Jockey Club Gold Cup (Belmont Park) Predictions, Odds & Picks

Jockey Club Gold Cup

If you're playing only to win, go with my top value pick Mystic Guide (3/1)

Post Position and Odds – Jockey Club Gold Cup

Check out our predictions and odds for the 2020 Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont Park!

PPHorseOddsJockeyTrainer
1HAPPY SAVER5/2
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I Ortiz JrT Pletcher
2PRIORITIZE5/1
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L SaezH J Bond
3NAME CHANGER20/1
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M FrancoJ Duarte Jr
4TACITUS1/1
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J OrtizW Mott
5MYSTIC GUIDE3/1
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J R VelazquezM Stidham

Best Bets for the Jockey Club Gold Cup

Here are my plays ($40 in total)

$20 Exacta Box – Tacitus and Mystic Guide = $40

Top Pick:

Mystic Guide 3/1

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How to Watch the Jockey Club Gold Cup

Jockey Club Gold Cup Race Information
WhatJockey Club Gold Cup (G1)
WhereBelmont Park
WhenSaturday, October 10 — 4:48pm Eastern time
How to WatchFox Sports 1
Purse$250,000

Race Analysis

Tacitus

From a class perspective, it is hard to look past this Bill Mott trained son of Tapit. While it’s true he has not won often since taking the Tampa Bay Derby and Wood Memorial in back-to-back races early last year, he has yet to find a field with fewer stakes experience than this one in that time frame. His win in the Suburban demonstrates that he does not need much pace to make his move, and that will be important on Saturday because this looks like a paceless edition of the Jockey Club Gold Cup. He may even find himself on the lead, which should be no problem for the colt that surely appreciates the trip. His odds will offer very little value, but he is strictly the one to beat.

Happy Saver

If anyone is ahead of Tacitus early it will likely be this undefeated charge from the barn of Todd Pletcher. He has shown decent tactical speed in each of his three wins, and then the ability to finish off the race well. The problem being he has never faced anything the likes of Tacitus before. If he can wage battle with the favorite late in the backstretch and into the turn, it will be his first true test of class. I do believe he is a colt of real ability, but I do not expect him to win this particular war against the classy and far more experienced Tacitus.

Mystic Guide

It’s tough to pick a horse who likes to rally in a field devoid of any true speed, but the addition of blinkers last time for the Jim Dandy really seemed to focus this colt, who has always looked like a good one in the making. He was late to the party in his two losses before that one but still looked like a colt looking for more distance. With the added focus which should keep him better involved early, confidence after his first graded stakes score, and the stretch out to ten furlongs, I think he can make some real noise in here. If anyone beats Tacitus, I think it will be him.

Prioritize

Trainer James Bond has this 5-year-old son of Tizway moving in the right direction after making the switch from turf to dirt late last year. All five starts on the main track have been solid. The question now is whether he is good enough to win a grade 1. In the Woodward, he showed he can compete in this class, but he never really threatened the top two either. He’ll need to take another step forward, but unfortunately, like Mystic Guide, his lack of speed does him no favors in this small field. He’s got a shot, but I like the other late runner better.

Name Changer

The one sure long shot in the race, he is 0-for-4 in 2020 after winning the Queens County to close out last year. While none of those four performances were bad, they look to be a far cry short to win a race like the Jockey Club Gold Cup, even in a light year. The 7-year-old son of Uncle Mo would quite simply need to run the best race of his life to win here.

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Brian Zipse

Expert on Horse Racing

Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.

Email: brian.zipse@wsn.com