involved in the highest scoring match early in the 2026 Clausura. La Máquina took their talents on the road and walked away with a 4-3 win over FC Juárez, which saw Jose Paradela earn Player of the Match honours. During his 67-minute shift, the 27-year-old midfielder scored and assisted, helping his side secure all three points. 

Amongst the top goal contributors in the competition in these early stages, Cruz Azul’s very own Gabriel Fernández is off to a blistering start, cataloging a goal and three assists through 336 minutes performed on the pitch. The only blemish for Fernández on Friday’s display was picking up a second yellow card in the 82nd minute, which will leave him absent for this week’s tilt.

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Toluca vs. Cruz Azul - My Pick

We envision both starting keepers being breached on Saturday, as the pair of combatants in this fixture retain quality in their attacking capabilities. Toluca is just too talented to be left off the scoreboard for a third consecutive time; they are due to set off some fireworks, especially returning to their home faithful. Cruz Azul, who have a depth-filled roster and enjoy no shortage of options, should manage to sneak in at least one as the club averages 2 goals per match.

Already surrendering five goals, we sense La Máquina could be a bit discombobulated on defence as they are involved in the CONCACAF Champions Cup on Wednesday. With the expedition to face Vancouver FC of the Canadian Premier League, the short week may put Cruz Azul at a disadvantage.

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How to Watch Toluca vs. Cruz Azul

  • When: February 7, 6 pm ET 

  • Where: Estadio Nemesio Diez

  • TV: Univision Networks (Univision, UniMás, TUDN), CBS Sports, ViX

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Angelo Zarra WSN Contributor

Angelo Zarra

Soccer Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLS
Liga MX
Betting Picks
Hailing from the great white north in Canada, over the last 15 years, Angelo has been wagering on sports and, more specifically, the sport that’s in his blood, soccer. Well-versed in soccer leagues across the globe, keeping tabs on what’s happening in the world of soccer. Since 2022, Angelo has published MLS betting previews on various websites, including on Major League Soccer's official betting page for a short while. Through the power of social media, Angelo has been invited to talk soccer betting on national TV & radio on Sports Grid. In Angelo’s free time, he can be found walking his dog and lounging at home watching any game that's on while enjoying his second favourite thing after sports: food! 
Email: angelo.zarra@wsn.com
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Accounting and Payroll
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