Best Sam Darnold Player Props for 49ers vs. Seahawks in the Divisional Round

• Sam Darnold’s 14 interceptions this season were the third-most in the NFL.

• The 49ers tied for the second-fewest interceptions during the regular season, forcing just six.

• The San Francisco defense only allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more during the regular season.

As the quarterback for the top-seeded Seattle Seahawks, a lot will be expected of Sam Darnold when his team hosts the San Francisco 49ers in Saturday’s Divisional Round playoff matchup. Despite a good season, Darnold is perhaps the biggest question mark for the Seahawks heading into their playoff opener. His only previous playoff start came last season, and Darnold didn’t have his best game, as he and the Vikings lost to the Rams. Needless to say, Darnold will be looking to redeem himself this week and be a difference-maker for Seattle.

In some respects, Darnold’s season has been overlooked. He threw for over 4,000 yards with 25 touchdown passes, while leading the Seahawks to a 14-3 record. Yet, he’s nowhere near the NFL MVP race. On the other hand, Darnold has succeeded from a team perspective because Seattle enters the Divisional Round as the leading favorite to win Super Bowl.

With so much attention on Darnold this week, and for good reason, he’s a fascinating player to look at from a prop bet perspective. We’ve taken a close look at this matchup and picked out three prop bets involving Darnold that are worth considering.

Best Sam Darnold Player Props for 49ers vs. Seahawks

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Sam Darnold Over 19.5 Pass Completions (-115) at bet365 Sportsbook

This isn’t a big threshold to reach, even if this ends up being a low-scoring game. Darnold had 20 completions against the 49ers in Week 18, and that came in a defensive slugfest in which the Seahawks only scored 13 points. While the Seahawks are sometimes happy to lean on their running game and take the ball out of Darnold’s hands, he’s completed at least 20 passes in four of his last five games.

The San Francisco defense also plays a big role in taking the over for this bet. The San Francisco defense allowed the second-most pass completions in the NFL during the regular season. They also allowed the fifth-highest completion percentage by opposing quarterbacks. Darnold also had one of the highest completion percentages among starting quarterbacks this season. Look for the Seahawks to let Darnold throw the ball but keep things simple in this game, leading to a high completion percentage and at least 20 completions against the 49ers.

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Sam Darnold Under 0.5 Interceptions (-115) at bet365 Sportsbook 

This bet is a little tricky because Darnold didn’t exactly excel in ball security this season. His 14 interceptions were the third most by any quarterback, with only Geno Smith and Tua Tagovailoa throwing more. But with Seattle having an elite defense, Darnold should know to avoid risky passes and just manage the game. It’s also worth noting that he didn’t throw an interception in either game against the 49ers during the regular season.

Of course, that’s not a coincidence because the 49ers had just six interceptions all season. Other than the Jets, who infamously had no interceptions, that’s tied for the fewest picks in the league. While they forced an interception by Philip Rivers in Week 16, that’s San Francisco’s only pick in the team’s last six games. That makes us confident that Darnold should be able to avoid a costly interception this week.

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Sam Darnold Longest Pass Completion Under 37.5 Yards (-115) at bet365 Sportsbook

While the 49ers may have struggled to create takeaways, they did excel when it came to preventing the big play. The 49ers allowed just five pass plays of 40 yards or more this season. Only four other teams allowed fewer big plays in the passing game. That leads us to think that Darnold won’t be able to complete a pass over 37.5 yards.

As mentioned, Seattle’s top-notch defense means the Seahawks will be able to stay safe and conservative on offense. Even with a big-play receiver like Jaxon Smith-Njigba, the Seahawks won’t force anything. Darnold’s longest completion has been under 37.5 yards in four of his last six games, and he doesn’t have a completion over 24 yards across his last two games. He’s not suddenly going to start taking deep shots in a playoff game.

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Sam Darnold Stats

• Completions: 323

• Attempts: 477

• Yards: 4,048

• Completion Percentage: 67.7%

• Yards per Pass: 8.5

• Passing Touchdowns: 24

• Interceptions: 14

• Carries: 35

• Rushing Yards: 95

• Yards Per Carry: 2.7

• Rushing Touchdowns: 0