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Best Commanders vs. Falcons Prop Bets: Can the Falcons Bounce Back After a Brutal Week 3 Blowout?

Published: September 27, 2025, 09:00 AM ET
4 min read
  • Drake London had 1,271 receiving yards last season

  • Bijan Robinson leads the team in receiving and rushing this season

  • Deebo Samuel had 14 catches through the first two weeks

The Atlanta Falcons were on the wrong end of an embarrassing 30-0 loss to the Panthers last week. Now they’ll head home to try and bounce back against the Washington Commanders. While Jayden Daniels' status remains up in the air, we see three prop bets that we love heading into Sunday.

Below, we will share our three bets for this NFC matchup. All odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. If you’d like to give Caesars a try, use promo code WSN20X to claim a “Bet $1, Double Your Winnings on Next 20 Bets” offer.

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Commanders vs Falcons 2025 09 28 Bijan Robinson

Drake London Over 80+ Receiving Yards (+125) at Caesars Sportsbook

For the second year in a row, Drake London has massively underperformed to start the season. While it seemed he was set to break out last week, Michael Penix Jr fell apart as the game went on. It was stunning to see against a bad Panthers defense, but we have seen enough from this team to believe they will bounce back.

We have seen the 24-year-old former USC star show why the Falcons took him in the first round of the 2022 draft. He finished last season with 1,271 yards and nine touchdowns, even as the Falcons quarterback situation was in flux. 

The Penix-London connection is too good to stay quiet this long. We believe a banged-up Washington team will be vulnerable on the road, allowing Atlanta to get back in the win column and remain in the NFC South race. 

These teams met last at the end of last season, with London catching seven passes for 106 yards.

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Bijan Robinson Anytime TD (-176) at Caesars Sportsbook

Robinson has just one touchdown on the season, but he has been electric for the Falcons. He has 239 rushing yards and 164 receiving yards, leading the team in both categories. Considering the young back scored 15 combined touchdowns last season, including two against Washington, we believe he is due to start racking them up this weekend.

The Commanders' run defense has impressive stats, but games against the Giants and Raiders inflate them. When they faced an actual test against the Packers in Week 2, they gave up 135 yards, one touchdown, and a 4.5 YPC average.

Through three games, Robinson is averaging an impressive 5.1 YPC, despite the offense’s inconsistency. He is getting a ton of volume, which will make him a solid anytime touchdown bet any week of the season.

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Deebo Samuel Anytime TD (+140) at Caesars Sportsbook

While we don’t know who will be starting at quarterback this weekend, we do believe Deebo Samuel will be set up for success.

Although the veteran has lost a step, he remains a dangerous playmaker who can be utilized in multiple ways. This not only makes him challenging to cover, but also opens up the rest of the offense. With Washington having plenty of talented pass catchers, Samuel is also finding more open room to work.

Deebo only saw two catches and three carries last weekend for a total of 29 yards. This was a disappointing outing, but it can be blamed on Marcus Mariota starting at quarterback for the first time this season. He connected with other players he’s worked with before, but that will change if he starts again this week. More practice and meetings will help the duo’s rapport, leading to a big game in Week 4.

If Jayden Daniels is cleared to play and Marriota returns to the bench, it would be fantastic news for Deebo. In two games with Daniels under center, Deebo has 14 receptions for 121 yards and a touchdown. He also scored a rushing touchdown in the team’s opening game.

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Michael Savio WSN Contributors

Michael Savio

Sports Betting Analyst

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Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
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