Best Sam Darnold Player Props for Seahawks vs. Jaguars in Week 6

• Sam Darnold has the second-best QBR in the NFL at 78.9 

• The Seahawks are coming off a three-point loss to the Buccaneers

• The Jaguars beat the Chiefs on MNF and confused Patrick Mahomes in the win

Sam Darnold has reinvented himself in the past two seasons. He should be ready to go against the Jaguars following his loss last week. 

I have pinpointed three props for the quarterback that you should consider for Sunday’s matchup. 

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Best Sam Darnold Player Props in Week 6

Sam Darnold Over 230.5 Passing Yards (-110) at bet365

Sam Darnold has been fantastic this season, and is earning his contract in Seattle. Darnold has one of the best stories in the NFL, going from a first-round pick with the Jets to a backup quarterback with multiple teams before leading the Vikings to the playoffs in 2024. 

Darnold played well enough last season to earn a long-term contract with Seattle and he is truly becoming their franchise quarterback. Darnold threw for 4,319 yards last season, averaging 7.9 yards per attempt. 

The biggest knock on Darnold was that he couldn’t extend the ball downfield without Justin Jefferson. He has been able to do this with Jaxon-Smith Njigba in Seattle, silencing the critics. 

Darnold is extending plays with his legs in the pocket and hitting open receivers down field. The Seahawks have a very explosive group of receivers, led by JSN, so Darnold’s passing numbers have been great. 

I’m taking the over for Darnold’s passing yards against the Jaguars. There are a few reasons for riding with this side of the line, but the biggest is that Seattle has struggled to run the ball consistently. 

When the Seahawks can’t run the ball, they tend to abandon this part of their offense. This opens up more chances for Darnold to surpass his passing yards line. 

The Jacksonville Jaguars have one of the worst passing defenses in the NFL. They’re allowing 250.4 passing yards per game, which is 27th in the NFL. 

The Seahawks' gameplan should be to throw the ball, and Darnold will be up for the challenge. If Seattle commits to throwing, Darnold could have one of his best games of the season.

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Sam Darnold Over 35.5 Yards Longest Pass (-110) at bet365

Many people didn’t think Darnold would be better in Seattle than Minnesota, but the numbers don’t lie. Darnold is averaging over two yards more per completion as a member of the Seahawks compared to the Vikings. 

Seattle’s coaching staff has trusted Darnold to extend the field, and this has worked wonders for his stats. The Seahawks also take multiple shots off play action, leading to big gains. 

The player who Darnold has targeted most in the deep passing game is Smith-Njigba. The receiver is playing at a first team All-Pro level. 

Darnold and him have been able to connect on some deep shots this season. The quarterback has averaged a long pass of 43.4 yards per game. 

The quarterback’s line is set at 35.5 and he has exceeded this line in every game this season. He is coming off a game where he had a 53-yard completion, so he has done everything asked of him this season.

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Sam Darnold Under 23.5 Completions (-125) at bet365

Darnold doesn’t have to do anything extraordinary to win on Sunday against the Jaguars. The Seahawks have an elite defense, which should tame the Jaguars' offense. 

Darnold has been very efficient, but he shouldn’t have to throw the ball much to win this contest. I believe his deep shots through the air will get him over his passing yards line.

Nevertheless, the Seahawks should be running the ball in the second half, limiting Darnold’s completions. The under has a lot of value in a game where Seattle should dominate.

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Sam Darnold 2025 Stats

• Passing Yards: 1246

• Passing Touchdowns: 9

• Completion Percentage: 73.1

• QBR: 78.9

• Interceptions: 3

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