BMW Championship Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

• The penultimate week of the FedExCup Playoffs
• Dustin Johnson fresh from a sensational win last week
• Tiger Woods returns to the scene of a career highlight

BMW Championship Odds

Odds from BetMGM. Get up to a $500 sign-up bonus at BetMGM NJ today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

BMW Championship Picks and Predictions

Englishman Paul Casey was a narrow runner-up in the PGA Championship and can go one better this week priced +5000 with Bet365.

Russell Henley has finally found a hot putter to make the most of his superb long game and he’s an attractive +500 with DraftKings to grab a top ten.

Back 2018 Masters champion Patrick Reed at -118 to win his BetMGM match-bet against Kevin Kisner.

Picks:

Paul Casey to win +5000 at bet365

Russell Henley to land a top ten +500 at DraftKings

Patrick Reed to beat Kevin Kisner in a match-bet -118 at BetMGM

How to Watch the BMW Championship

BMW Championship Profile

Last week’s first FedExCup Playoff had a field of 125, this week that number is down to 70, by the end of play on Sunday only 30 will progress to the final stage – next week’s Tour Championship at East Lake.

The pressure is rising, but not, apparently, for Dustin Johnson whose performance last week was nothing short of supreme.

In carding rounds of 67-60-64-63 he totaled a sensational 30-under-par for the week and left the field nine strokes in his wake.

It’s no surprise, therefore, that he is this week’s favorite at +800, one of no less than nine golfers rated +2000 or lower.

One man who will be happy to reacquaint himself with this week’s course at Olympia Fields Country Club is Tiger Woods.

It was there, during the 2003 U.S. Open, that he unleashed one of his most famous shots, a slinging, fading 3-wood that carved its way around a tree and onto the green over 250 yards away – expect replays all week!

A Casey in Point

Three weeks ago the veteran Englishman Paul Casey put in an exceptional performance to claim tied second at Harding Park in the PGA Championship, a result that might be a decent pointer for this week’s action.

This week, as then, the players are faced by a par-70 played on greens with a mix of bentgrass and poa annua. Olympia Fields has more yardage on the card, but the warmer air – or the colder air in San Francisco – means the challenge is more or less the same. The final common factor is the traditional design they will be tested by.

This week’s layout was designed by the great Willie Park, responsible for many of the great English parkland tracks which Casey will know well from his days growing up in Surrey. He might also cast an eye towards the European Tour this week and note that the venue they are playing is The Belfry where in 2003 he won his first professional trophy on English soil. Don’t overlook Casey’s strong tee to the green game either. The 43-year-old ranks 11th for Greens in Regulation this season and that category proved key for Jim Furyk when he won the U.S. Open at Olympia Fields back in 2003.

Take the +5000 with bet365.

Henley Adding Final Touches

In many senses, 2020 has been frustrating for Russell Henley. The 31-year-old opened the year with a run of five missed cuts and when he broke it – with T17th and tied eighth – everyone went into lockdown. Since play re-started he has recorded three top tens which seems nothing to grumble about. But if that form was a reminder of his quality, his inability to marry a sure touch on the greens alongside magnificent ball-striking must have been hard to take.

His Strokes Gained Tee to Green stats have been a little short of superb – ranking top 15 in the field every time he has made a cut. But his Strokes Gained Putting numbers were actually anything but; he was routinely losing shots on the field every time he used the putter. In the last two weeks, that has changed, registering his best numbers on the putting surfaces since he was second at the John Deere Classic last summer.

All told it makes for a persuasive combination as he seeks to land a fourth PGA Tour triumph. He also has an added incentive to keep the pedal to the metal this week because he currently ranks 61st in the rankings so needs to make up at least 31 places to play next week.

He’s +500 with DraftKings to finish in the top ten.

Reed Can Master Kisner

BetMGM has paired 2018 Masters champion Patrick Reed with Kevin Kisner this week and there looks good reason to take them on.

Some might argue that there is something of a gulf in class between the two and there might be something in that because Reed is an eight-time winner on the PGA Tour, a tally that includes that major triumph plus two World Golf Championship titles against Kisner’s three wins, just one of them at WGC level.

Reed also owns a better score average over the last three years (68.64 vs 69.25), one year (68.75 vs 69.48), and even during the last eight weeks (68.53 vs 68.70). The compiler is tempted by the recent head-to-heads, which have seen Kisner claim five of the last eight including both of the last two. It seems a little short-terms however.

Reed leads 18-14 since the start of 2019, 29-20 since January of the previous year and 77-57 over the course of their careers. But most persuasive is their records on courses that have hosted the U.S. Open or PGA Championship (mostly in the actual weeks they hosted those tournaments, but also when such quality tests welcomed regular tour events, not counting the multi-course Pebble Beach Pro-Am).

That’s the challenge set before the two this week and Reed leads a dominant 19-8 under such circumstances making the -118 well worthy of a play.