Best TNF Prop Bets Tonight Week 5
Thursday Night Football looks like a low-scoring affair as the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts will likely be without their starting running backs.
The Colts are without Taylor as he injured his ankle and they’re on a short week.
The Broncos are definitely without Javonte Williams—he’s out for the year with a brutal injury.
While those two are out of the equation, there are plenty of other players we can look to for player prop bets.
Let’s take a look.
Denver Broncos vs. Indianapolis Colts: Best Prop Bets
Jerry Jeudy Under 3.5 Receptions (+120) at DraftKings
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Heading into this one, Broncos wide receiver Jerry Jeudy has lined up all over the field each week, though he does play more out of the slot than anything. There, he’ll see plenty of Colts cornerback Kenny Moore II who’s struggled this season, but there’s more to this than just a simple WR vs. CB matchup.
The Broncos are without Williams here, but they still have a stable of backs in Melvin Gordon, Mike Boone, and the newly-signed Latavius Murray.
The passing game for the Broncos has been relatively middle of the pack at 226.3 per game, while the Colts have allowed under 210.
So far this year, Jeudy has had up-and-down games target-wise, posting 7, 3, 6, and 5 through the first four weeks.
He’s topped 3.5 receptions twice—Weeks 1 and 4.
He did leave Week 2 early, but this line of 3.5 against a defense that, as a whole, has been decent against the pass, combined with an offense that’s so-so in the passing game, is a bit too steep.
We’ll get the plus price and roll the dice on Jeudy going under.
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Michael Pittman Over 5.5 Receptions (+106) at Caesars
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This one is simple: Without Taylor in the lineup, the last hope for the Colts’ offense is wide receiver, Michael Pittman.
While he saw just six targets last week, he caught no less than eight passes in his previous two games (he missed Week 2).
Quarterback Matt Ryan has been lousy to start the year, but Pittman is his go-to guy. Pittman will face Broncos cornerback Ronald Darby for the most part. He’s allowed less than 10 catches all year, but Pittman is someone that can beat him.
The offense doesn’t have the Taylor crutch anymore. Look for Ryan to target Pittman well over 10 times.
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Courtland Sutton Under 4.5 Receptions (+100) at BetMGM
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The logic here is in line with Jeudy, but Sutton will face the best defense the Colts have—cornerback Stephon Gilmore.
He’s gone over the 4.5 line in every game this season except Week 1, but this is a tough offense to trust, especially against a secondary that’s been deceptively solid while going up against their best defender.
Quarterback Russell Wilson will likely spread the ball around a bit when passing. Still, they’ll look to get the running game on track with Williams out for the season—they have a stable of guys now that they need to get acclimated to the offense.
It’s not unlikely for Sutton to do damage with four catches, either. A line of four catches for 70 yards and maybe a touchdown seems possible here.
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