Dolphins vs. Bills Prop Bets TNF Week 3: Back James Cook to Run Wild Against the Dolphins Front Seven

• Josh Allen is currently listed as the betting favorite to win the MVP award

• The Buffalo Bills' James Cook ran for 132 yards and 2 touchdowns in week two

• The Miami Dolphins' defense ranks below league average in Def EPA per play

After running for 132 yards and 2 touchdowns in week two’s AFC East divisional contest against the New York Jets, James Cook will have the opportunity to build on his momentum as he faces off against a Miami front seven who struggles to stop the run. Playing on short rest also normally results in a more conservative game script which may lead to an uptick in his number of carries.

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Best Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Prop Bets in TNF Week 3

James Cook Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After withholding from practice due to contract negotiations during the offseason, it was expected that James Cook would need some time to round back into competitive form. By week two’s contest against the New York Jets, Cook has already pushed aside regression as he rushed for 132 yards and 2 touchdowns on 21 attempts while averaging 6.3 yards per carry.

Heading into Thursday night, Cook is in a favorable position to put together another dominant performance as he faces off against a Miami Dolphins front seven who ranks below league average in Def EPA per play and in Run Defense Win Rate. The Bills' offensive line also excels at opening high-quality rushing lanes as their front five ranks second in Run Block PFF Grade.

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James Cook Anytime Touchdown (-175) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Cook’s usage has also been unscathed when inside the 20 as the Buffalo Bills running back currently leads the team in Red Zone attempts while receiving 90.9% share of the total number of carries. Reigning NFL MVP Josh Allen also helps draw attention away from Cook when near the goal line which opens up wider running lanes on the outside for him to exploit.

Playing on short rest also tends to lead to a more conservative game script as team’s prioritize health over installments which may result in more carries for Cook throughout the contest. For some more exposure, escalator bet Cook’s anytime touchdown scorer prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate totals at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

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De'Von Achane Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-118) at Caesars Sportsbook

In week two’s contest against the New England Patriots, De’Von Achane struggled to find his footing on the ground as the Dolphins running back was held to just 30 total rushing yards while averaging 2.7 yards per carry. While he was a non-factor on the ground, Achane fared far better through the air as he also hauled in eight receptions for 92 yards and 1 touchdown.

With the Buffalo Bills ranking near the top of the board in Pass Rush PFF Grade, Tua Tagovailoa will have less time in the pocket to operate which will force him to get the ball out of his hands quicker than anticipated. Especially with his offensive line struggling to hold their ground as the Dolphins rank below league average in Pass Protection Win Rate.

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Tua Tagovailoa Over 34.5 Pass Attempts (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though the Bills' front seven will drastically lessen the quality of Tagovailoa’s throws, the Dolphins quarterback will still need to be aggressive in his efforts of moving the ball down the field as they are projected to fall quickly behind on the scoreboard. Should the total on Tua’s pass attempts prop continue to climb up, then reduce the size of your wager.

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