Best Bears vs. Steelers Prop Bets: Will Aaron Rodgers Play on Sunday?

• Bears quarterback Caleb Williams has thrown multiple touchdown passes in only three games this season. 

• The Steelers play Cover-1 and Cover-3 a combined 60% of the time. 

• It’s unclear is Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers will play this week with a wrist injury. 

In Week 12, we'll see the Chicago Bears and Pittsburgh Steelers square off.

The Steelers are coming off a win over the Cincinnati Bengals, but questions still remain regarding the status of quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who suffered a non-throwing hand wrist injury.

As for the Bears, they're 7-2 and coming off a 19-17 win on the road over the Minnesota Vikings.

While neither of these teams is inside the top 10 in Super Bowl odds, they're closing in thanks to their above .500 records.

The Steelers defense hasn't been great this season overall, but over the past three weeks, they've improved and are inside the top 12 in our NFL Defense Rankings.

With all that in mind, let's check out three props for this Bears vs. Steelers matchup.

Best Bears vs. Steelers Prop Bets

Odds below for two props are courtesy of Fanatics Sportsbook. Sign up for a Fanatics Sportsbook promo today and receive up to $2,000 in FanCash.

If you're in a state where Fanatics Sportsbook is not yet legal, we recommend playing at Underdog. See how to claim your Underdog Promo Code WSNPLAY and sign up below.

Caleb Williams 2+ TD Passes (+100) at Fanatics Sportsbook

Although Williams is at +100 odds to hit two or more touchdowns and has done so only once since Week 3, the data suggests this is plausible. 

The Steelers primarily play Cover-1 and Cover-3. These coverages make up more than 60% of what opposing quarterbacks see against them. 

Against those coverages this season, Williams has completed 102 of 183 passes (55.7%) for 1,354 yards, 7.4 yards per attempt, seven touchdown passes, and zero interceptions. 

No, the completion percentage isn’t high, but those seven touchdowns are more than half of his season total. 

Here are his numbers against those coverages individually: 

• Cover-1: 29 of 53 (54.7%) for 387 yards, 7.3 yards per attempt, one touchdown. 

• Cover-3: 73 of 130 (56.2%) for 967 yards, 7.4 yards per attempt, six touchdowns. 

Given his numbers against Cover-3, Williams reaching multiple passing touchdowns is definitely a possibility. 

Bet at Fanatics and Get Up to $2,000 in FanCash

DK Metcalf Longest Reception Under 22.5 Yards (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

Heading into this game, Metcalf is averaging 14.9 yards per reception. Looking over his game logs, his longest catch has been 23 yards or longer in five of 10 games. 

Digging into the Bears’ primary coverages, which are Cover-2 and Cover-3, Metcalf has caught 21 passes on 35 targets for 336 yards (16 yards per reception; 11.8 yards after the catch per reception), and two touchdowns. 

For context, his season-long stats are 37 receptions for 551 yards and five touchdowns, so his numbers against Cover-2 and Cover-3 make up a good amount of his production. 

Against Cover-2 and Cover-3, Metcalf has had four catches of 23 yards or longer, which equate to 19% of his receptions versus these coverages. 

I’ll lean under.

Use code WSN20X and Double Your Winnings at Caesars

Caleb Williams 200+ Passing Yards (-185) at Fanatics Sportsbook

This season, Williams is completing 59.7% of his passes for 2,329 yards, 7.2 yards per attempt, 13 touchdowns, and four interceptions. 

He’s thrown for 200 yards or more in eight of 10 games. 

While the Steelers' pass defense has been playing a bit better lately, allowing 234.7 passing yards per game over their last three (22nd in that span) and surrendered just 192 in their last game, their season-long average is still at 261.7, which leads the NFL. 

Further, on a per-game basis, Williams has hit 200 yards or more against Cover-1 and Cover-3 only. While that may seem low, remember that those coverages make up 60% of what the Steelers play, so Williams will play against other coverages against the Steelers, but it’s encouraging to see him hitting 200 yards against these coverages on two occasions, and reaching at least 100 yards against them in seven of 10 games. 

He’ll hit 200 yards.

Join Fanatics Today and Get Up to $2,000 in FanCash

More NFL Week 12 Stories

• NFL Week 12 Picks Against the Spread

• Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions in Week 12

• Rams vs Buccaneers Same Game Parlay Picks

• Best Rams vs Buccaneers Prop Bets