Super Bowl Octopus Odds: Will One Get Recorded in Patriots vs. Seahawks?

• An octopus occurs when the same player who scores a touchdown on a drive also scores the two-point conversion.

• The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots each attempted and completed three two-point conversions this season.

• There were three octopi recorded in the regular season this year (one each by Chris Godwin, Emeka Egbuka, and Jonathan Taylor).

As Game Day for Super Bowl 60 between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks draws near, we have time to examine some of the many Super Bowl prop bets offered by online sportsbooks like FanDuel. Some Super Bowl props, like whether there will be an octopus, could really pay off.

When we refer to an octopus, we are not referencing the sea creature with eight arms covered by suckers. No, we are talking about a player scoring a touchdown and then following up by recording a two-point conversion for that score.

Super Bowl 60 Octopus Odds

Here are the odds on whether anyone will record an octopus in Super Bowl 60, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up for a new account and claim your welcome offer: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

We dive into more details on this offer in our FanDuel Promo Code overview.

According to these odds, there is a 10% chance (+900) that someone will record an octopus in Super Bowl 60. Last season, the odds indicated an 8.77% chance (+1040). At +900, a $100 wager will result in a $1000 payday, your stake plus $900 in winnings.

An octopus is rare, which is why the odds for ‘No’ (-2500) give a 96.15% chance of one not being recorded.  That kind of percentage is just what we’re looking for when placing a bet. It’s one that you should win, but the payout will not be much. It will take a $2500 wager to win $100.

Octopus Odds for Super Bowl 60: My Pick

How you should/could approach betting on this market depends on your circumstances. If you just signed up for an account with FanDuel, you’ll need to place a $5 wager (min.) on a bet you feel pretty confident you’ll win. Win that bet and get $200 in bonus bets.

So, in this case, the payout from the wager is not what you’re going for. You just want to win your first wager and collect your bonus bets. A $5 wager on ‘No’ for this market will result in winning $.20. But it will be worth it since you’ll also get $200 in bonus bets.

Now, what if you placed your first wager on a game leading up to the Super Bowl and already have your bonus bets? Use one of your eight $25 bonus bet tokens to place a wager on ‘Yes,’ and you’ll have a chance to win $225.

Win a $5 Wager at FanDuel, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

Super Bowl 60 Octopus Odds: Is There Value in Betting Yes?

For there to be value in betting on an octopus in this game, we need to make an argument for there being a better than 10% (according to the odds +900) chance that one gets recorded. To that end, let’s examine some data.

Since the two-point conversion was introduced in 1994, about 199 octopi have been recorded in the NFL. So, we are talking about 199 across 8,272 games (31 seasons). That comes out to about a 2.4% chance of getting recorded.

Yikes!

Let’s examine some more numbers. In the 2025 season, there were roughly 1,400 touchdowns scored and three octopuses recorded. Of all those touchdowns, a two-point conversion was attempted 61 times. In 2025, teams attempted a two-point conversion 811 times and made 61.

Of those 61, three octopi were recorded. There has been one in Super Bowl history.

No matter how you look at it, the chances of an octopus getting recorded in Super Bowl 60 are less than 10%. So, there is no value in betting yes. However, bet ‘No’ and there is a 96.15% chance that you’ll collect $200 in bonus bets (and $.20).

That’s not bad.

Bet $5 at FanDuel, Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

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