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Wimbledon 2023 Odds, Best Futures Picks, Predictions

Written by: Andy Schooler
Updated July 1, 2023
21 min read
Wimbledon Predictions and Odds

Wimbledon Men’s Singles Picks

Most likely winner – Novak Djokovic (-155 at PointsBet)

Seven-time Wimbledon champion, including six of the last eight and four in a row. On course for the Grand Slam this season having won in Australia and France already. What’s not to like about the title favourite? Very much looks the one to beat and with many doubts over his title rivals’ ability on grass, warrants support even at a short price of -155 (PointsBet).

Contender – Alex de Minaur (+8000 at PointsBet)

Looking in fine form at the recent warm-up event at London’s Queen’s Club and admits he loves playing on the grass. A great retriever and strong on the volley, it’s not difficult to make comparisons with Lleyton Hewitt, who was the last non-Big Four winner of this title way back in 2002. If the recent hot and dry weather in the UK has firmed up the courts – as it did in 2019 – that will also help De Minaur’s case. Has avoided Djokovic’s half of the draw so looks a decent play at +8000 with PointsBet.

Outsider – Francisco Cerundolo (+50000 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Hear me out. This second quarter looks the weakest section of the draw with high seeds Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas both likely to struggle to make the latter stages. Cerundolo could take advantage. He beat Tommy Paul at Queen’s Club and backed that up with a run to the final in Eastbourne. He’s defied those who simply see him as a claycourter but it should be remembered he’s shone on hardcourts in Miami before and these days Wimbledon doesn’t play as fast as it once did. Maybe worth a punt at a massive +50000 (DraftKings Sportsbook, PointsBet) and a possible quarter bet too.

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Potential R1 upset – Guido Pella to beat Borna Coric (+260 at Caesars Sportsbook)

It’s long been feast or famine with Coric, a player capable of some great runs (see Cincinnati last season) but also one who regularly loses early in tournaments. That’s been the case again during the grasscourt season so far with first-round losses in Den Bosch and Halle, both in straight sets. He’s now lost his opening match in seven of his 14 events in 2023 and Pella is more than capable of worsening that statistic. He’s a former Wimbledon quarter-finalist, who has beaten Marin Cilic, Kevin Anderson and Milos Raonic at the All England Club. He won’t be fazed by this matchup (it’s 1-1 on the head-to-head) and looks a good price at +260 with Ceasars Sportsbook.

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Wimbledon Ladies’ Singles Picks

Most likely winner – Aryna Sabalenka (+600 at PointsBet)

One of the three standout players of the season so far, Sabalenka has stepped up a notch in 2023, claiming her first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open and then reaching the last four of the French Open. On her last visit to Wimbledon she made the semi-finals and having been banned last year (due to Belarus’ part in the Ukraine war) will have added motivation. Her huge serve and crunching groundstrokes are major weapons on this surface and while the draw could have been kinder, she’s likely to be tough to beat at +600 (DraftKings Sportsbook, PointsBet).

Contender – Donna Vekic (+2800 at BetMGM)

The Croatian is one of few female players truly happy with the grass under her feet – she’s a former champion in Nottingham, has made the Birmingham final in the past and only last week finished runner-up in Berlin. Also looks well drawn having landed in the weaker top half of the draw, the section which includes top seed Iga Swiatek, who does not have a great record on this surface. Perhaps the market has adapted accordingly but there’s potentially still some value in Vekic’s price of +2800 (BetMGM).

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Outsider – Daria Kasatkina (+6500 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Another in the top half of the draw, Kasatkina has enjoyed good preparation for Wimbledon, reaching the final in Eastbourne, so should arrive with confidence flowing. She’s also a former quarter-finalist at this tournament and could be the one to trouble Swiatek having beaten her on grass two years ago – they could meet in the last eight. Kasatkina also leads Coco Gauff, another contender in the first quarter, 3-0 on the head-to-head. Basically, there’s enough to like about the Russian to back her at DraftKings Sportsbook, who go +6500.

Potential R1 upset – Shelby Rogers to beat Elena Rybakina (+650 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Rybakina’s title defence has been beset by problems. Forced to quit the French Open due to illness, the Kazakh revealed the issue was still bothering her almost month on when withdrawing from Bad Homburg last week and she’s subsequently had very little match practice on grass. Rogers has a great track record against the top names on the big stage, having beaten Ash Barty at the 2021 US Open and Simona Halep at the 2017 Australian Open. It’s also just a year since she defeated Rybakina on grass in Den Bosch. All things considered, a small-stakes wager on the upset at +650 with DraftKings Sportsbook looks worth chancing.

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How to Watch Wimbledon

  • What - Wimbledon
  • Location - All England Club, Wimbledon, London, England, UK
  • Time - Monday July 3 to Sunday July 16
  • How To Watch - ESPN and ABC (weekend matches)
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AUTHOR

Andy Schooler

70 Articles

Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.

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