Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, Betting Lines & Picks

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid

  • Atletico Madrid have wobbled in recent weeks but remain top of La Liga
  • Sevilla have in effect wrapped up Champions League qualification already
  • This will be a tight, low-scoring encounter that could be decided by just one goal

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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Money Line, Spread, Over/Under

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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Predictions and Picks

Both Sevilla and Atletico Madrid pride themselves more on defensive solidity than free-flowing attacking soccer, so a low-scoring match looks to be on the cards.


Back No in the Both Teams to Score market

How to Watch Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Information
WhatSevilla vs Atletico Madrid
WhereEstadio Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan, Seville, Spain
WhenSunday, 4 April 2021, 3.00 PM EDT
How to watchbeIN SPORTS

Atletico Madrid has seen their lead at the summit of the standings cut to four points in recent weeks, and the title race is no longer the foregone conclusion it appeared to be a couple of months back. Real Madrid and, in particular, Barcelona have clambered their way back into the conversation, and many Atletico fans have begun to look nervously over their shoulders.

A trip to Sevilla will be a tough test for Diego Simeone’s side, and we can expect a tense, tight game with little to choose between the two teams. Predicting the winner is difficult, so the best bet here is to place a wager on ‘No’ in the Both Teams to Score market. Neither side is prolific in attack, so defenses should come out on top at the Estadio Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan.

Atletico Madrid Have Work to Do in the la Liga Title Race

Barcelona and Real Madrid spent much of the first half of the season floundering, which gave Atletico Madrid the chance to set the pace in La Liga. A 4-0 victory over Cadiz in November moved them to the top of the table, and they have not relinquished that position ever since. When Simeone’s side beat Cadiz again in the return fixture on the last day of January, they opened up a 10-point lead at the summit. For the first time since 2014, the La Liga title looked to be on its way to Madrid’s second club.

The trophy still might end up in Atletico’s cabinet, but the race has become a great deal more interesting of late. In part that is due to improvements made by Barcelona and Madrid. Mired in crisis in the second half of 2020, Barca are now La Liga’s most in-form team, having won 12 of their 13 matches since the turn of the year.

Madrid have not been quite as consistent, but they are on an eight-game unbeaten run going into the weekend. They also hold the head-to-head advantage over Atletico, which could prove pivotal if the two teams finish level on points.

However, the narrowing of Atletico’s lead is primarily down to their own stuttering form. They have won only four of their last nine games, dropping 11 crucial points and allowing Barcelona and Madrid back into the race. They will be desperate to avoid another slip-up this weekend.

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Sevilla Have Fourth Place Wrapped up but Will Be Aiming Higher

Sevilla were targeting a top-four finish before a ball had been kicked this season, and they look set to achieve exactly that. There was a time when Real Sociedad appeared to be on course to edge them out, but the Basque side have been disappointing in recent months and are now 10 points adrift of Sevilla in the race for the final Champions League qualification spot behind Atletico, Real Madrid and Barcelona.

In some ways, then, the pressure is off. Julen Lopetegui’s charges are already out of the Copa del Rey and the Champions League, and therefore have nothing else to focus on beyond La Liga. Even so, Sevilla will be keen to end the season strongly with a view to kicking on in 2021/22.

Moreover, a top-three finish is not beyond them. Barcelona and Madrid have certainly grown stronger as the season has gone on, but it would not be a huge surprise to see either club’s form dip again given their inconsistencies this term. Sevilla will want to be in a position to overtake one of the Spanish soccer giants if they do experience another downturn in the coming weeks, and victory here would serve as a statement of intent to that end.

Both Teams’ Strengths Lie at the Back Rather Than up Front

Throughout Simeone’s tenure, Atletico Madrid has always prided themselves on their defensive organization and resolve. It will come as no surprise to any seasoned La Liga watcher that they have conceded the fewest goals in the division so far this season, with their backline having been breached on just 18 occasions to date.

Atletico will be even more defense-minded as the finish line comes into view. They have a four-point lead to protect, after all, and Simeone will not want to take any undue risks as Barcelona and Madrid snap at their heels. We have already seen signs of this in recent weeks, with six of Atletico’s last seven games featuring fewer than 2.5 goals. It is also notable that only two of their last six league outings have brought goals for both teams.

In many ways, Sevilla shares Atletico’s preference for a tight defense over a free-scoring attack. They have conceded just 21 goals this term, second only to their upcoming opponents in that regard. Six of their last seven games have also featured fewer than 2.5 goals, and only two of their last 10 have brought goals for both teams.

All the evidence points to a low-scoring match that could go either way. The odds on under 2.5 goals are not particularly attractive, so the Both Teams to Score market looks like the best option for Sunday’s showdown in Seville.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.

Email: [email protected]