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2026 NFL Draft Odds: Who Will Follow Fernando Mendoza on a Crowded Board?

Updated: April 21, 2026, 08:03 AM ET
9 min read

The 2026 NFL Draft will take place April 23-25, and as a new crop of players prepare to be ushered into the professional ranks, sportsbooks have released a slew of betting markets for the event.

  • Only the first two picks appear to be nailed down, although those still aren’t certain

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have the most picks (12), and the Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks have the fewest (four)

  • Jeremiyah Love has been rumored to go anywhere from second to outside of the top 10

While Miami QB Cam Ward was the first pick one year ago, eighth pick Tetairoa McMillan ended up winning the Offensive Rookie of the Year trophy in an unexpected playoff year for the Carolina Panthers. Heisman winner and Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza is expected to be the first player selected this time around, ahead of a heavy defensive flavor, including several tantalizing prospects.

Below are NFL Draft betting odds for a variety of markets, including the top five picks, the total number of quarterbacks drafted in the first round, the first cornerback drafted, and much more.

2026 NFL Draft Odds: First Overall Pick

All odds listed below are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Use our Caesars Sportsbook promo code WSNDYW and claim your welcome offer: Bet $1, Double Your Winnings 10x.

PlayerOdds
Fernando Mendoza-20000
Arvell Reese+6000
Rueben Bain Jr.+6000
Ty Simpson+10000

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2026 NFL Draft Odds

Fernando Mendoza (-20000) at Caesars

Mendoza was the leader of an Indiana squad that achieved one of the best seasons in the history of college football, going 16-0 en route to a national championship game victory over Miami. The 6-foot-5, 230-pound junior had 3,535 yards, 41 touchdowns, six interceptions, and led the country in QBR in his first year with the program. Once a two-star high school recruit, he appears to be on his way to Las Vegas, where the Raiders went 3-14 a year ago and promptly replaced head coach Pete Carroll with Klint Kubiak.

Arvell Reese (+6000) at Caesars

Reese is the heavy favorite to be selected second overall, although he is still quite a long shot to go first. The 6-foot-4, 243-pound linebacker is converting to playing full-time edge-rusher after he amassed 69 tackles and 6.5 sacks for the Ohio State Buckeyes as a junior and in his second year playing. He has immense innate athleticism and an extremely high floor, although he will need time to adjust to his new position.

Rueben Bain Jr. (+6000) at Caesars

There’s lots of debate over which player is the best edge-rusher in the NFL Draft. Bain Jr. is the most fundamentally sound and prototypical defensive end, having racked up 54 tackles, 9.5 sacks, a forced fumble, and an interception at Miami last season. He’s also a polished run defender, although his 6-foot-2 frame, and historically short arms have brought his NFL ceiling into question.

Ty Simpson (+10000) at Caesars

Simpson only played one year of football as a starter in college, which came at Alabama last year. He threw for 3,567 yards, 28 touchdowns, and five interceptions, and finished 20th in QBR as Alabama was eliminated in the second round of the College Football Playoff. He played at an extremely high level at the beginning of the year, although he trailed off toward the end.

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2026 NFL Draft Odds: Second Overall Pick

PlayerOdds
Arvell Reese-400
David Bailey+275
Sonny Styles+6000
Rueben Bain Jr.+8000
Caleb Downs+8000
Carnell Tate+8000
Jeremiyah Love+8000
Ty Simpson+10000
Fernando Mendoza+10000
Akheem Mesidor+10000

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2026 NFL Draft Odds: Third Overall Pick

PlayerOdds
David Bailey+100
Jeremiyah Love+275
Arvell Reese+350
Francis Mauigoa+1000
Sonny Styles+2500
Rueben Bain Jr.+2500
Spencer Fano+3000
Ty Simpson+4000
Monroe Freeling+4000
Caleb Downs+6000
Carnell Tate+8000

2026 NFL Draft Odds: Fourth Overall Pick

PlayerOdds
Jeremiyah Love-130
David Bailey+400
Sonny Styles+450
Arvell Reese+800
Rueben Bain Jr.+1200
Carnell Tate+1300
Caleb Downs+3000
Francis Mauigoa+3000
Jordyn Tyson+4000
Mansoor Delane+4000

Use code WSNDYW at Caesars to Double Your Winnings

2026 NFL Draft Odds: Fifth Overall Pick

PlayerOdds
Sonny Styles+190
Jordyn Tyson+300
Caleb Downs+350
Jeremiyah Love+550
Francis Mauigoa+600
Carnell Tate+1000
Spencer Fano+1500
David Bailey+2000
Mansoor Delane+2500
Makai Lemon+4000
Rueben Bain Jr.+4000
Arvell Reese+4000

First Wide Receiver Drafted

PlayerOdds
Carnell Tate-175
Jordyn Tyson+125
Makai Lemon+2000
Denzel Boston+10000
Chris Brazzell II+10000
Omar Cooper Jr.+10000
K.C. Concepcion+10000
Zachariah Branch+10000

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First Offensive Lineman Drafted

PlayerOdds
Francis Mauigoa-200
Spencer Fano+220
Monroe Freling+500
Kadyn Proctor+750
Olaivavega Ioane+2000

