The Cowboys and Commanders have two of the worst secondaries in the NFL
Dak Prescott has 13 touchdowns and two interceptions through six games
CeeDee Lamb and Terry McLaurin could both return from injuries this week
The Washington Commanders will visit the Dallas Cowboys for another edition of one of the NFL’s most hated rivalries between bitter NFC East opponents.
The Commanders are only 3-3 after being one of the final four teams in the playoffs last season, while Cowboys QB Dak Prescott is making a charge in NFL MVP odds. It’s a real strength against strength, weakness against weakness battle here as both high-powered offenses with elite QBs prepare to take on struggling secondaries.
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Kliff Kingsbury opened up the intermediate passing section of the playbook the last couple of weeks, and Daniels looked accurate and comfortable throwing those passes. His yards per attempt (8.9 and 8.1) in those games were his highest of the season and above his 7.4-yard average from last season, and he should get Terry McLaurin back from an injury this Sunday.
The Cowboys’ secondary is flat-out horrible, allowing the second-most yards per attempt (7.8) and the most passing yards per game (269.5). They’re also 29th in completion percentage allowed (71.8), and the Commanders are in a spot where they need their quarterback to do everything he can to deliver a victory.
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Lam didn’t score a touchdown in the first three games of the season, the third of which he left without a reception or a target after he suffered an early injury. He’s expected to make his way back to the field on Sunday against a Commanders defense that is seventh in completion percentage allowed, but that is dead last in yards allowed per completion and gives up 1.5 passing touchdowns per game.
The Cowboys can generate explosive plays through the air due to the excellence and aggressiveness of Dak Prescott, who has 13 touchdowns and two interceptions and is second in QBR through six weeks of action. George Pickens has been excellent recently and will demand increased attention, but Lamb’s speed against a porous secondary could be the difference.
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“Bill” took the league by storm and was leading the NFL in yards per carry until he averaged just 3.6 against the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. He’s now at 5.7 for the year and has gone under this line in four of six contests.
The talented rookie is still a quality player with a promising future, but Dallas’ run defense is only mediocre, whereas their passing defense is awful. I expect the Commanders to aggressively put this game on the shoulders of their QB, knowing that a loss could already put an end to their playoff dreams, and for Croskey-Merritt to get a lessened workload.
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The value on this line makes it an intriguing pick, especially since Ferguson scored four touchdowns in his last three games. He could lose some of his volume due to the return of Lamb, but he could still find himself in favorable positions over the middle of the field due to the lack of speed of Washington’s linebackers, Bobby Wagner and Frankie Luvu.
The Commanders have been consistently friendly to opposing middle-field players, and Prescott isn’t hesitant to launch a ball up the same to his 26-year-old tight end. This game also has the highest projected total of the week (54.5), which means that there should be plenty of touchdowns to go around for players on both teams.
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