Commanders vs. Chiefs Prop Bets MNF Week 8: Mahomes’ MVP Surge to Continue?

• Jayden Daniels will miss the game with a hamstring injury

• The Chiefs won four of five, while the Commanders lost three of four

• Terry McLaurin and Deebo Samuel are expected to return to the lineup

The Washington Commanders and Kansas City Chiefs will battle in a primetime special headlined by Patrick Mahomes’ resurgence and an unfortunate injury to Jayden Daniels.

The Chiefs are only 4-3, but they are climbing in Super Bowl odds after recovering from their 0-2 start to the season. The Commanders are 3-4 just one season after they went to the NFC Championship Game, in part because they’ve been bitten by the injury bug.

Jayden Daniels has already been ruled out, paving the way for Marcus Mariota to make the start. The Commanders still have one of the best offenses in the league, even with Mariota, but their abysmal defense is in for a tough challenge against what has been the class of the AFC.

Commanders vs. Chiefs Prop Bets in MNF Week 8

Looking for the best ways to bet Commanders vs. Chiefs on MNF? Here are my best Commanders vs. Chiefs betting picks and player props for Week 8.

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Marcus Mariota Under 197.5 Passing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook 

Mariota had 207 yards against the Las Vegas Raiders’ terrible defense in his first start of the season and bounced back with 156 yards against the Atlanta Falcons a week later. He’s now about to face a terrific defensive coordinator with receivers who, while back on the field, are just coming off of injuries.

The key for the Commanders to survive in this game is to run the football. That includes options and designed runs for Mariota, who I believe is likely to beat this line with total yards, but not strictly passing yards.

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Xavier Worthy Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+155) at bet365 Sportsbook 

The Commanders are 21st in points allowed per game, 25th in passing yards allowed per game, dead last in yards allowed per attempt. Their cornerbacks have gotten killed outside the numbers, their safeties haven’t tackled well, and Bobby Wagner’s lack of speed over the middle of the field has been fatal. 

Worthy’s speed makes him a threat after the catch, and he can also create mismatches with pre-snap motion that has also befuddled the Commanders’ D. Any way you slice it, there’s real value here for one of Mahomes’ top targets.

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Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 4.5 Receiving Yards (-120) at bet365 Sportsbook 

Realistically, one catch should get the seventh-round rookie past this line. He had gone over in four straight games until he caught one pass for -1 yard last week, but he has caught a pass in five straight outings.

With the Chiefs having a strong defense, and with Mariota at QB, it wouldn’t be a shock to see Croskey-Merritt catch a screen pass or a check-down from Mariota—especially if he can’t get going like he couldn’t the last couple of weeks, when he averaged just 3.1 yards per carry. 

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Patrick Mahomes Over 23.5 Completions (+105) at bet365 Sportsbook 

Mahomes has gotten back to his best recently, beating this line in three of his last four and four of seven for the season as a whole. He also attempted more than 35 passes per game, and he’s about to face a Commanders secondary that has been suspect at best.

The Commanders are 13th in completion percentage allowed, but they lead the league in yards allowed per attempt when they don’t generate pressure. That makes passing the ball especially inviting, particularly with edge rushers Dorance Armstrong, Deatrich Wise Jr., and Javontae Jean-Baptiste out with injuries. 

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