Total QB Drafted in Round 1

OutcomeOdds
Over 1.5-225
Under 1.5+175

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Total RB Draft in Round 1

OutcomeOdds
Over 1.5+400
Under 1.5-700

Total WR Draft in Round 1

OutcomeOdds
Over 5.5-190
Under 5.5+145

Total OL Draft in Round 1

OutcomeOdds
Over 7.5-280
Under 7.5+200

Total CB Draft in Round 1

OutcomeOdds
Over 3.5-150
Under 3.5+120

Use code WSNDYW at Caesars to Double Your Winnings

Odds to Be a Top-Five Draft Pick

PlayerOdds
Arvell Reese-1400
David Bailey-1400
Jeremiyah Love-300
Sonny Styles-120
Francis Mauigoa+140
Caleb Downs+200
Jordyn Tyson+250
Carnell Tate+275
Rueben Bain Jr.+325
Spencer Fano+750
Monroe Freeling+1000
Mansoor Delane+1200
Makai Lemon+2200
Ty Simpson+2500
Olavavega Ioane+2700

How to Bet on the NFL Draft

Pick a Market

Consult all of the markets that are available before deciding to plunge on a particular line. Don’t worry about being starved for choice, as the best US sportsbooks have tons of options to pick from.

Once a market has been determined where the bettor believes they have a particular edge, consider all viable picks. These could be viable because of the options, odds value, logical fit, or anything else - just make sure the reasoning is solid.

The NFL Draft is one of the few times the public regularly beats the sportsbooks, which means there are more than enough markets to ensure bettors continue their winning streak. Don’t rush into any decisions and go through the proper steps, including… research! Scroll down.

Research

Knowledge is power in every shape and form.

During the build-up to the NFL Draft, always consult reports from local credible journalists, publications, and sources. These are often where the best information comes from since these people have the closest relationships with team officials.

Do not use mock drafts or opinion pieces as the end-all-be-all for reasoning, but take them into consideration. Experts are well-informed and combine their analysis with rumblings from around the league, though be aware that they also have the power to shift betting odds.

Line Shop

Compare odds across multiple sportsbooks once a bet has been chosen to guarantee the highest potential payout.

This is an evergreen betting tip that is applicable to every style of bet, every time, and in any market.

Certain sportsbooks won’t have the same types of markets available as others, which can make the line shopping process short and sweet. If there are multiple sportsbooks with the same market, check to make sure their odds aren’t different before the bet is placed.

Analyze

Oddsmakers are spread thin, and they might not know your favorite team (or another team) as well as you! Think about personnel tendencies, coaching characteristics, press conference comments, past trends, and any relevant source of information to form an idea of a general manager’s thought process. 

Achieving a basic understanding of a decision maker’s mindset can often supersede understanding prospects and the standard “fit” for a particular roster.

Use these concepts to match a player to a particular draft position or team, find a market, and responsibly submit a wager.

All Number One Draft Picks Since 2000

YearPlayerPositionCollegeTeam Drafted By
2025Cam WardQBMiamiTennessee Titans
2024Caleb WilliamsQBUSCChicago Bears
2023Bryce YoungQBAlabamaCarolina Panthers
2022Travon WalkerDEGeorgiaJacksonville Jaguars
2021Trevor LawrenceQBClemsonJacksonville Jaguars
2020Joe BurrowQBLSUCincinnati Bengals
2019Kyler MurrayQBOklahomaArizona Cardinals
2018Baker MayfieldQBOklahomaCleveland Browns
2017Myles GarrettDE Texas A&MCleveland Browns
2016Jared GoffQBCaliforniaLos Angeles Rams
2015Jameis WinstonQBFlorida StateTampa Bay Buccaneers
2014Jadeveon ClowneyDESouth CarolinaHouston Texans
2013Eric FisherTCentral MichiganKansas City Chiefs
2012Andrew LuckQBStanfordIndianapolis Colts
2011Cam NewtonQBAuburnCarolina Panthers
2010Sam BradfordQBOklahomaSt. Louis Rams
2009Matthew StaffordQBGeorgiaDetroit Lions
2008Jake LongTMichiganMiami Dolphins
2007JaMarcus RussellQBLSUOakland Raiders
2006Mario WilliamsDENorth Carolina State UniversityHouston Texans
2005Alex SmithQBUtahSan Francisco 49ers
2004Eli ManningQBOle MissLos Angeles Chargers
2003Carson PalmerQBUSCCincinnati Bengals
2002David CarrQBFresno StateHouston Texans
2001Michael VickQBVirginia TechAtlanta Falcons
2000Courtney BrownDEPenn StateCleveland Browns

How to Watch the 2026 NFL Draft

  • Where: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

  • Date: April 23-25, 2026

  • Time: First round: Thursday, April 23 @ 8:00 p.m. ET; Rounds 2-3: Friday, April 24 @ 7:00 p.m; Rounds 4-7: Saturday, April 25 @ 12:00 p.m.

  • TV: ABC, ESPN, NFL Network

NFL Draft FAQ

What is the NFL Draft?

How is the NFL Draft order determined?

Which team has the first pick in the 2026 NFL Draft?

Which team has the most picks in the 2026 NFL Draft?

Which team has the fewest picks in the 2026 NFL Draft?

What can I bet on during the 2026 NFL Draft?

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Grant Mitchell

Grant Mitchell

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

Expertise:
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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field. In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
Email: grant.mitchell@wsn.com
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Sports Media and Analytics
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