The Sunday slate of Week 17 concludes with an AFC North showdown as the Baltimore Ravens host the Pittsburgh Steelers. These teams recently met in Pittsburgh in Week 14, where the Ravens came out on top 16-14.
Here, we’ll look at the three best single-player prop bets to make.
Attempting just one pass in their last matchup due to injury, it’s safe to be a bit conservative with Pickett here and the passing yardage line.
However, Pickett is in a great spot to hit the over here on the road.
The Ravens allow nearly 240 passing yards per game, which is tied with the Atlanta Falcons for eighth-most in the league. In the run game, the Ravens allow less than 90 yards rushing. As a road underdog against a stout run defense, the rookie may need to keep throwing the ball and should have some success against this somewhat-beatable secondary.
Since Week 7, Pickett has attempted fewer than 28 passes in games he starts and finishes. Over that stretch, he’s thrown for less than 183 yards just one time.
His yards per attempt is low at just 6.1 on the year, but if he matches his low of 28 attempts and can manage just 6.6 yards per attempt, he’ll clear this line.
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Looking at their previous matchup, the Ravens won solely because of Dobbins’ efforts.
In that game, Dobbins had 15 carries in his first game back from injury and managed 120 yards (8.0 yards per carry) and a touchdown.
He had three runs of 10+ yards and a long of 44.
With Tyler Huntley set to start again, it’s safe to assume the Ravens will continue to utilize the run game, which Dobbins leads.
Getting a plus price on the Any Time TD prop is an easy bet.
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As previously mentioned, the Ravens are a tough run defense, allowing less than 88 yards per game.
In Week 14, Harris managed to score but had 12 carries for 33 yards.
Harris has failed to cross 4.0 yards per carry this season in a single game all but four times. He’s averaging 3.7 per clip on the season and has only cleared 15 carries in a game seven times.
As road underdogs against a tough run defense and also against a coverage unit that’s inside the top 10 in passing yards allowed, look for Harris to still get double-digit carries, but be prepared to see them not go for much.
Take the under.
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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