NFL 2018 Season Predictions and Betting Picks: AFC East

For those NFL fans who love to gamble, it’s been a terrific year.

That’s because on May 14, 2018, the United States Supreme Court overturned the federal ban on gambling known as the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act (PASPA).

Now instead of having to go to Las Vegas to bet on professional and college football games, gamblers will be able to go to their local betting parlors and casinos in whichever state they live to place whatever NFL bets they like.

Unfortunately, though, that’s going to take a little more time to get set up.

So until all those new American parlors and casinos are put in place (and they will be!), online betting will continue to rule.

However and wherever you choose to place your bets, the 2018 NFL season will provide fans with plenty of opportunities to gamble, so we thought we’d offer a little help in that department.

This article series lists the current odds posted at four of the top online NFL betting sites:

  • BETOnline (BO)
  • Intertops (IT)
  • SPORTSBetting (SB)
  • GT Bets (GT)

We’ve included the betting odds for every team in each NFL division, their chances of winning their division, their conference and the Super Bowl. But remember, odds can change, so be sure to check what’s actually listed online before placing any bets.

Only gamble what you can afford to lose but study the odds to keep your losing to a minimum and shop around for the best odds to keep your winning to a maximum.

Good luck.

This is the AFC East

For fourteen of the last fifteen seasons, the AFC East has belonged to the New England Patriots.  And despite constant rumors that there is ongoing discontent between quarterback Tom Brady and head coach Bill Belichick, the odds makers believe that not even a little friction like that will prevent the Patriots from once again ending up on top of their division and in the Super Bowl in 2018.

The Buffalo Bills, Miami Dolphins and New York Jets expect to benefit from having healed players and making significant personnel changes during the offseason, but if the Patriots have even a decent season (for them) these other AFC East teams will be lucky just to qualify for a Wild Card spot.

The New England Patriots (+700 to win SB LIII)

Though the Patriots lost to the Philadelphia Eagles in the Super Bowl last season by a score of 41-33, it was their third stab at the Lombardi trophy in four years, tenth overall.

Chances are in 2018 it’s going to happen again.

Predicted to win @11-12 games this season, staying healthy is New England’s main goal, having suffered over a dozen injuries last season.

Edelman back, McDaniels never left

Wide receiver Julian Edelman, a favorite Tom Brady target, is healed from his ACL tear, but will be out for the first four games due to a suspension for violating the league’s performance-enhancing drug policy. He sat out the entire 2017 season, but in 2016 caught 98 passes for 1,106 yards and 3 TDs, ran 12 times for 57 yards and returned 15 punts for 135 yards.

 Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels will be returning after surprisingly reneging on an agreement to head coach the Indianapolis Colts. The move received a lot of negative social media backlash as well as caused his long-time agent Bob LaMonte to terminate his representation of McDaniels, distractions that the team will need to ignore.

Patricia gone, Gronk still here

Famed defensive coordinator Matt Patricia is now the head coach of the Detroit Lions, and it looks like Belichick doesn’t plan to replace him. Instead, he’ll run the defense himself while linebackers coach Brian Flores will call the plays.

Negotiations with All-Pro tight end Rob Gronkowski are still underway, but all signs point to a restructured contract and Gronk catching balls and knocking down defenders in 2018. In 14 games last season, he caught 69 balls for 1084 yards and 8 TDs, averaging 15.7 yards per reception.

Brady still GOATing

At 40 years of age, quarterback Tom Brady’s skills don’t seem to be slipping and his body still seems extremely capable of handling the brutality of a full season. He hasn’t missed a game to injury in 10 seasons.

Brady is one of only two NFL players to ever win five Super Bowls, and the odds seem to be in favor of his and Belichick’s Patriots doing it again in 2018.

