With Connor BeDard out with an injury, expect the Chicago Blackhawks three game win streak to come to an end as they face off against the St. Louis Blues who excel in coverage. At the same time as their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the Ottawa Senators as their back line faces off against the Utah Mammoth who struggle to pressure the net.
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Since the start of the regular season, the St. Louis Blues have severely underperformed as they are currently 17-18-8 and in 28th place in the Presidents’ Trophy standings. While their offense has struggled to play at a competitive level, their back line has quietly thrived as the Blues rank in the top-5 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations while Joel Hoffer is averaging a .900 Save Percentage.
Fortunately for the Blues, they will have a great opportunity to round back into form on Wednesday night as they face off against the Chicago Blackhawks who rank near dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Especially with Connor BeDard out with an injury as only two active players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Blackhawks team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate unders at the best available odds.
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While the Blues offense have struggled as a whole as previously mentioned, Jordan Kyrou has still been able to pressure the net at a consistent rate as he is averaging 0.25 Expected Goals and 2.39 Shots on Goal per game. With the Blackhawks ranking 26th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, Kyrou will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal when he weaves the puck through their underwhelming coverage which increases his chances of scoring.
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It has been a pedestrian past few weeks of play for the Utah Mammoth as they are currently 5-5-0 in their last 10 games. Their lack of aggression on offense has held them back from being a competitive unit as the Mammoth rank 21st in Expected Goals For in All Situations and 27th in Expected Goals From High Danger Shots while only Dylan Guenther averages more than 3.00 Shots on Goal per game.
Heading into Wednesday night, the Mammoth’s struggles on offense will be on full display as they face off against the Ottawa Senators who reside near the top of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their ability to smother the Mammoth’s Shots on Goal will be vital as their goaltending has struggled to give them the protection they need to limit the amount of negative variance in their contests. If the Mammoth team total drops down to 2.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
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With Adrian Kempe pulling defensive attention away from him, Kevin Fiala has been able to generate high-quality scoring opportunities in front of the crease as the Los Angeles Kings forward is averaging 0.34 Expected Goals per game. In a favorable matchup against the San Jose Sharks, expect Fiala to continue to pressure the net at a high rate as he faces off against a back line who ranks well below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
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