Best Browns vs. Bengals Prop Bets: Garrett Eyes History Against Burrow and Co.

• Joe Burrow only had 113 passing yards when these teams met in Week 1

• Myles Garrett is one sack away from setting the NFL’s all-time single-season record

• Shedeur Sanders had less than 190 passing yards in four of his last five starts 

The Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals will close out the NFL regular season with an AFC North battle in Week 18.

Shedeur Sanders has had his moments, but has largely been one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL since being inserted into the starting lineup. Myles Garrett is only one sack away from setting the league’s single-season record, and the defense can be expected to play with their hair on fire to support his pursuit of history.

Joe Burrow played excellent football since returning from his injury, but he’s preparing to spend another offseason sitting on his couch watching the playoffs. The Bengals’ defense has been one of the worst in the NFL, but it looked better over the last couple of weeks.

For the final time in the regular season, here are my best NFL prop bets and picks for the Week 18 Browns vs. Bengals matchup. 

Best Browns vs. Bengals Prop Bets

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Joe Burrow Under 235.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

Burrow has been crushing this line since he got back from his injury, going over in four of five games and tossing at least 305 yards worth of passes in back-to-back games. However, he’s taking on a Browns squad that has the second-fewest passing yards per game (163.8) and held him to 113 in Week 1 of the season.

The Browns’ miserable offense won’t put any pressure on Burrow and company to light up the Cincinnati sky. Garrett’s desperate pursuit of the sack record should also result in Burrow being under pressure and the Browns’ defense playing at the highest level they can.

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Shedeur Sanders Under 192.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Yes, the Bengals’ defense ranks 28th in the NFL at 244.6 passing yards allowed per game. However, Sanders had 177, 157, and 186 passing yards in his last three games, and his 57.4 completion percentage significantly hinders his ability to even try to pick up yards.

Harold Fannin Jr. and David Njoku are both in danger of missing the contest through injury, and Quinshon Judkins is out, which means that Bengals’ defense won’t have to respect the run. Sanders simply doesn’t look like an NFL-level player right now, so I’m comfortable with the under.

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Ja’Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-130) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Chase said before last week’s game that it had been too long since he got into the end zone, and he ended up scoring twice on Sunday. I think that he will finish the season in style as Burrow's most trusted receiver.

With the Browns’ defense being as prolific as it is, Burrow and the offense need to lean into their strengths and what they know. The answer to both of those questions is Chase, who again, scored twice last weekend, and is just as comfortable scoring in the red zone as he is taking a deep shot 50 yards to the house.

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Tee Higgins Under 55.5 Receiving Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Not to beat a dead horse, but I like Burrow to go under his projected passing line for several reasons. If that happens, it will be difficult for one or multiple receivers to go over their projected lines, which is how I settled with Higgins under 55.5 yards.

The 26-year-old only had three receptions for 33 yards when these teams met in Week 1, and he had fewer receiving yards than Chase in every game since Burrow returned from his injury. He only had 53 and 59 yards the last two weeks against the poor defenses of the Dolphins and Cardinals, so it’s reasonable to expect him to gain fewer yards against a much better defense.

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