The Panthers are one-point underdogs on their home field
Both teams are 2-2 against the spread through four games
Bryce Young and Tua Tagovailoa rank 27th and 28th in QBR
The Carolina Panthers will host the Miami Dolphins in an NFL Week 5 matchup between teams looking to claim their second victories of the season.
The Fins enter the matchup without Tyreek Hill, who was lost to a major knee injury last week. They were already a long shot to compete in the AFC East, and both they and the Panthers are closer to picking first in the draft than they are fighting to make the playoffs or win the Super Bowl.
As the NFL season enters its second month of action, here are several of the best picks against the spread and player props for a Dolphins vs. Panthers same-game parlay.
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McMillan is still searching for the first score of his professional career, but it’s coming soon. The 6-foot-5 rookie wideout leads the Panthers in receptions, targets, and receiving yards, and is an outstanding red-zone threat because of his size. He also gets to go against a Dolphins secondary that allowed 1.8 passing touchdowns per game and is dealing with a plethora of injuries in the secondary.
Carolina’s only receiver to catch a touchdown this season is Hunter Renfrow, who caught a pair of them in the second week of the season, but didn’t catch more than two passes or 10 yards in the two weeks since. The Dolphins have the second-worst EPA per dropback allowed, and if McMillan’s time is coming, this feels like an opportunity for him to deliver against a terrible defense.
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Achane, a 23-year-old running back in his third season, scored a touchdown in three of four games this season and in 10 of 17 in 2024. He dominates the team’s backfield usage with 50 carries, nearly three times as many as the next-closest player, and he’s second in both receptions and targets while being tied for a team-high two receiving TDs.
The only player who had a great volume of the passing game flow through them was Tyreek Hill, who will not play in another NFL game for at least the rest of the season. Achane figures to be front and center of the Dolphins’ game plan, especially with the Panthers having just allowed 42 points against the New England Patriots last Sunday.
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The Panthers’ name-brand value is understandably low; however, they have better metrics than the Dolphins this season. They’re 19th in defensive and 24th in offensive EPA per play, while the Dolphins are 31st and 20th in the same categories. Carolina is also eighth in defensive and 12th in offensive success rate, while Miami is 32nd and 24th in those areas.
The loss of Hill means that the Dolphins essentially won’t have a downfield passing attack, barring the occasional intermediate looks to Jaylen Waddle. They’re also much more injured than the Panthers are, and they’re on the road, all of which is why it makes sense to back the underdogs in this Panthers vs. Dolphins Week 5 matchup.
Final Parlay Odds: +750 at bet365 sportsbook
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