JJ McCarthy has thrown six touchdowns to eight interceptions this season
The Vikings are in fourth place in the NFC North
JJ McCarthy has been dealing with injuries throughout the season
JJ McCarthy has been very inconsistent this season. He started the year with a win over the Bears, but has been dealing with consistent injuries in 2025.
When McCarthy has been on the field, he has been quick to turn the ball over. The Packers defense presents many challenges, but I’ve found some props on bet365 for the quarterback.
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| Best J.J. McCarthy Player Props | Odds | Claim $150 in Bonuses at bet365 |
|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthy Over 186.5 Passing Yards | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
| J.J. McCarthy Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns | -290 | CLAIM HERE |
| J.J. McCarthy Anytime Touchdown | +550 | CLAIM HERE |
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JJ McCarthy’s season passing average is already pretty close to the mark on Sunday. He’s throwing for about 168.4 yards per game this year.
While that’s under 186.5, it’s not a giant leap to clear this number. He’s shown he can push past his average, especially when he’s had more attempts or a clean pocket.
On the other side, Green Bay’s defense has been susceptible to good passing attacks. They’re giving up around 200 passing yards per game to opposing QBs.
This suggests there’s room for McCarthy to attack through the air, especially if the Vikings lean into the passing game and they protect the quarterback.
Even though McCarthy is relatively inexperienced, he’s been aggressive and shown he’s willing to push the ball downfield. His aggressiveness should be the difference maker in this spot.
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The odds on this wager make it more of a parlay piece, but it’s still challenging to envision JJ McCarthy throwing for more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in this matchup.
The rookie has been turnover-prone at times, which should naturally prompt Minnesota to adopt a more conservative approach in the red zone. When they get inside the 20, the Vikings are far more likely to lean on the run game to avoid mistakes and control the tempo.
McCarthy’s own skill set also works against the over. He’s a dangerous and decisive runner, especially in tight spaces, making designed quarterback keepers or scrambles legitimate scoring threats.
Justin Jefferson is an elite red-zone weapon, and McCarthy will certainly look his way in high-leverage situations. Despite this, there shouldn’t be enough chances for him to exceed this line.
The Packers’ defense will also force McCarthy to get the ball out early, likely leading to quick, short completions rather than deeper red-zone shots. All signs point to Minnesota spreading out their scoring opportunities, making the under on 1.5 passing touchdowns a better betting angle.
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JJ McCarthy has a strong chance to score a touchdown on Sunday because of how heavily the Vikings rely on his mobility in the red zone.
Minnesota frequently uses rollouts, read-options, and designed quarterback keepers to take advantage of his athleticism. This leads to rushing touchdowns.
McCarthy has also shown a willingness to scramble when passing lanes collapse, giving him multiple paths to a score. With defenses keying on Justin Jefferson and the running backs inside the 10, McCarthy often becomes the unexpected option, making a rushing touchdown highly realistic.
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Passing Yards: 842
Passing Touchdowns: 6
QBR: 26.5
Interceptions: 8
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