Best Cowboys vs. Bears Prop Bets: Dak Prescott Playing at a High Level

• The Cowboys’ defensive coordinator is Matt Eberflus. He was the head coach of the Bears from 2022 through Nov. 29, 2024. 

• The Bears have a new head coach, Ben Johnson, but they’re 0-2 to start the season. 

• The Cowboys are 1-1 after a game-winning field goal as time expired in overtime in Week 2 against the Giants. 

In Week 3 of the 2025-26 NFL season, we’re getting what could be a former head coach's revenge game. That’s right, incumbent Cowboys defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus was the head coach of the Bears from the start of the 2022 season until Nov. 29, 2024. He was fired midseason. 

Now he, along with the rest of the Cowboys, will look to advance to 2-1  and bolster their Super Bowl odds. 

Conversely, the Bears are looking to get out of the basement of the NFC North. 

Below, I’ll cast my picks and predictions for this game. Also, don’t forget to explore our NFL defense rankings, along with NFL offense rankings, to see where these teams stand.

Odds below are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up for a FanDuel account today and receive $300 in bonus bets after wagering and winning your first $5 bet.

Dak Prescott Over 264.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While it’s been a tale of two games—188 passing yards in Week 1 and 361 yards in Week 2—I think Prescott is in for another great passing day. 

This season, the Bears run zone coverage on 57.9% of their defensive plays, and 38.3% are man coverage. 

Their zone rate is fifth-lowest in the NFL.

Versus Cover-1, Prescott is just 12 of 24 or 139 yards and one interception. However, without cornerback Jaylon Johnson and against a Cowboys offense with George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb, it may be difficult for them to do so. 

Versus Cover-2, Prescott has a 76.9% completion rate, and against Cover-3, it’s 86.4%. 

I think he’ll be in a great spot here due to his offense taking advantage of the Bears' defense. 

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Rome Odunze Over 60.5 Receiving Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Bears are only slight home favorites despite allowing 52 points in Week 2, and here’s why: simply put, the Cowboys' pass coverage unit has issues. 

In Week 2, they allowed Giants quarterback Russell Wilson to throw for 450 yards in Dallas. 

While it’s been a slow start to the season for the Bears and quarterback Caleb Williams, this is a decent spot to “get right.”

The Cowboys mostly play Cover-2 and Cover-3. Against those coverages, Odunze has a 23.5% target share for the Bears. Overall, his target share is 29.9%. 

Against Cover-2 and Cover-3, he has caught five of eight passes for 95 yards, averaging 19 yards per catch. 

Odunze is coming off a fantastic Week 2 performance, catching seven passes for 128 yards and two scores. 

Don’t look now, but Odunze is the Bears’ No. 1 receiver. It’s not even close. 

Now, he’ll face a beatable Cowboys pass coverage unit. With this line of 61 yards, he could get this on just a few catches. If he continues his pace of 6.5 catches per game, he shouldn’t have any issues reaching this mark.

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Dak Prescott: No Interceptions (-108) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Sticking with Prescott, I’ll also take his prop not to throw an interception. 

He had one in Week 2, but it was against the New York Giants and their three-headed monster of a defensive front. 

Heading into Week 3, the Bears have generated the least pressure in the NFL from their pass rush. They’ve pressured opposing quarterbacks on just 10 dropbacks. For context, the No. 1 team is the Green Bay Packers with 41. 

When not pressured, Prescott has completed 41 of 58 passes (70.7%) for 352 yards and two touchdowns. 

He’s had some turnover-worthy plays, sure, but again, as mentioned above, he has staggeringly high completion percentages against Cover-2 and Cover-3. 

I expect a lot of his passes to be high completion throws. It may be too difficult to play man coverage, especially against Pickens and Lamb. 

If they do, I feel as though Bears outside corners, Nahshon Wright and Tyrique Stevenson, are in for a tough afternoon. 

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