Tom Brady - New England Patriots

Odds that the New England Patriots will win:

The AFC East: BO: -500, IT: -833, SB: -500, GT: -600

The AFC Championship: BO: +300, IT: +175, SB: +300, GT: +230

The Super Bowl: BO: +700, IT: +500, SB: +700, GT: +425

The Buffalo Bills (+10000 to win SB LIII)

Last season, the second-place Buffalo Bills barely grabbed a wild card spot in the playoffs, but the Jacksonville Jaguars kept them to just a field goal in that game, beating them 10-3. That did end the Bills’ 18-year playoff drought, however, which up to that point had been the longest in the NFL.

According to Sports Illustrated MMQB writer Jonathan Jones, the 2018 Buffalo Bills will end up with a league-worst record of 2-14, and given their +10000 odds to win the Super Bowl, the odds makers apparently agree.

Who’s under center here?

2018 looks even tougher than last season for the Bills, mostly because their quarterback situation is entirely up in the air. The Bills traded away Tyrod Taylor, the quarterback who got them to the playoffs, and then traded three draft picks to get Wyoming’s rocket-armed Josh Allen.

Last year’s backup, second year player Nathan Peterman, has showed some skills at training camp and is listed as QB3 on the roster. He’ll probably spend most of the 2018 season clip-boarding on the sidelines.

The starter will most likely be signed free agent A.J. McCarron, who, as the backup to the Bengals’ Andy Dalton, played in only 11 games during his four-year NFL career. McCarron, who came within one missed signing deadline away from being the Browns quarterback in 2017, signed a two-year, $10 million contract with Buffalo.

Bills’ offense and the Crimson Tide

The Buffalo offense ranked 29th last season, so they brought in Brian Daboll as the new coordinator. Daboll spent last season doing the same job for the Alabama Crimson Tide, helping the team win a National College Championship.  He’s also been a part of five Super Bowl teams.

Too Shady to play?

Daboll may or may not have 10,000 yard rusher LeSean ‘Shady’ McCoy to work with, since McCoy has been accused of sending ‘people’ to his ex-girlfriend’s house to beat her up and steal back the jewelry he’d given her.

He’ll have super-lawyer Don Samuel representing him, the same attorney who defended Baltimore Ravens’ Ray Lewis against a double-homicide accusation and Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger against sexual assault allegations.

All drama aside, for you true believers betting on Buffalo, take the time to look around at all of the online gambling sites since the Bills betting odds seem to be all over the place.

LeSean McCoy - Buffalo Bills

Odds that the Buffalo Bills will win:

The AFC East: BO: +1000, IT: +1200, SB: +1000, GT: +1000

The AFC Championship: BO: +4000, IT: +3300, SB: +4000, GT: +3500

The Super Bowl: BO: +10000, IT: +6600, SB: +10000, GT: +7500

The Miami Dolphins (+10000 to win SB LIII)

After losing wide receiver Jarvis Landry and defensive end Ndamukong Suh in the offseason, the 2018 Miami Dolphins are counting on the return of a healthy Ryan Tannehill to power their team back to relevancy.

A brand new offensive coordinator, Dowell Loggains, will be in charge of bringing together a healthy Tannehill and a revamped offensive squad.

Tannehill flashed brilliance at training camp

With his newly repaired knee and a hunger to play, Tannehill re-established himself as the Dolphins’ leader by showing up to mini- and training camp with a full understanding of the offense and a true veteran presence.  

Tannehill was reportedly making crisp passes with good velocity, tutoring rookies about the offense and “running his mouth at practice” towards the defense to elevate the competition, all good signs that he’s ready to take charge of the struggling Dolphins once again. He’s wearing a knee brace, and on one of its struts in the back is etched, “Tannehill 2.0”.

Free agents to the rescue?

To fill the giant offensive hole left by Landry’s departure, general manager Chris Grier signed free agent wide receivers Danny Amendola from the New England Patriots and Albert Wilson from the Kansas City Chiefs. In minicamp, Amendola looked impressive in the slot position and showed a perfectionist’s Super Bowl winning approach to practicing.

