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Image for Reid Spencer Reid Spencer - Updated October 14, 2022

Andy’s Frozen Custard 300: Based on His Record at Intermediate Speedways, Ty Gibbs Will Be Hard to Beat

  • Noah Gragson starts the Xfinity Series Playoffs with a big lead and a win streak.
  • Based on his record at intermediate speedways, Ty Gibbs will be hard to beat.
  • If you’re looking for a long shot at Texas, we suggest underrated Austin Hill.

Andy’s Frozen Custard 300 Betting Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Sign-up to get a $1,000 deposit bonus.

Winner Odds
Justin Allgaier +300
Ty Gibbs +400
Noah Gragson +400
John Hunter Nemechek +700
Josh Berry +800
Sam Mayer +900
Brandon Jones +1200
AJ Allmendinger +1200
Austin Hill +1500
Sheldon Creed +2000
Riley Herbst +2500

Our Picks for the Andy’s Frozen Custard 300

Ty Gibbs to win the race at +400

Ty Gibbs to beat Justin Allgaier head-to-head at +100

Noah Gragson to beat Justin Allgaier head-to-head at +100



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Andys Frozen Custard 300 Ty Gibbs

Andy’s Frozen Custard 300 Predictions

As Xfinity Playoffs Begin, Noah Gragson Brings Enormous Momentum

It would be difficult to enter the NASCAR Xfinity Series postseason on more of a roll than the one Noah Gragson currently enjoys.

The driver of the No. 9 JR Motorsports Chevrolet has won the last three races—at Darlington, Kansas and Bristol—giving him six victories for the season.

Gragson enters the Playoffs on top of the 12-driver grid, 46 points ahead of Sam Mayer and Jeremy Clements, who are tied for eighth. After the three Round of 12 races at Texas, Talladega, and the Charlotte Roval, the Playoff field will be cut from 12 drivers to eight.

Although picking Gragson (+400 via DraftKings Sportsbook) is a tempting proposition, it’s extremely difficult to win four straight races in any of NASCAR’s national divisions.

While we don’t like Gragson to win on Saturday, we do think he’ll beat teammate and race favorite Justin Allgaier heads-up. Take Gragson to win the matchup at even odds.

Based on His Record at Intermediate Tracks, Ty Gibbs Will Contend

The numbers speak for themselves. Ty Gibbs is an absolute monster when it comes to racing on 1.5-mile intermediate speedways.

The driver of the No. 54 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota has a win in two starts at Atlanta. He has a win in two starts at Charlotte, at Kansas and at Las Vegas. You get the idea.

Gibbs is coming to Texas for his second start at the speedway in Fort Worth. We think the 19-year-old will pick up his first win there and add another 1.5-miler to his collection.

At +400 via DraftKings, Gibbs won’t make you rich, but he’s a solid choice for the Playoff opener. We also like him to beat Justin Allgaier heads-up at +100.

Looking for a Long Shot? Austin Hill Is a Good Choice on Fast Tracks

With Noah Gragson, Ty Gibbs, Justin Allgaier and AJ Allmendinger combining to win 17 of the first 26 NASCAR Xfinity Series races, it’s easy to overlook rookie Austin Hill.

But Hill has two wins of his own, and he needs a strong showing at Texas to solidify his position in the Playoff standings.

Earlier this season, in his third Texas starts (and his first for Richard Childress Racing), Hill started third and finished fifth. In his two most recent Truck Series races there, he finished second and fourth.

So if you’re inclined to bet long shots, we think Hill is your best choice at +1500. We’re hesitant to bet him to finish in the top three because the risk isn’t worth the reward at +350.



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How to Watch the Andy’s Frozen Custard 300

Race Andy’s Frozen Custard 300 NASCAR Xfinity Series race
Location Texas Motor Speedway
Time Saturday, September 24, 3:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch USA

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Image for Reid Spencer


Reid Spencer

198 Articles

Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]

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