Bills vs. Texans Same Game Parlay Picks: Can the Texans Pick Up a Key Win Without CJ Stroud?

• CJ Stroud has been ruled out for Thursday’s game

• The Bills rank 31st in rush yards allowed and YPC

• Josh Allen has seven rushing touchdowns over his last four games

This Thursday Night Football matchup promises to be a good one as the Buffalo Bills head to Houston to face the Texans. While CJ Stroud is out, the Texans' defense has been their strength all season. Can they pull off a crucial upset at home against a good Bills team, or will they take one more step towards missing the postseason? 

Bills vs. Texans Same Game Parlay Picks

We’ll provide insights into each leg of our favorite same-game parlay for this matchup below, using odds taken from Caesars Sportsbook, one of our top-rated parlay betting sites.

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Under 43.5 (-106) at Caesars Sportsbook

We are all over the under for this AFC Thursday Night Football matchup. A big reason is the absence of CJ Stroud, who will miss his second straight game with an injury. That leaves Davis Mills as the starter, giving an unpredictable Bills defense a significant edge. 

The Bills' run defense has been a massive weakness all season, allowing the second-most rush yards per game (153) and the second-highest YPC average (5.4). Sean Tucker and the Bucs torched them last week, but the pass defense helped to negate those struggles. Fortunately, they’ll be facing a Bills team without its starting quarterback and a backfield that ranks in the bottom ten in rush yards per game (107.6).

On the other side of the ball, we have seen the Bills' offense stumble a bit. Josh Allen willed the team to victory, overcoming a bad run game and several turnovers. As good as the former NFL MVP has been, he’ll be facing a Houston team with one of the NFL’s top defenses. That will limit what he can do and turn this game into a low-scoring slugfest.

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Josh Allen Anytime TD (-114) at Caesars Sportsbook

Not great odds for this bet, but there is a good reason for that. The quarterback has 10 rushing touchdowns over 10 games, including three last week. He has now found the end zone seven times over his previous four games, making this one of the safest bets of Week 11.

Josh Allen’s rushing ability isn’t the only reason we love this bet. There is also the struggles of running back James Cook, who has cooled off after a hot start. He scored just two rushing touchdowns over his last four games, which led to Josh Allen taking over in the red zone.

Houston has a great run defense, but Allen will have enough volume to score throughout all four quarters, regardless of the score. 

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Nick Chubb 30+ Rush Yards (+157) at Caesars Sportsbook

This is our favorite bet from the entire game, which is why we are locking it into our SGP.

Chubb has ceded most of his carries to Woody Marks, but he has looked like the far better back over the last few weeks. That includes last week, with Marks averaging 2.4 YPC on 18 carries against an awful Titans run defense. Chubb saw just three carries, but took them for 17 yards. Over the last two weeks, he has averaged eight YPC over the last two games, which will earn him more carries this week.

As we mentioned above, the Bills' run defense has been a mess this season. Given the lack of a passing game, we expect Houston to run the ball often, making this low total easy to cover.

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