The Lions will host the Cowboys on Thursday Night Football
The Chiefs are currently +105 to make the playoffs
The Patriots, Giants, 49ers, and Panthers are all idle
The AFC and NFC Championship races are beginning to take shape. The Patriots and Bears are the current frontrunners in their respective leagues, which isn’t something anyone expected at the beginning of the season.
Week 14 begins with the Cowboys and Lions on Thursday and concludes with the Eagles and Chargers on Monday.
For more info on the league standings, check our latest NFC Championship odds, along with AFC Championship odds.
Here, we will provide a brief analysis of each matchup in Week 14 and discuss the corresponding odds.
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| Matchup | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys vs. Lions |
+3.0 (-110) | O 54.5 (-110) | +145 |
| -3.0 (-110) | U 54.5 (-110) | -170 | |
| Seahawks vs. Falcons |
-7.0 (-110) | O 44.5 (-110) | -380 |
| +7.0 (-110) | U 44.5 (-110) | +300 | |
| Bengals vs. Bills |
+5.5 (-110) | O 52.5 (-110) | +220 |
| -5.5 (-110) | U 52.5 (-110) | -270 | |
| Titans vs. Browns |
+4.0 (-110) | O 33.5 (-110) | +165 |
| -4.0 (-110) | U 33.5 (-110) | -200 | |
| Commanders vs. Vikings |
+1.5 (-105) | O 42.0 (-110) | +110 |
| -105 (-115) | U 42.0 (-110) | -130 | |
| Dolphins vs. Jets |
-3.0 (+100) | O 40.5 (-110) | -155 |
| +3.0 (-120) | U 40.5 (-110) | +130 | |
| Saints vs. Buccaneers |
+8.5 (-110) | O 42.5 (-110) | +350 |
| -8.5 (-110) | U 42.5 (-110) | -450 | |
| Colts vs. Jaguars |
-1.5 (-110) | O 47.5 (-110) | -125 |
| +1.5 (-110) | U 47.5 (-110) | +105 | |
| Steelers vs. Ravens |
+6.0 (-110) | O 42.5 (-110) | +235 |
| -6.0 (-110) | U 42.5 (-110) | -290 | |
| Broncos vs. Raiders |
-7.5 (-110) | O 40.5 (-110) | -425 |
| +7.5 (-110) | U 40.5 (-110) | +325 | |
| Bears vs. Packers |
+6.5 (-105) | O 44.5 (-110) | +235 |
| -6.5 (-115) | U 44.5 (-110) | -290 | |
| Rams vs. Cardinals |
-8.0 (-110) | O 48.0 (-110) | -425 |
| +8.0 (-110) | U 48.0 (-110) | +325 | |
| Texans vs. Chiefs |
+3.0 (+100) | O 42.0 (-110) | +155 |
| -3.0 (-120) | U 42.0 (-110) | -185 | |
| Eagles vs. Chargers |
-2.5 (-120) | O 40.5 (-110) | -155 |
| +2.5 (+100) | U 40.5 (-110) | +130 |
Cowboys: Spread +3.0 (-110) | Moneyline +145
Lions: Spread -3.0 (-110) | Moneyline -170
Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110)
The Lions have fallen off in the NFC North odds, and their playoff chances are dwindling. Dallas brings in an explosive offense led by Dak Prescott, and this could be tough for the Lions to stop.
Both teams are vying for the NFC Wild Card, and a loss would mean the virtual end of a postseason berth. Dallas’ defense has improved, while Detroit’s secondary seeks consistency.
I expect both passing attacks to deliver in this contest. While the Cowboys are playing better, the Lions have the edge at home and a better chance of making the playoffs.
Seahawks: Spread -7.0 (-110) | Moneyline -380
Falcons: Spread +7.0 (-110) | Moneyline +300
Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110)
Seattle has been balanced all season and has consistently won with defense. Sam Darnold has declined recently, but the team still has a solid passing attack.
Atlanta is in a difficult position because they’re beat up and they’re coming off a loss to the Jets. The Falcons’ aerial attack can score quickly, but Seattle’s defense can disrupt any explosion from the jump.
Seattle has a lot more to play for in this spot, and the spread represents this fact.
Bengals: Spread +5.5 (-110) | Moneyline +220
Bills: Spread -5.5 (-110) | Moneyline -270
Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110)
Joe Burrow’s resurgence has brought hope to the Bengals, and the team is coming off an AFC North win over the Ravens. Cincinnati has the playmakers to win, but they struggle on defense, and this will make the ultimate difference in this contest.
Turnovers and big plays will be crucial, and this will be especially true in the second half. The Bills have struggled to throw the ball, and this could cause trouble for them if this game turns into a shootout.
The Bengals have the team to keep this game close with Burrow under center.
Titans: Spread +4.0 (-110) | Moneyline +165
Browns: Spread -4.0 (-110) | Moneyline -200
Total: Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110)
Tennessee will lean on its run game because they haven’t had any consistent quarterback play from Cam Ward.
The Browns will counter with power rushers and a play-action passing game designed to keep the Titans honest behind their rookie quarterback, Shedeur Sanders. Sanders started his NFL career with a win, but lost to the 49ers last week.
Both defenses have playmakers capable of game-changing turnovers, and each has a rookie quarterback. Whoever wins the turnover battle should have the edge on the scoreboard.
Commanders: Spread +1.5 (-105) | Moneyline +110
Vikings: Spread -1.5 (-115) | Moneyline -130
Total: Over/Under 42.0 (-110/-110)
The Washington Commanders showed a lot of promise against the Broncos last week. They lost on a failed two-point conversion in overtime.
