Hungarian Grand Prix at Hungaroring F1 - Predictions, Odds & Picks

Written by: Reid Spencer
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
Hungarian Grand Prix
  • Lewis Hamilton earns seventh pole at Hungaroring, goes for eighth victory at the twisty, 14-turn circuit.
  • Racing Point locks out the second row for Sunday’s race, as field of competitive cars has expanded in revised 2020 season.
  • Sebastian Vettel keeps his qualifying record intact, as Ferrari secures both third-row positions for Sunday.

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What Hungarian Grand Prix F1 race
Where Hungaroring, Mogyorod, Hungary
When Sunday, July 19, 9:10 a.m. EST
How to watch ESPN

The third F1 Grand Prix of the season, under the revised schedule, takes place at Hungaroring, a tight, twisty 2.722-mile 14-turn course where passing is notoriously challenging. Hungaroring has been described as “Monaco without the buildings” because of the difficulty in overtaking.

As a consequence, starting position is critical in the Hungarian Grand Prix, and pit strategy also can play a vital role, given that undercutting or overcutting on stops can be a more effective way to gain positions than passing on the track. With a great pit stop currently taking barely more than two seconds, the performance of the crew is vital, too.

The Hungarian Grand Prix lately has been the province of six-time F1 champion Lewis Hamilton, who has won the last two and five of the last eight. Hamilton will start from the pole on Sunday as he tries to win a second straight race and a third straight for Mercedes to start the 2020 season.

F1 at Hungaroring (Hungary) Odds

The odds for the Hungarian Grand Prix are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

Winner Odds
Lewis Hamilton -250
Valtteri Bottas +275
Sergio Perez +1400
Max Verstappen +1400
Lance Stroll +2200
Charles Leclerc +4000
Sebastian Vettel +4000
Lando Norris +7500
Carlos Sainz Jr. +7500
Alexander Albon +25000
Pierre Gasly +50000
Daniel Ricciardo +50000
Esteban Ocon +100000
George Russell +100000
Daniil Kvyat +250000
Antonio Giovinazzi +300000
Romain Grosjean +300000
Kevin Magnussen +300000
Kimi Raikkonen +300000
Nicholas Latifi +300000

Lewis Hamilton Continues Quest for F1 Milestones at Hungaroring

In time trials on Saturday, Lewis Hamilton won the 90th pole position of his career, extending his own record. In the process, his lap in 1:13.447 destroyed the qualifying record of 1:14.572 set by Max Verstappen last year. After winning the pole, Hamilton saw his odds for Sunday move from -167 to -250, emphasizing the importance of the top starting spot.

Hamilton’s teammate, Valtteri Bottas, was close behind with a lap in 1:13.554, giving Mercedes its 65th front-row lockout, tying Ferrari for the series record. As he seeks a record-tying seventh world title, Hamilton also has his sights on another mark on Sunday. With an eighth win in the Hungarian Grand Prix, he can tie Michael Schumacher (French Grand Prix) for most wins in a single F1 event.

The bottom line is that, after he broke his jinx at Red Bull Ring last Sunday, Hamilton is in top form and likely to take the checkered flag at Hungaroring. His main competition—perhaps his only competition—will come from his teammate.

Emergence of Racing Point Makes for a More Competitive Series

Behind the two Mercedes, the Racing Point entries of Lance Stroll and Sergio Perez grabbed the third and fourth spots on the grid, respectively. The emergence of Racing Point and the vast improvement of the McLarens driven by Lando Norris and Carlos Sainz Jr. already have rendered this season more competitive than those of the recent past.

The Racing Point drivers beat both Ferraris and the Red Bull of Max Verstappen, who will start seventh. Alexander Albon, in the second Red Bull, did not advance to Q3 and will start 13th on Sunday. Norris and Sainz secured the eighth and ninth spots on the grid.

Stroll was elated with the performance of his Racing Point BWT Mercedes.

“The car was really strong throughout qualifying—throughout the whole weekend, really,” Stroll said. “We’ve had the pace, and it was just about keeping it together during that qualifying session. Now I’m set up for tomorrow, and I’ll try to grab some big points.”

Sebastian Vettel Keeps His Streak Alive with Third-Row Run

Sebastian Vettel has a lot to be happy about in Saturday’s qualifying session at Hungaroring. In securing the fifth spot on the grid, Vettel extended a streak of top-five starts in the Hungarian Grand Prix that dates to 2009.

Vettel also beat Ferrari teammate Charles Leclerc, the acknowledged No. 1 driver on the team, with Vettel and Ferrari set to part ways at the end of the season. Aside from Hamilton, Vettel is the only driver in the field who has won a Hungarian Grand Prix, a feat he accomplished in 2015 and 2017.

Aside from preserving his top-five streak, however, the fifth starting spot won’t do Vettel any favors on Sunday. The two Ferraris were more than a full second slower than the Mercedes in time trials; to win a third Hungarian Grand Prix, Vettel will need assistance in the form of mechanical issues from those ahead of him on the grid.

Our Pick

Lewis Hamilton (-250)—The six-time F1 champion has the car and the starting spot to go with it. The only wild card is the possibility of a rare wet race in Hungary, but even that won’t stop Hamilton from his appointed rounds.

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Reid Spencer

NASCAR Betting Analyst

Betting Analyst
Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Drama
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
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48 years
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