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Germany vs England Nations League Prediction, Odds, Best Picks

Written by: Greg Lea
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
  • England suffered a shock 1-0 defeat by Hungary in their opening Nations League game
  • Germany drew with Italy and will be looking to avenge their loss to England at Euro 2020
  • Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is the best choice from a betting perspective

Germany vs England Odds

The odds for Germany vs England are provided by Caesars.

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals Odds
Yes +130
No -205

Germany vs England Pick

England will be determined to bounce back from Saturday’s loss to Hungary, but Germany will take the game to the visitors.

Back both teams to score 

Over 2.5 goals

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Germany Vs England Nations League

After Falling Flat in Budapest England Need to Respond Here

With games against Italy and Germany to come, England were handed the kindest possible start to their UEFA 2022/23 Nations League campaign. That is not to say Hungary are pushovers – they are in League A on merit and also acquitted themselves well at Euro 2020 – but England were widely expected to get off to a winning start. Instead, Gareth Southgate’s side suffered a 1-0 defeat in Budapest – and they did not deserve anything more from the match.

It was a completely flat performance from the Three Lions, for whom the road to the 2022 World Cup began in the worst possible way. England were passive and pedestrian in possession. They had plenty of the ball but were short of ideas for what to do with it.

Another referee might not have awarded Hungary the second-half penalty that Dominik Szoboszlai went on to convert, but that was not the main reason England lost this game. Southgate himself acknowledged that a major improvement is needed.

Indeed, England will suffer another defeat if they perform in the same way on Tuesday. This is one of only five scheduled matches before the World Cup begins in Qatar in November, so they cannot afford to waste the opportunity. Germany will provide a stern test, but England did beat the same opponent at the European Championship last summer. They will be keen to show that the loss at the weekend was an isolated incident.

It might sound counterintuitive, but there is reason to believe England are actually better suited to playing a stronger side like Germany. There will certainly be more space into which they can attack, and Raheem Sterling’s speed – if he is passed fit to feature after illness – could be a crucial factor.

Germany Getting Stronger but Still Need a Statement Victory

For Germany, that 2-0 defeat by England last summer marked the end of an era. It had already been confirmed before the action got under way that Joachim Low would depart after the tournament. In truth, the 2014 World Cup winner stayed on far too long. Germany should have made a change after their group-stage exit at the 2018 World Cup, and it was clear by the end that Low was no longer the right man for the job.

Hansi Flick, who once served as Low’s assistant for the national team and later won two Bundesliga titles and the Champions League with Bayern Munich, is approaching his first anniversary in the job. It has been a case of so far, so good. Germany booked their spot at the World Cup with a minimum of fuss, amassing the joint-highest points tally in the UEFA qualification process alongside Denmark.

Yet if Germany’s objective is to head to Qatar as one of the contenders to win the trophy, they could do with a statement win against another major nation. The wins in each of Flick’s first eight games at the helm came in clashes with second-tier teams at best. Back-to-back 1-1 draws with the Netherlands and Italy show that there is still work to do for die Mannschaft.

We Should Expect Goals at Both Ends at the Allianz Arena

England under Southgate are a relatively conservative side. There is nothing inherently wrong with that, and a semi-final appearance at the 2018 World Cup followed by a runners-up finish at Euro 2020 suggests that England are getting more right than wrong. The only question mark surrounding Southgate is whether his tendency towards caution means he is not getting the most out of a squad filled with attacking talent.

After the defeat by Hungary and the relatively low stakes of the Nations League – the tournament is not treated with the same seriousness as the Euros or the World Cup, and probably never will be – we will probably see England come out on the attack here. There is no chance of a Southgate side playing gung-ho soccer, but nor will they simply sit back and hope for the best.

Germany will also look to play on the front foot – perhaps even more so given they are the home team. The Mannschaft have found the back of the net in each of Flick’s games in charge and they will be keen to keep that record going here.

All things considered, both teams to score and a total of over 2.5 goals is the way to go in this one.

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How to Watch Germany vs England

Germany vs England Information
Teams Germany vs England
Location Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
Time Tuesday, 7 June 2022, 2.45 PM EDT
How to watch Fox Sports 2, fuboTV

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Greg Lea

Soccer Betting Analyst

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Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.
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Education: Bachelor of Arts in Politics
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