With the Detroit Red Wings and Florida Panthers back lines excelling in coverage, both offenses will struggle to create high quality Shots on Goal which creates a great escalator bet opportunity. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the St. Louis Blues as their front line is in a great position to light up the scoreboard in a matchup against the severely underwhelming Chicago Blackhawks defense.
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Even with Matthew Tkachuk out with an injury, the reigning Stanley Cup champions have been able to sustain their high level of play on defense as the Florida Panthers back line ranks top-10 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their coverage has helped Sergei Bobrovsky get off to a strong start as the former Vezina Trophy winner is averaging just 1.67 Goals Against per game and a .925 Save Percentage.
On the other side of the ice, the Detroit Red Wings success on defense has been one of the more surprising developments as their back line currently leads the league in Expected Goals Against with an average of 2.40 per game. With both offenses lacking the versatility that is needed to stretch out each other's coverage, expect Wednesday night’s contest to turn into a defensive slugfest. For some more exposure, escalator bet the full game total by placing smaller wagers on the alternate unders.
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With the Panthers dealing with injuries, Aaron Ekblad has shouldered a heavier workload to help create space up front. While the quality of his shot attempts has been low, Ekblad has still been able to weave the puck through traffic as he is averaging two Shots on Goal per game. Unfortunately for the Panthers defenseman, negative regression looms large as the Red Wings suffocating coverage will drastically lower the chances of the puck being able to reach the net from the blue line.
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After failing to play at a competitive level last year, the Chicago Blackhawks have carried over their struggles into this season as their back line ranks 26th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.85 Expected Goals Against per game. With minimal coverage in front of them, the Blackhawks goalies are tasked with having to wall off a substantial amount of high quality Shots on Goal.
While Spencer Knight has been able to brush aside regression, Arvid Soderblom has struggled to find his footing as the Blackhawks backup goalie is averaging nearly four Goals Against per game. With the St. Louis Blues offense fielding seven players who average over 0.25 Expected Goals per game, their playmaking will have the Blackhawks scrambled in coverage which creates higher quality shooting lanes in front of their net. Should Knight get the start instead of Soderblom, then reduce the size of your wager.
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It has been an abysmal start to the year for the Buffalo Sabres front line as their offense currently ranks 31st in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Even with the Ottawa Senators starting goalie Linus Ullmark struggling to play at a competitive level, the Sabres offense lacks the production that is needed to space out their coverage to help increase the quality of their Shots on Goal.
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