First round draft pick tight end Mike Gesicki is also expected to chip in with some Tannehill catches. Gesicki holds the record for most receptions by a tight end in Penn State history, 129.

Fitzpatrick ready for action

Under defensive coordinator Matt Burke, the Miami defense went from being ranked from 29th in the league up to 16th last season. But they only snagged 30 interceptions, which caused their opponents’ passer rating to blow up to 94.6, which ranked 28th in the league.

Enter newly drafted first round pick Minkah Fitzpatrick, who’s now at free safety. Over three seasons at Alabama, Fitzpatrick had 9 interceptions, 24 passes defended and 5 sacks.

With a healthy Tannehill and an improved defense, the Fins may defy the odds and place better than third in the AFC East.

Miami Dolphins - Betting Picks

Odds that the Miami Dolphins will win:

The AFC East: BO: +800, IT: +1200, SB: +800, GT: +1200

The AFC Championship: BO: +4000, IT: +4000, SB: +4000, GT: +5000

The Super Bowl: BO: +10000, IT: +10000, SB: +10000, GT: +10000

The New York Jets (+15000 to win SB LIII)

The New York Jets went 5-11 last season after starting out the year with a relatively hopeful record of 3-2.  To blame were penalties (119 for 1035 yards, fifth worst in the NFL), low rushing numbers (106.4 yards per game, 19th in the NFL), an ineffective defense that gave up 352.3 yards per game (25th in the NFL) and a lack of a franchise quarterback.

Now the much improved 2018 Jets are one of many NFL teams counting on revamped quarterback room to improve their miserable offense that only averaged 18.6 points per game and ranked 28th in the league last year.

Jets quarterback room better but still questionable

This offseason, general manager Mike Maccagnan re-signed quarterback Josh McCown, signed former Minnesota Viking Teddy Bridgewater and drafted highly sought after first round pick Sam Darnold.

At OTAs and minicamp, Darnold showed he’s learning the playbook and has no problem learning from his mistakes, but he’s been a holdout at the beginning of Jets training camp until the “contract language” is straightened out.

Bridgewater moved around well despite not having played for two seasons due to a knee injury and McCown made 71.4% of his throws, a marked improvement over his career passing average of 60.4%.

The unenviable quarterback choice for head coach Todd Bowles: last year’s guy, the rusty guy or the rookie.

Two former Cleveland Browns in the house

Offensive coordinator Jeremy Bates has two new offensive weapons at his disposal to help improve a Jets offense ranked 28th last year. Running back Isaiah Crowell, who ran for 853 yards and 2 TDs and caught 28 balls for 182 yards with the horrific Browns last season, will try to improve a Jets running attack that only averaged 106.4 yards per game.

Not only did newly acquired wide receiver Terrelle Pryor used to play for the Browns, he also used to play quarterback, which gives Bates some extra offensive options. The speedy Pryor missed most of last season with the Redskins due to ankle surgery but still snagged a one-year deal with the Jets worth $4.5 million with $2 million of that guaranteed.

The Jets 25th ranked defense improved

Defensive coordinator Kacy Rodgers got some much-needed offseason help when the Jets signed free agent linebackers Avery Williamson, Kevin Pierre-Louis and Brandon Copeland.

Along with signed cornerback Trumaine Johnson, Rodgers’ squad must do better than last season when they allowed opponents to pass for 234.3 yards per game, 21st in the NFL.

Regardless of all of their hopeful offseason moves, chances you don’t want to bet on the Jets to excel in 2018.

New York Jets - Betting Picks

Odds that the New York Jets will win:

The AFC East: BO: +1400, IT: +1100, SB: +1400, GT: +1200

The AFC Championship: BO: +6600, IT: +6600, SB: +6600, GT: +5000

The Super Bowl: BO: +15000, IT: +15000, SB: +15000, GT: +10000