The Broncos lead the league in sacks and pressure rate
Nico Collins has a reception of over 22.5 in four of his last five games
The Broncos are allowing just 3.9 YPC on the ground this season
The Houston Texans have gotten hot over the past four weeks, but will face a massive test on Sunday when the Denver Broncos come to town. These two teams feature rank among the best defensive squads in the league, setting us up for a low-scoring slugfest. While it may not be a pretty game to watch, there are some great prop bets available.
Below, we will share our three bets for this AFC matchup. All odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook, one of the best prop betting sites. Sign up for a Caesars account with our promo code WSN20X and claim: Bet $1, Double Your Winnings on Next 20 Bets.
| Best Texans vs Broncos Prop Bets | Odds | Double Your Winnings at Caesars |
|---|---|---|
| Texans Under 20.5 Points | -115 | CLAIM HERE |
| Nico Collins Over Longest Reception Over 22.5 Yards | -120 | CLAIM HERE |
| Nick Chubb Under 37.5 Rush Yards | -115 | CLAIM HERE |
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We believe the recent success the Texans’ offense has seen is a mirage. He benefited from playing a banged-up Niners team, as well as two of the league’s worst units, the Ravens and Titans.
In the team’s other four games against mediocre or good defenses, they have been unable to score more than 19 points. The offense looks lethargic, and the weapons around CJ Stroud will disappear. This plagued the Texans last season, and it doesn’t look like the team did enough to fix it over the offseason.
We see the Broncos as being the best defense in the NFL this season. While they can be beaten through the air, we don’t believe Houston has the offensive line to fend off Denver’s elite defensive front. They lead the NFL with 63 sacks, nine more than the next-closest team. They also lead the league in pressure rate at 30.6%, meaning Stroud will be uncomfortable all night, limiting the damage the offense can do.
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Nico Collins has been dealing with a concussion, but is back in practice and expected to clear protocols ahead of this game. We do recommend keeping an eye on his status before placing your wager, just to be sure he will suit up.
In his last game, Collins was only able to manage a longest reception of 14 yards, which came against a great Seattle defense on the road. He easily covered this total in the four previous weeks.
As daunting as the Denver defense is, they are vulnerable to big-play receivers like Collins. All it takes is one lapse or missed tackle, and this bet will cover.
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The Texans running back has shown some flashes of the back he used to be, but that hasn’t been the case over the last two weeks. He’s rushed 23 times for 72 yards (3.1 YPC), only clearing this total the previous week due to the game plan.
Denver’s run defense has been suffocating all season, allowing just 3.9 YPC (2nd in the NFL). They have faced some talented backs over the last few weeks, but have not allowed any of them to average 4.0+ yards per carry.
We expect Denver to win the battle in the trenches on defense and control the line of scrimmage. We also expect Houston to go down early and be forced to lean on the past for most of this game.
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