The Steelers beat the Patriots last week to advance to 2-1
Aaron Rodgers is second in the NFL in touchdown passes with seven
Rodgers threw for 139 yards last week against the Patriots
The Pittsburgh Steelers aren’t going to be an AFC Championship contender, but they’re still 2-1 after three weeks of games. Aaron Rodgers has been one of the biggest reasons for the team’s success.
The quarterback isn’t lighting up the stat sheet, but he is playing very efficiently. I have identified three props for Rodgers on bet365 for his game against the Vikings in London.
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Aaron Rodgers has a massive challenge on his hands this week against the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings have one of the best defenses in the NFL because of their talent and defensive coordinator Brian Flores.
Flores’ schemes can confuse the most experienced quarterbacks in the NFL, and we have seen this year after year. Flores’ unit was very impressive last week against the Bengals.
They made Jake Browning and Cincinnati’s offense tapout early in the contest, and it was over from the start. The Vikings won 48-10, and they forced five turnovers over the course of the game.
They had two defensive touchdowns as well, so Minnesota is riding high into Ireland on Sunday. Since this game is overseas, virtually making this a short week, I believe both offenses will establish their rushing attack.
Pittsburgh has leaned on the run game this season, and worked Rodgers' play action into the mix. This should be the approach on Sunday because the Vikings will pick Rodgers apart if Pittsburgh and tries to throw the ball downfield.
Rodgers has gone over this line twice this season, but one of the hits was only 203 yards. He threw for 139 yards last week against the Patriots, and his average completion is barely over six yards this season.
The Vikings stop long completions, allowing just 141.3 yards per game. They should have no problem against Rodgers.
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Rodgers is tied for second in the NFL with seven touchdown passes through three games, but he has faced the Jets, Seahawks and Patriots. There is some talent amongst these defenses, but it isn’t comparable to the Vikings.
Minnesota has talent throughout their front seven and secondary that is very well coached. Because of Rodgers' low yards per completion, the Steelers will have to be in the red zone for him to have a legitimate chance at throwing touchdowns.
The Vikings are allowing just 18.7 points per game, so they have been very strong in the red zone. If Pittsburgh’s trips to the red zone are limited, chances are they won’t be 100% in this area of the field.
Minnesota’s ability to hold opponents to field goals should keep Rodgers under his passing touchdowns line.
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Rodgers is the most experienced quarterback in the NFL at this point in his career. Experience translates to less turnovers and smarter play for quarterbacks, and this is where Rodgers can shine against the Vikings.
Minnesota is very hard to beat schematically because they’re always disguising their looks and bringing pressure. Browning didn’t know what hit him last week in his game against the Vikings, but this shouldn’t be the case for Rodgers.
I expect the Steelers to have a vanilla gameplan so Minnesota can’t get in confusing looks on third down. Pittsburgh should trust their defense and not force the ball into harms way offensively.
Rodgers' average completion is just over six yards, so it’s much harder to make a mistake at this distance. If Rodgers isn’t airing the ball down the field, it will limit his chances of turnovers.
The quarterback has three interceptions this season, but I expect him to elevate his play against one of the best defenses in the NFL.
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Passing Yards: 586
Passing Touchdowns: 7
Completion Percentage: 65.1
QBR: 44.8
Interceptions: 3
NFL Week 4 Picks Against the Spread
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