AL Central Winner Odds & Predictions 2025: The Detroit Tigers are on the Brink of Collapse

• The Detroit Tigers had a 99% chance of winning the division title on September 10th

• The Tigers have lost their last eight games in a row and are 1-9 in their last 10

• Cleveland’s offense ranks in the bottom two in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage

While most divisions have a clear-cut favorite, the AL Central is wide open this season as four teams are capable of competing for the division title. The division's parity will make it one of the more exciting races to watch this year, as well as provide us with plenty of mid-season betting opportunities.

MLB AL Central Winner Odds

Odds taken from BetMGM. Sign up for BetMGM with our promo code WSNSPORTS and claim the following welcome bonus: Bet $10, Get $150 if You Win*. Read our BetMGM sportsbook review for more info.

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MLB AL Central Winner Predictions

Once considered a fringe playoff contender, the Cleveland Guardians are now firmly in the mix as they possess a one game lead over the Tigers for first in the AL Central and a two game lead over Houston in the wildcard standings. Unfortunately for Cleveland, negative regression looms large as their offense heads into the final stretch of the season ranked near dead last in Contact Rate, On Base Percentage, Total Runs Scored, and in Slugger Percentage.

As for the Minnesota Twins, the preseason betting favorites for the division title severely underperformed as they are going to finish in fourth place in the AL Central standings. Their lack of production on defense played a major role in their struggles as the Twins rank in the bottom ten in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage. Without support from their back end, the Twins were forced to compete in high variance contests which hurt their chances of winning.

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AL Central Winner - My Pick

Detroit Tigers (+450) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After losing their last eight games in a row, the Detroit Tigers are in serious jeopardy of losing the AL Central title to the Cleveland Guardians as they are currently one game back in the division standings. A stunning collapse as the Tigers had a 99% chance of winning the division as of September 10th. In order to avoid disaster, their pitching staff will need to quickly round back into form as their rotation currently ranks below league average in Total Pitching ERA.

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How to Bet on the MLB AL Central Winner

When looking to bet on a team to win their division, it’s vital to dig into their metrics on both sides of the field to see if they are capable of limiting the amount of variance in their contests to help rack up wins at a consistent rate. Those metrics include Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, Team Total ERA, and Defensive Efficiency.

It’s also important to keep an eye on the standings as a hedge opportunity may present itself if someone else is rivaling the team you bet on for first at a great price. This creates multiple profiting scenarios, allowing you to ride it out barring no one else throws their hat in the ring as a viable contender.

How to Read MLB AL Central Winner Odds

When betting on the AL Central winner market, it’s important to understand how the listed odds work. If you bet $100 on the Tigers at their early-season odds of +135 and they win the division, then you would profit $135.

If you wait to see if the Tigers get out to a strong lead and are listed with a minus sign in front of their odds (-125 for example), then you would need to wager $125 to profit $100. Reminder, always shop around before placing a wager as the listed odds can drastically vary between each sportsbook.

Where to Bet on the MLB AL Central Winner

As previously mentioned, it’s vital to have multiple sportsbooks as the odds for the same market can widely vary between each book. In regard to betting on the AL Central winner, BetMGM Sportsbook has been the top choice for the division as their odds edge out the rest. If you have not signed up yet with BetMGM, you can claim the following offer after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS: Bet $10, Get $150 if You Win*.

As for the official betting partner of the MLB, FanDuel Sportsbook is giving new users: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins. Unlike BetMGM, no promo code is required. New users just need to complete the registration process and win their first bet of at least $5.

MLB AL Central Winner History

The Cleveland Guardians have had the upper hand over the AL Central as of late as they currently lead the division with 12 division titles. Minnesota comes in at second with nine division titles while the Chicago White Sox and Detroit Tigers are tied for third with four apiece.

Unfortunately for the AL Central, only two division winners have managed to win the World Series in the same year with the Kansas City Royals winning both titles in 2015 and the Chicago White Sox in 2005. Making it back to the finals has been a struggle for the division as no one has pulled it off since the Cleveland Indians in 2016.