The Bills beat the Ravens in the AFC Divisional Round in 2024
Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson finished top two in 2024 MVP voting
The Ravens and Bills are the top two teams in the AFC Championship odds
The Ravens ended their 2024 season losing to the Bills in the AFC Divisional Round. They get a chance for revenge on Sunday night at Highmark Stadium.
I expect Lamar Jackson and the Ravens to deliver, but Sunday’s matchup presents us with a lot of good prop betting opportunities.
Here, we will break down our favorite props from FanDuel Sportsbook. New customers who join FanDuel today can claim their welcome offer: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if their initial stake wins.
Lamar Jackson put together an NFL MVP-caliber season in 2024, but he came up short to Josh Allen. Many people have made the argument that Jackson had a better year, but Allen was more valuable to his team.
This was a fair argument because Jackson was the first team All-Pro quarterback, whereas Allen was second in this category. Nevertheless, when it came time to deliver in the playoffs, Jackson came up short.
Jackson was sixth in passing yards last season with 4,172. He had the best QBR in the league and was second in passing touchdowns.
The quarterback has become one of the best passers in the NFL while still having elite scrambling ability. While Jackson has racked up tons of yards through the air over his career, he has struggled against the Bills.
Jackson has a 3-1 record against Buffalo, but he has gone under his passing yards in all four games against the Bills. His career high for passing yards against Buffalo is 156 yards.
The Ravens should look to establish the ground game in the opener, keeping Jackson below 233.5 passing yards.
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If you watched the AFC Divisional Round game last season, Mark Andrews cost the Ravens the game. He fumbled in the second half and dropped the game-tying two-point conversion against the Bills.
Baltimore supported Andrews through the tough time, and now he gets a chance to right all the wrongs from last season. Andrews' receiving total is set at 43.5, and this is a relatively low line considering his usage last season.
Andrews surpassed this line in three of his final five games, including the AFC Divisional Round playoff game against the Bills. He had five catches for 61 yards, averaging 12.2 yards per reception.
Three of his catches also resulted in first downs, so he was a primary target for Jackson. Look for the quarterback to get his tight end going early in this contest.
The best way to get Andrews confident after a poor conclusion to last season is by getting him touches. Increased targets will result in more yards for the tight end.
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Derrick Henry was the second-best running back in the NFL last season. Saquon Barkley led the league in most rushing statistics, but Henry was a close second and should be back in the mix for NFL Offensive Player of the Year.
The running back works very well in the Ravens' offense because defenses have to account for him and Jackson. I’m taking Jackson to go under his passing yards total, so someone else has to carry the load.
The Ravens didn’t lean on Henry early in the AFC Divisional Round, but they started pounding the rock in the second half. When they ran the ball effectively, they looked unstoppable.
Henry had 16 carries for 84 yards in the playoff game, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Henry surpassed this line in 13 of his 19 games.
There aren’t many props that have this high of a hit rate. Even though he only had 84 yards against the Bills in the playoffs, he had 199 yards in the regular season.
I believe he will have this type of game on Sunday, so don't be afraid to take an alternate line of 90+ or 100+ rushing yards.
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