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NFL Prop Bets Week 11: Best NFL Player Props

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Updated November 15, 2023
7 min read
NFL Prop Bets Week 11

Week 11 of the NFL season is here, and we’re inching closer and closer to the playoffs and figuring out who will be the No. 1 overall pick. The Bears currently hold the No. 1 overall pick, owning the Panthers first-round choice. Rounding out the top three are the New York Giants and New England Patriots. 

Now, we’ll see where we stand after Week 11, but first, here are some early-in-the-week props to consider wagering on.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Pick: Joe Mixon Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at DraftKings

On Thursday Night Football, the Ravens will host the Bengals in the second matchup of these teams this season. 

Here, we’re taking the over on Mixon’s rushing yards.

Mixon is the go-to running back for the Bengals, with no other running backs getting any run. For example, Mixon has 137 carries this season. The next closest player in rushing attempts on the Bengals is quarterback Joe Burrow, who has 17 designed runs. 

The Ravens allow about 87 rushing yards per game, a low average across the NFL. However, in Week 2, they allowed 61 to Mixon, and that was with a hobbled Burrow. 

Mixon is averaging just 3.9 yards per carry, but again, he gets so much volume that the average isn’t too much of a worry. To reach 54 rushing yards, Mixon needs just 14 carries, and he averages more than 15 per game. 

We’ll lean over here. 

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Pick: Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+120) at DraftKings

Getting “+” money here, we’d wager perhaps half a unit or so on Jackson’s over on passing touchdowns. 

Of course, Jackson’s rushing ability can sometimes limit his passing touchdown potential, but this season, Jackson has multiple touchdown passes in just three games. However, one of those three games was against the Bengals in Week 2, where he had two. The other games came against Detroit and Cleveland. 

The over/under in this game is set at 46, but the last time these teams met, the final was 27-24, so we reached into the 50s as Burrow dealt with injury. 

The Bengals allow 1.11 passing touchdowns per game and have allowed two touchdowns in just two games, including Jackson and against Joshua Dobbs when he was with the Arizona Cardinals. Besides that, there’s been just one game without a passing touchdown.

This is the second game of a division matchup, so we could see both teams perform quite well against one another or get a defensive battle. With that, we’ll wager a bit on the over here as there is precedence for him accomplishing this earlier in the year, and this time around, he’s also at home. 

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Pick: Mark Andrews Any Time TD  (+160) at Caesars

Here we go, we’re sticking with the Ravens and Bengals again, focusing on Mark Andrews and his touchdown ability. 

For Andrews, he’s in an interesting spot with the Ravens. He’s a tight end, but he’s also easily the No. 1 option on the team.

This season, the Bengals allow just under one touchdown per game to wide receivers—they’ve allowed one touchdown to receivers in all but two games this season.

Against tight ends, they allow 67 receiving yards and 0.44 touchdowns per game.

Andrews has six touchdowns this season and hasn’t scored in his past two games. He scored a touchdown against the Bengals in Week 2, his first game of the season. 

Look for Andrews to get a touchdown based on his volume in the offense. 

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AUTHOR

Richard Janvrin

550 Articles

After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.

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