Best Lamar Jackson Player Props for Ravens vs. Chiefs in Week 4

• Lamar Jackson threw for 288 yards and 3 touchdowns against Detroit in week three

• Jackson is currently listed near the top of the oddsboard for the MVP award

• The Kansas City Chiefs' defense ranks below league average in Def DVOA and in EPA

It has been a disappointing start to the year for Kansas City as the Chiefs head into Sunday’s contest against Baltimore ranked below league average in Def DVOA and in EPA. With the Chiefs struggling to defend at all three levels of the field, Lamar Jackson will have a great opportunity to put together a dominant performance and strengthen his claim for the NFL MVP award.

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Best Lamar Jackson Player Props in Week 4

Lamar Jackson Over 224.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Through the first three weeks of the season, Lamar Jackson has built a strong case for being listed as one of the top contenders for the MVP award as he currently ranks top-5 in Quarterback EPA per play. Even in their loss against Detroit, Jackson still dazzled as he finished the contest throwing for 288 yards and 3 touchdowns while completing 77% of his throws.

Jackson will be in a favorable position to build on his momentum against Kansas City as he faces off against a defense who struggles to generate pressure as their below league average mark in Pass Rush PFF Grade indicates. When in a clean pocket, the amount of Havoc in Jackson’s throws drastically decreases which will help him sustain drives down the field.

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Lamar Jackson Over 18.5 Pass Completions (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With negative regression looming over the Chiefs' defensive line, the middle of their defense will be vulnerable as they also crash down their linebackers at one of the heaviest rates in the league. Especially when Baltimore’s offensive line excels at holding their ground in pass sets as the Ravens front five enters the contest ranked top-10 in Pass Block Win Rate.

With Jackson getting to sit back in the pocket, the quality of his passing lanes increases as his deep group of pass catchers will have more time in the open field to break away from the Chiefs' coverage. For some more exposure, escalator bet Jackson Pass Completions prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

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Lamar Jackson Under 47.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Not only have the Chiefs struggled to defend against the pass, but their front seven also underwhelms in their efforts of stopping the run as they rank in the bottom ten in Run Defense Win Rate and in PFF Grade. Their inability to plug the gaps in the trenches allows opposing offensive lines to create wider running lanes for running backs to exploit.

This may lead to a heavier workload for Derrick Henry as the NFL Offensive Player of the Year contender ranks top-10 in Yards After Expected per attempt. With Jackson projected to see a decrease in his usage rate, the chances of him staying under the total on his rushing yardage prop increases.

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Lamar Jackson Under 8.5 Rush Attempts (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With the Chiefs' defensive line struggling to get to the quarterback, Jackson will not be forced to create plays with his legs which will further eat away at his total number of carries. Should the total on Jackson’s rush attempts prop drop down to 7.5, then reduce the size of your wager as kneel downs will count towards his total if the Ravens have a lead at the end of the contest.

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Lamar Jackson 2025 Stats

• Passing Yards: 722

• Passing Touchdowns: 9

• Interceptions: 0

• Completion Percentage: 72.0%

• Rushing Yards: 118

• Rushing Touchdowns: 1

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