Wimbledon Picks & Best Bets for the Men's Singles Semi-Finals

• Men’s semi-finals take place on Friday

• Alcaraz should see off Fritz challenge

• Sinner vs. Djokovic could be a classic

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Wimbledon Men’s Singles Semi-Finals Picks

Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Two players who featured heavily in our outright preview of Wimbledon 2025 have made it through to the last four with one now guaranteed to reach the final.

While Californian Fritz has managed to negotiate a tough draw to reach this stage, his arduous route through the draw may now cost him.

Fritz has dropped sets in every round bar one - and that was when Jordan Thompson quit in the second set. It is often said that in order to win Slams, you need to save your energy for the business end and so the American looks disadvantaged in terms of landing what would be quite an upset.

At least Alcaraz is in something of a similar boat. The two-time defending champion needed five sets in round one to get past the now-retired Fabio Fognini, while Jan-Lennard Struff and Andrey Rublev’s big-hitting also saw them win sets against the Spaniard.

Fritz surely has to come out all guns blazing here, although maintaining that will be the issue. He certainly started well against Karen Khachanov in the last round only to stumble in the third set and was then almost taken into a decider.

He’ll know he’s lost both previous meetings with Alcaraz in straight sets and the second seed’s dominance is summed up by the fact he’s broken the big Fritz serve seven times in four sets with the American winning just the one return game.

I suspect this one goes the same way of those Rublev and Struff matches for Alcaraz.

Fritz may well be able to trouble him in periods but not for the full two-hour (minimum) period required to win.

The betting suggestion is therefore to back Alcaraz to win and both players to win a set.

• Best bet: Alcaraz to win & both players to win a set (+130) at FanDuel

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Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic

The top half of the draw has got the semi-final many predicted - a classic master v apprentice battle.

Sinner will be looking to reach his first Wimbledon final; Djokovic his 11th.

The Italian is, though, the favorite.

He’s posted four straight-sets wins en route to this stage, although the one match that didn’t go that way will give Djokovic plenty of hope.

Sinner was two sets down to Grigor Dimitrov in the last 16 only for his opponent to suffer a match-ending injury. The Bulgarian showed that if you serve well and take the game to Sinner on this surface, he is vulnerable.

Djokovic, who has dropped three sets so far, is certainly capable of hitting his spots on serve but recent history suggests he may struggle on return.

It seems odd to say that about one of the sport’s great returners but the fact is that in his last three matches against Sinner, he has broken serve only once. In two of those matches, he failed to create a single break point.

With this in mind, backing Djokovic for under 2.5 breaks of serve looks tempting - bet365 offer that outcome at even money.

Bettors, however, would be wise to tread carefully with this match.

Sinner suffered a nasty fall against Dimitrov and was wearing support for his elbow against Ben Shelton in the last round. He says he’ll be 100% for this match but it’s hard to say whether that will really be the case.

As for Djokovic, he also slipped and fell nastily towards the end of his victory over Flavio Cobolli. It did look a really awkward one and while the Serb was quickly up (and winning) he admitted afterwards that it was a concern and that he’d be checking things out prior to this contest.

• Best bet: Djokovic under 2.5 breaks of serve (+100) at bet365

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