Drake Maye is currently listed as the betting favorite to win the MVP award
The New England Patriots won the AFC East title after Buffalo lost in week 17
The Miami Dolphins defensive line ranks dead last in Pass Rush PFF Grade
Since the start of the regular season, Drake Maye has played at a very high level as the New England Patriots quarterback is currently listed as the betting favorite to win the NFL MVP award. In an AFC East divisional matchup against Miami, Maye will have a great opportunity to strengthen his claim for the award as he faces off against a Dolphins defensive line who struggles to generate pressure.
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| Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown Scorer | +225 | CLAIM HERE |
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In his second year with New England, Drake Maye has quickly established himself as one of the best quarterbacks in the league as the Patriots' signal caller resides near the top of the board in Quarterback EPA per Play. His ability to take care of the ball has played a major role in his success this season as Maye currently ranks in the top-10 in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage.
In a favorable matchup against Miami, Maye will have a great opportunity to seize the MVP award as he faces off against a Dolphins front seven who ranks dead last in Pass Rush PFF Grade. For some more exposure, escalator bet Maye’s Passing Yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.
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With the Dolphins blitzing their linebackers at one of the heaviest rates in the league, their lack of bodies across the middle will make it hard for them to keep a defender on the Patriots pass catcher's hips for the full duration of their routes. With the Dolphins struggling to create disruptions at the point of contact, the amount of Havoc in Maye’s throws will drastically decline which will help him keep a clean sheet.
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When near the goal line, Maye has been surgical as he also ranks well above league average in Big Time Throw Percentage. With the Dolphins' secondary struggling to take advantage of the shortened field as their bottom ten mark in Def EPA indicates, Maye will be able to consistently exploit their gaps in coverage and clear the over on his passing touchdown prop. Should the total on this prop climb up to 2.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
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Not only has Maye been able to thrive through the air, but he has also been able to gash opposing defenses with his legs as he is averaging over four Yards per Carry. His dual threat ability puts opposing linebackers in a tough spot as they can ill afford to stay in coverage for too long as Maye is capable of burning them as soon as a running lane opens up.
With the Dolphins crashing their linebackers down to the trenches at a high rate, Maye will have more room to work with when he scrambles to the outside which increases his chances of punching one in for six. If a Rushing Yardage market opens up for Maye, then look to bet the over at no higher than 24.5.
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Passing Yards: 4,203
Passing Touchdowns: 30
Completion Percentage: 71.7%
Total Interceptions: 8
Average Yards per Throw: 8.9
Passing Yards per Game: 262.7
Rushing Yards: 409
Rushing Touchdowns: 4
Average Yards per Carry: 4.2
Rushing Yards per Game: 25.6
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