2020 Ogden Phipps Stakes (Belmont Park) - Predictions & Betting Odds
“If you're playing only to win, go with my top pick, Ollie’s Candy”
Post Position and Odds – Ogden Phipps Stakes
Check out our predictions and odds for the 2020 Ogden Phipps Stakes at Belmont Park!
|J Ortiz||C McGaughey|
|2||POINT OF HONOR||2/1|
|J Castellano||G Weaver|
|3||SHE’S A JULIE||6/1|
|R Santana Jr.||S Asmussen|
|J Velazquez||W Mott|
|J Rosario||J Sadler|
|J Alvarado||W Mott|
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Led by Ollie’s Candy and Point of Honor, the second and third-place finishers from a loaded edition of the Apple Blossom, six older females will attempt to add an important Grade 1 victory to their resume when they faceoff in Saturday’s $300,000 Ogden Phipps Stakes at Belmont Park.
Run around one-turn at 1 1/16-miles, the Ogden Phipps has been won by Eclipse Award winners in each of the last three years, in Midnight Bisou, Abel Tasman, and Songbird.
Although this year’s edition lacks the biggest names in the division, such as Monomoy Girl and Midnight Bisou, it features a wide-open cast in which every horse in the field is a graded stakes winner.
As a “Win and You’re In” qualifier, the winner of the Ogden Phipps will receive all fees paid entry into the Breeders’ Cup Distaff at Keeneland on November 7.
Ogden Phipps Race Information
What: Ogden Phipps (G1)
Where: Belmont Park
When: Saturday, June 13 — 5:36 pm Eastern time
How to watch: Fox Sports 1
Ever so narrowly missed out on her second Grade 1 victory in her last five starts when nipped on the wire by the talented Ce Ce most recently in the Apple Blossom.
On that afternoon she forged to the lead early and played catch me if you can until the end, but has employed a versatile mix of running styles in the past.
Her ability to sit behind the lead if she needs to, should suit her well in this race which appears to have plenty of early speed. The winner of the Clement L. Hirsch (G1) last summer at Del Mar also appreciates the 8 ½ furlong distance which she will see again on Saturday. This will be the first appearance in New York for the John Sadler-trainee, but as she showed last time at Oaklawn Park, she can do just fine outside of her home base of California. She is the top pick.
Point of Honor
The 4-year-old daughter of Curlin trained by George Weaver made up plenty of ground last time in the big field of the Apple Blossom to get up for third, but never threatened the top two. It was her second start off the layoff which should have her ready for a top effort on Saturday.
The winner of last spring’s Black-Eyed Susan (G2) at Pimlico, she tried two Grade 1 races in New York last summer, finishing second in the Coaching Club American Oaks and the Alabama, both at Saratoga. The 8 ½ furlong trip of the Ogden Phipps may be a little shorter than her best distance, but the expected solid pace should set the table for her consistent rally. She’s the main threat to Ollie’s Candy.
Trained by Shug McGaughey, this daughter of Tapit has improved steadily and now looks primed and ready for her shot against Grade 1 competition. Not quite able to handle the best last season, she comes into this race off two impressive wins, albeit in races that came in December and January. It’s been nearly five months since her win in the Inside Information (G2) at Gulfstream Park, which was likely the best performance of her career. The one-turn trip, and with a good pace, should suit her well, but she still needs to prove that she is as good outside of South Florida and that she can handle this level of class.
She’s a Julie
As a Grade 1 winner and millionaire, the daughter of Elusive Quality has to be respected. The problem is that her form seemed to tail off just a bit the second half of last year, and her one race this year does not inspire confidence. Never a factor last time against the also returning Dunbar Road, she does have the excuse of breaking poorly from the gate in that one. As one of several in here who like to be on or near the lead, that left her with little chance in her seasonal debut. Look for improvement on Saturday, but perhaps not quite enough to defeat the top two.
She announced herself as a mare of some quality last summer when she handled a good field in the Shuvee (G3) at Saratoga and followed that up with another graded stakes score in the Turnback the Alarm (G3) two starts later at Aqueduct. In her only start this year, she caught a sloppy track at Gulfstream Park when second to Cookie Dough in the Royal Delta back in February. A consistent mare, she is another who does her best running when on or near the lead. While her only previous attempt at a Grade 1 ended in her being pulled up, this one appears to be a little more in her comfort range. I would like her a little better if there was less speed to deal with, though.
Like Golden Award, she is trained by the Hall of Famer Bill Mott, and like her stablemate, she likes to be out there setting the early pace. Despite the fact that she will probably be the longest shot on the board, she has found the winner’s circle in 9-of-14 career starts. Unfortunately, she has not shown the ability to come up big against this kind of competition, especially since she returned this January after a near year-long layoff. Look for her to be the first of the speed to call it quits as the compact field hits the stretch.
Best Bets for the Ogden Phipps
Here are my plays ($30 in total)
$20 Exacta Ollie’s Candy over Point of Honor = $20
$10 Exacta Point of Honor over Ollie’s Candy = $10
If you’re playing only to win, go with my top pick, Ollie’s Candy.