The Detroit Lions odds to miss the playoffs continues to grow
Jahmyr Gibbs is currently averaging 5.8 Yards per Carry
The Cowboys defense ranks near dead last in Run Defense PFF Grade
After losing to the Green Bay Packers on Thanksgiving, the Detroit Lions odds to miss the playoffs continues to grow as they are currently two games back from San Francisco for the last wildcard spot in the NFC. Luckily for Detroit, their offense will have a great opportunity to round back into form in week 14 as they face off against the Dallas Cowboys who struggle to stop the run.
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| Best Cowboys vs Lions Prop Bets | Odds | Get Up to $1,500 Bonus at BetMGM |
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| Jahmyr Gibbs Over 72.5 Rushing Yards | -115 | CLAIM HERE |
| Jahmyr Gibbs Longest Rush Over 16.5 Yards | -115 | CLAIM HERE |
| Dak Prescott Over 265.5 Passing Yards | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
| Jake Ferguson Anytime Touchdown Scorer | +145 | CLAIM HERE |
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Since the start of the regular season, Jahmyr Gibbs has been able to routinely gash opposing front sevens as the Detroit Lions speedster ranks above league average in Yards Over Expected per Attempt. With his offensive line ranking top-3 in Run Block Set Grade, Gibbs is able to consistently generate explosive runs while sprinting through the high quality running lanes his front five provides.
Heading into Thursday night, expect Gibbs to build on his momentum as he faces off against the Dallas Cowboys who struggle to stuff the run as their near dead last mark in Run Defense PFF Grade indicates. For some more exposure, escalator bet Gibbs rushing yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs at the best available odds.
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The Cowboys low Blitz Rate has played a major role in their struggles with stopping the run as their lack of bodies at the line of scrimmage makes it easier for opposing running backs to reach the second level of their defense once they break through the trenches. With Amon-Ra St. Brown potentially out with an injury, Gibbs will be used at a heavier rate which gives him more opportunities to clear the over on his longest rushing yardage prop.
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Since returning from injury, Dak Prescott has played at a very high level as the betting favorite for the Comeback Player of the Year award currently ranks seventh in Quarterback EPA per play while captaining an offense who ranks top-10 in Off DVOA. His efficiency has helped the Cowboys sustain drives down the field at a high rate as he also ranks above league average in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage.
In a favorable matchup against the Lions, expect Prescott to put together another efficient performance as he faces off against a front seven who ranks 29th in Pass Rush Win Rate. With the Lions struggling to get in the backfield, Prescott will be able to operate in a clean pocket which will help reduce the amount of Havoc in his throws and increase his chances of connecting with his receivers.
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When in the shortened field, Prescott has looked towards Jake Ferguson’s way as the Cowboys tight end leads the team in total Red Zone Targets. With George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb pulling defensive attention away from him, Ferguson has been able to take advantage of the single coverage he receives and create passing lanes for Prescott to throw to.
Against Detroit, Ferguson will have the opportunity to thrive as he faces off against a Lions secondary who continues to fall down the board in Def EPA. With the Lions back end struggling to defend the goal line, Ferguson will be able to exploit their gaps in coverage and haul in his eighth touchdown of the season.
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