Bo Nix has thrown three interceptions in two games, while the Chargers forced three interceptions last week.
Courtland Sutton was only targeted four times in Denver’s Week 2 loss.
Justin Herbert has five touchdown passes over the first two weeks of the season.
Things continue to get interesting in the AFC West this week when the Denver Broncos visit the Los Angeles Chargers. The Broncos are one controversial call away from being 2-0, while the Chargers sit atop the division at 2-0 after beating their other two AFC West rivals in the first two weeks of the season. With the Chiefs at 0-2, both teams have an opportunity to seize control of the AFC West with a win, especially if it's the Chargers, who could move to 3-0, and perhaps more importantly, 3-0 inside the division.
Despite it being early in the season, it’s interesting to see how the AFC West odds have shifted from Kansas City being the clear favorite. Of course, both the Broncos and Chargers have more than just a division title on their minds for 2025. Both have Super Bowl LX odds that are worth considering at this point in the season.
Over the last nine seasons, the Broncos have a slight 10-8 edge over the Chargers in head-to-head games. In fact, there is an even 5-5 split between these rivals over the last five years. That makes this game tough to call, which is why we’ve decided to focus on prop bets. For props, bet365 Sportsbook is among our best NFL betting sites, especially since new customers receive $200 in bonus bets as soon as they make an initial wager of $5.
Ball security has been a big issue for Nix early in the season. He’s already thrown three interceptions over two games, contributing to the Broncos having a close call against the Titans in Week 1 and suffering a close loss to the Colts in Week 2. While Denver was the better team in both games, those mistakes by Nix negated some of that. After throwing 12 interceptions as a rookie, it’s clear Nix still hasn’t learned to value the ball enough.
On the other side, the Los Angeles defense has already forced three interceptions over two games. Granted, all three of those were thrown by Geno Smith last week. But if the Chargers can force a veteran like Smith into mistakes, they can do the same against Nix, making it a safe bet that Denver’s young quarterback will throw at least one pick.
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Sutton didn’t have the best body language during last week’s loss to the Colts. That shouldn’t be a surprise after he had just one catch on four targets. While that could be an aberration, Troy Franklin has more targets than Sutton through two weeks. Franklin and Nix played in college together, so there appears to be more chemistry between those two than between Nix and Sutton.
Even when Sutton got a healthy volume of targets in Week 1, he only finished with 61 receiving yards. While Nix could make more of an effort to look Sutton’s way this week, it would be a big leap for him to get anywhere near 60 receiving yards. Keep in mind the Chargers only allowed 180 passing yards last week. They also know that Sutton is Denver’s best weapon, so they’ll be watching him closely, keeping him under 58.5 receiving yards.
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It’s a little hard to bet against Justin Herbert, who has thrown five touchdown passes over his first two games. At the same time, the Chargers are yet to score a rushing touchdown this season. Herbert is looking sharp, so Jim Harbaugh is putting faith in him to get the ball in the end zone rather than rely on the running game.
However, Denver’s defense is a different animal. The Broncos have allowed just one passing touchdown across their first two games. In fact, they lost last week mostly because of field goals, only allowing two total touchdowns despite giving up 29 points. Meanwhile, Herbert has just three touchdown passes across his last three games against the Broncos. Denver’s familiarity with him should help the Broncos continue to stay tough against the pass.
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