Best Aaron Rodgers Player Props for Steelers vs. Jets in Week 1

• Aaron Rodgers was held below 200 passing yards six times in 2024.

• The Jets allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards in the NFL last season.

• Aaron Rodgers threw 11 interceptions last season, tied for the third-highest total of his career.

In terms of Week 1 storylines in the NFL, it doesn’t get much better than Aaron Rodgers making his debut with the Pittsburgh Steelers on the road against the New York Jets. Rodgers is fresh off an endlessly disappointing two years with the Jets, which included a season-ending injury on the first drive of the 2023 season and a brutal 5-12 campaign last season. The Jets released Rodgers during the offseason, allowing him to sign a one-year deal to be Pittsburgh’s starting quarterback in 2025.

Opening up the season back at MeLife Stadium against the Jets is far from ideal for Rodgers. It remains to be seen whether the four-time NFL MVP has anything left in the tank at age 41. He will now be making his Steelers debut in a stadium filled with fans who are eager to see him fail.

If it helps, our Week 1 picks against the spread favor the Steelers as road favorites. On the other hand, Rodgers and the Steelers have long odds to win the AFC North this year. 

As far as Week 1 is concerned, it’s hard not to target prop bets involving Rodgers, merely because he’s the focal point of the game on and off the field. That’s why we picked out our three favorite prop bets involving Rodgers for Week 1. The odds are from bet365 Sportsbook, which gives new users a choice between $300 in bonus bets for making a $5 wager or having a safety net of up to $1,000 on their first bet.

Best Aaron Rodgers Player Props in Week 1

Aaron Rodgers Under 202.5 Passing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook

The days of Rodgers putting up massive passing yards week after week are likely over. While this is a low number, Rodgers failed to reach 200 passing yards in a game six times last season. Keep in mind that he’s not that familiar with most of his receivers, which could lead the Steelers to stay conservative and run the ball more, limiting Rodgers’ passing yards.

It’s also worth mentioning that the Jets had one of the stingiest pass defenses in the NFL last season. They were one of 10 teams to allow fewer than 7.0 yards per pass attempt in 2024. That’s not going to be conducive to Rodgers posting big numbers against his former team.

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Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 TD Passes (+140) at bet365 Sportsbook

Just because Rodgers isn’t going to throw for a lot of yards doesn’t mean the Steelers won’t trust him in the red zone. Despite all of his struggles last season, Rodgers still had 10 games with multiple touchdown passes. Even at his age, Rodgers still has the touch, accuracy, and intelligence to throw into the end zone with confidence.

With the likes of D.K. Metcalf, Ben Skowronek, and tight end Pat Freiermuth, the Steelers have big red-zone targets who Rodgers can trust to catch a 50-50 ball. Despite being unfamiliar with them, those players are ideal targets in scoring situations. If the Steelers can manage to get into scoring position, they will trust Rodgers more than their stable of running backs.

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Aaron Rodgers Over 0.5 Interceptions (-105) at bet365 Sportsbook

For much of his career, Rodgers excelled at avoiding interceptions. However, the 11 picks he threw last season were one of the highest totals of his career. He’s no longer a safe bet to avoid interceptions, so we’re going to bet on him to throw one against his old team.

For what it’s worth, the Jets were among the worst at forcing interceptions last season, collecting just seven of them. However, they brought in ball-hawking safety Andre Cisco this offseason. The Jets also have Sauce Gardner at one cornerback spot, giving them the personnel to pick off Rodgers if he tries too hard to impress in his Steelers debut.

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Aaron Rodgers Stats in the 2024 Season

• Passing Yards: 3,897

• Completions: 365

• Attempts: 584

• Completion Percentage: 63%

• Yards Per Pass Attempt: 6.7

• Touchdowns: 28

• Interceptions: 11

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