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This is a stage 2 swiss first round match in the Pinnacle Cup. It is basically an even money matchup between two teams that have not quite hit their best form yet in the last few months. Sinners have dropped down to No. 35 in the world while Wisla Krakow have slipped down to No. 60.
Sinners have been in some poor recent form, which includes three losses in their last four matches. They dropped a best of three to Bad News Eagles in their last match before losing to NiP before that. They were also beaten by Copenhagen Flames 16-9 in Overpass prior to that.
From a betting standpoint, it is important to consider Wisla Krakow for this even though they have a lower ranking. They are presently 60th in the world but they have the roster that can compete against most teams in the world.
Neofrag has been in some solid recent form, which includes 0.76 kills and 0.66 deaths per round in the last three months of CS:GO action. He also has an average damage per round of 85.7 during this period with a KAST of 71.8 percent.
Sinners will need others to stop up as well, including Forsyy, who has been in terrific touch. He has managed 0.73 kills along with 0.58 deaths per round with an average damage per round of 75.4. He also has a KAST of 72.
In terms of map proficiency, Sinners will look at Inferno, where they have won 76 percent of their last 17 maps. They have won 67 percent of their last 12 maps in Vertigo as well. These are the only maps in which they have a win rate of over 50 in the last three months.
Wisla Krakow have continued to remain in middling form over the last few months, which has seen them slip down the rankings quite drastically. They beat 1Win in their last match in the third map but had lost three straight matches prior to that.
Even the head to head is not in favor of Wisla Krakow. They have faced each other in 12 maps, with Sinners winning nine of those and Wisla Krakow winning three. There are plenty of factors that Wisla Krakow will have to manage well.
They have been quite poor in most maps, including Overpass (44 percent win rate in their last 9 maps) and Mirage (45 percent win rate in their last 11 maps). There are holes but this can go either way.
Skade will begin as massive favorites in this game and rightly so considering they have the depth in their roster along with the experience to sustain different situations. They have moved up to No. 21 in the world, which is exceptional considering how volatile pro CS:GO can be.
Isurus, a primarily South American outfit, have not quite hit the same level of form as their counterparts. They are now ranked No. 74 in the world and have been in middling form like most teams in the second tier of this sport.
Backing Skade to win this one should be quite easy. They have been in some poor recent form but they have too much strength across most other areas, which will eventually render them too strong for Isurus in this one.
Skade has been in some middling form in the last few months. They have lost four of their last five matches, which includes defeats to Eternal Fire, EC Kyiv, Run or Die and Mad Lions. Their only win in this period was against Wisla Krakow in Dust 2.
They have several players in sprightly recent form, including Shipz, who has averaged 0.73 kills and 0.67 deaths per round. All this at an average damage per round of 81.1. Two of their most experienced players, in Dennyslaw and Rainwaker, will also have to find their feet quickly.
Even though form has been an issue for the team, Skade have a few maps where they can find their best. In their last 16 attempts at Overpass, they have a win rate of 88 percent. In their last nine maps in Ancient, they have a win rate of 78.
Isurus are not a team that has plenty of depth. And that has been evident from their inconsistency in the last few matches. They have continued to struggle to find the wins they need to make progress up the rankings in the pro scene.
Destiny will be a key player for them offensively considering he has averaged 0.73 kills but his defense has been shoddy, with a death rate of 0.71 per map. He also has an average damage per round of 78.9. All four other players have a kill rate in the 0.60s in the same analysis period.
This will come down to whether this Isurus team has enough skill to be able to get deep in rounds with several of their players intact. That is easier said than done against a team that can also have impressive defensive credentials.
This is also a best of three contest, which is a stage 2 swiss round 1 contest. Like the first match of the day, this is also quite an even money matchup between two steady teams, who have not quite broken away from their tag of mediocrity yet.
Ago has been a team that has been quite solid over the course of the last few months but there is plenty of work to be done to maintain this level of consistency. In fact, they have risen up to No. 31 in the world presently.
Even though Masonic’s stock is quickly rising, it is important to note that Ago are a proven team, with enough resources to be able to keep abreast with almost any map. And that is why they would be a reliable betting option in this one.
Ago have continued to remain in middling form, which does not do much for their skill and confidence levels. They have, however, won three of their last four matches. Their only loss in that period was a 2-1 defeat to EC Kyiv.
They will rely on the services of F1ku for offensive proficiency and depth. He has averaged 0.75 kills with just 0.71 deaths per round in the last three months of CS:GO action. He has done this at an average damage per round of 84.7.
Ago have others who have been steady without being too flashy. They may soon require their best players to create a sense of security for F1ku to find his comfort zone and execute on his long range proficiency.
Masonic have been in stunning recent form, which includes seven wins in their last eight matches. They have also won their last three games in a row, which basically means that confidence and momentum will not be a problem for Masonic.
They also have a really strong record in most maps. They have won four of their last five maps in Overpass, they have a win rate of 67 percent in their last nine attempts in Dust 2 and have the same record in Inferno. This is a stable, reliable team across the board.
They will rely on Kraghen for offensive depth considering he has been in some commendable recent form. He has averaged 0.71 kills with just 0.67 deaths per round in the last three months at an average damage per round of 81.7.
This one has a better balance about it when compared to the other matches on Friday. Gamer Legion have been a middling team for a while without having the depth to be able to break into the top tier in the world currently.
They have, however, been in poor form over the last few matches, which includes four straight defeats. Those defeats came against Dignitas, Forze, Fnatic and Bluejays, which means that their rhythm might not be at its best.
Still, Gamer Legion surely has enough depth to be able to keep an unpredictable Bad News Bears team away. And as a result, I would stay away from Bad News Bears and bet on Gamer Legion.
It will come as no surprise to many that iM and his impressive recent form will be absolutely key for Gamer Legion this season. His form includes 0.78 kills and 0.66 deaths per round in the last three months at an average damage per round of 84.8.
Eraa has also been in solid form over the last few ninths. He has averaged 0.68 kills and 0.63 deaths per round at an average damage per round of 70.8. He also has a KAST of almost 70. These are some numbers that the Gamer Legion will be relatively pleased with.
In Mirage, Gamer Legion has a win percentage of 62 over the last 21 maps. They have a win rate of 50 in Vertigo and Inferno as well. They have struggled with Ancient, winning just 29 percent of their last seven maps.
|Pinnacle Cup Information|
|Teams||Sinners, Wisla Krakow, Skade, Isurus, Ago, Masonic|
|Time||Friday, April 29 at 4.00 AM EST onwards|
|How to watch||Official Twitch channel|
With an interest in strategy and mathematics, applying that to sports writing was the natural progression. A writer at night and the founder of a gaming company, Nikhil’s previous experience includes working with ESPN for five years. His specialization includes soccer, basketball, tennis, and esports betting. Email: [email protected]More info on Nikhil Kalro
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