Best Falcons vs. Saints Prop Bets: The Carolina Panthers Are Falcons Fans This Week

• If the Atlanta Falcons win this game, the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South regardless of the outcome of their game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

• The Saints will be without wide receiver Chris Olave. 

• The Falcons are coming off a win over the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football in Week 17. 

This is not only one of the more unique games on the Week 18 slate, but in the NFL in recent memory. 

In Week 17, the Atlanta Falcons hosted the Los Angeles Rams and beat them. That win was crucial because, while that win did nothing for the Falcons’ playoff chances, it set up one of the craziest playoff berth scenarios. 

Get this: If the Falcons beat the New Orleans Saints in Week 18, the Carolina Panthers would win the NFC South no matter what the outcome of their game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 

Say the Panthers lose and the Falcons win. In this case, the Panthers, Buccaneers, and Falcons would all be 8-9, but due to a three-team round robin tie breaker, the Panthers would win the division as they’re 3-1 against the Buccaneers and Falcons, while the Buccaneers would be 2-2. 

Funny enough, while this game won’t impact the Falcons' or Saints’ Super Bowl odds, it could play a role for the Panthers. 

Best Falcons vs. Saints Prop Bets

With that being said, below, I’ve assembled three of the best prop bets for this matchup, all from BetMGM Sportsbook. Sign up for a BetMGM account today using promo code WSNSPORTS and get your first wager back up to $1,500*. Find more details in our BetMGM Sportsbook review.

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Darnell Mooney Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (-118) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The 2025-26 season hasn’t been kind to Mooney. He’s been in and out of the lineup, including leaving games early due to injury. However, he’s been involved a decent amount lately, going for 25 yards or more in two of his last three games. 

In Week 16, he fell short: he had 24 yards, so he was right on the cusp of the “over” in this game. 

Now, heading into this game, fellow wide receiver Drake London is questionable with a knee injury. He was limited in practice on Wednesday. However, in a game like this that is meaningless for the Falcons, they could opt to have London on a pitch count, meaning he’ll play far less than usual. 

In situations where Kirk Cousins is the quarterback, and London hasn’t been on the field, Mooney runs a route 93.8% of the time, setting him up well to produce offensively. 

Given his usage over the past three games and some question marks around London, take the over. 

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Juwan Johnson Over 4.5 Receptions (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The headline news heading into this game, besides the NFC South finish, is that wide receiver Chris Olave won’t play. 

Typically, I’d look at scenarios where Johnson has Tyler Shough at quarterback and Olave not on the field, but the sample size is too small to draw meaningful conclusions. 

Here’s what we do know: This season, Johnson has an 18.3% target share. Just above him is Rashid Shaheed. Of course, he was traded to the Seattle Seahawks. If we remove him from the dataset, Johnson’s target share increases to 19.5%. 

Ahead of him is Olave at 29.6%. 

Now, Olave isn’t on the field. While I don’t think Johnson will all of a sudden handle a 30% target share, it’s possible given the lack of weapons for the Saints now, as not only is Olave out, but Devaughn Vele was placed on injured reserve. 

By default, Johnson will see a lot of action. 

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Kirk Cousins Under 0.5 INTs (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Heading into this game, the Saints have failed to intercept a pass in two of their last three games. While they average 0.56 per game, and Cousins threw an interception against them last time, context matters. 

In their Week 12 game, Cousins threw a pick—in fact, it was a pick-six—but the pass went off the receiver's hands; therefore, I don’t hold that against him. 

The Saints primarily play Cover,-3, and against that coverage this season, Cousins has just one interception on 73 attempts. 

Take the under. 

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