The same can’t be said about the Vikings, as they turned the ball over consistently last week. Justin Jefferson only caught two passes, and I don’t see this lack of production changing.
While Washington isn’t a talented team, they have improved and have the better quarterback with Marcus Mariota. Mariota was efficient last week, and he should have an easier time against a spiraling Vikings defense.
Dolphins: Spread +3.0 (+100) | Moneyline -155
Jets: Spread -3.0 (-120) | Moneyline +130
Total: Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110)
The New York Jets beat the Atlanta Falcons on a game-winning field goal last week. However, they don’t have a great chance of repeating their success against the Dolphins.
Miami will lean on Tua Tagovailoa and its playmakers to score points. They should outscore their competition because of their explosiveness.
This AFC East matchup doesn’t mean much outside of bragging rights, but the Dolphins are the superior team. Expect big moments from Tagovailoa and running back De’Von Achane, which leads to a victory for Miami. Check out our AFC East odds and predictions for more info.
Saints: Spread +8.5 (-110) | Moneyline +350
Buccaneers: Spread -8.5 (-110) | Moneyline -450
Total: Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110)
Tampa Bay’s offense, led by veteran leadership and an opportunistic defense, will host a struggling New Orleans squad. The Buccaneers beat the Saints into the ground in New Orleans earlier in the season, and this should be a repeat performance.
The Buccaneers are trying to maintain their playoff positioning, and their best chance is by winning the NFC South.
Tampa Bay’s big play studs and defensive pressure could tilt the game early. Look for the Buccaneers to post big numbers throughout the game.
Colts: Spread -1.5 (-110) | Moneyline -125
Jaguars: Spread +1.5 (-110) | Moneyline +105
Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110)
The Jaguars can take control of the AFC South with a win over the Colts. This isn’t something anyone expected a few short weeks ago. More details on the division can be found in our AFC South odds and predictions.
Turnovers were the Jaguars' original issue, and they have done a nice job cleaning them up. Turnovers and third-down conversions will steer momentum, and the Colts must stop Jonathan Taylor.
This AFC South showdown could hinge on red-zone efficiency, and while the Colts are superior, the Jaguars are playing excellent football.
Steelers: Spread +6.0 (-110) | Moneyline +235
Ravens: Spread -6.0 (-110) | Moneyline -290
Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110)
The AFC North is on the line this week when the Steelers face the Ravens. The team that wins gains sole possession of first place in the division, and it will likely be Baltimore.
Lamar Jackson has been turnover-prone lately, and this needs to stop. Yet, there is more room for error in this game for Baltimore.
Aaron Rodgers was beaten up badly against the Bills last week. The team’s chemistry looked off, and I don’t see this changing against an improved Ravens’ defense.
Broncos: Spread -7.5 (-110) | Moneyline -425
Raiders: Spread +7.5 (-110) | Moneyline +325
Total: Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110)
Denver’s late-season surge will decide if they take the one seed in the AFC. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL and a quarterback, Bo Nix, who is playing well.
The Las Vegas Raiders have been one of the worst teams in the NFL, and even though this is a division game, it shouldn’t be very close. The Raiders are outmatched at every position and are over a touchdown dog at home.
Denver had a close call against the Commanders last week, and they won’t let that happen again.
Bears: Spread +6.5 (-105) | Moneyline +235
Packers: Spread -6.5 (-115) | Moneyline -290
Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110)
Ben Johnson has the Bears in first place in the NFC North. If the season ended today, Chicago would be the NFC's top seed.
They’re coming off a massive win over the Eagles, where they ran the ball effectively. They must do this once again to beat the Packers, who should be in the mix in January to play in the Super Bowl.
Jordan Love was outstanding on Thanksgiving against the Lions. He threw for 234 yards and four touchdowns against Detroit and is positioned for another big performance versus the Bears.
Rams: Spread -8.0 (-110) | Moneyline -425
Cardinals: Spread +8.0 (-110) | Moneyline +325
Total: Over/Under 48.0 (-110/-110)
Los Angeles is in a prime bounce-back spot after losing as a 10-point favorite to the Panthers in Week 13. The Rams have veteran weapons and a competitive edge against the Cardinals.
This is a tough spot for Arizona because they have the best team in the NFC coming to town, and the Rams are angry.
Matthew Stafford made uncharacteristic mistakes last week, and this shouldn’t happen again. Los Angeles will dominate every phase of the game.
Texans: Spread +3.0 (+100) | Moneyline +155
Chiefs: Spread -3.0 (-120) | Moneyline -185
Total: Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110)
The Kansas City Chiefs are now plus money to make the playoffs. They had been the Super Bowl favorites for most of the regular season, but times have changed as they have kept losing games.
The Texans' defense has come alive as of late, so nothing will come easy for Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes has made bad mistakes, but he has been better than his defense.
The Chiefs’ defense has left the team hanging, but they have a solid matchup against Houston’s offense. Kansas City will stay alive in the playoff race.
Eagles: Spread -2.5 (-120) | Moneyline -1550
Chargers: Spread +2.5 (+100) | Moneyline +130
Total: Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110)
Philadelphia’s offensive attack has been nonexistent. Jalen Hurts has looked terrible at quarterback, and the group can’t even get the ball to playmakers like AJ Brown.
Turnovers and defensive adjustments will shape the later portions of this game, and right now, the Eagles aren’t doing what it takes to win.
As inconsistent as the Chargers have been, I’m backing Los Angeles as a home underdog.
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