The Los Angeles Rams have the second shortest odds to win the Super Bowl
Romeo Doubs has converted 50% of his Red Zone Receptions into touchdowns
The Carolina Panthers front seven ranks dead last in Run Defense Win Rate
After the Atlanta Falcons beat the New Orleans Saints in week 18, the Carolina Panthers have managed to win the NFC South and squeak into the playoffs at the last second. Unfortunately for the Panthers, their inability to stop the run will be on full display against the Los Angeles Rams in the Wild Card round as they face off against Kyren Williams who excels at generating yards past the trenches.
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Even though the Los Angeles Rams offense have sputtered over the past few weeks of play, Kyren Williams has been a consistent source of production for the Super Bowl contenders as he ranks above league average in Yards Over Expected per Attempt. Williams’ offensive line has played a major role in his success this season as the Rams front five currently leads the league in Run Block Set Grade.
In a favorable matchup against the Carolina Panthers, Williams will have a great opportunity to put together a dominant performance as he faces off against a front seven who ranks dead last in Run Defense Win Rate. Especially with Davante Adams making his return from injury as his presence will help stretch out the secondary which will create wider running lanes in the middle for Williams to exploit.
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When at full health, Jordan Love has been one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the league as the Green Bay Packers signal caller resides near the top of the board in Quarterback EPA per Play. His ability to take care of the ball helps the Packers sustain their drives down the field as Love also ranks above league average in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage.
In a NFC North matchup against Chicago, Love will be able to pick up from where he left off as he faces off against a Bears defense who ranks below league average in Def DVOA and in Pass Rush PFF Grade. When in scoring position, expect Love to continue to look towards Romeo Doubs way as the Packers receiver leads the team in Red Zone Targets while converting 50% of his Receptions into touchdowns.
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Since the start of the regular season, Christian McCaffrey has seen his NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds grow shorter as he generated over 2,000 yards of offense while playing in all 17 games. Even though McCaffrey’s stats are eye opening on paper, he has been very inefficient with his Usage Rate as he ranks below league average in Yards Over Expected per Attempt.
Heading into the playoffs, expect McCaffrey to round back into dominant form as the San Francisco 49ers star running back faces off against the Philadelphia Eagles who rank in the bottom half of the board in Run Defense Line Yards. For some more exposure, escalator bet McCaffrey’s Anytime Touchdown Scorer prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate totals.
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When near the goal line, Woody Marks has been the focal point of the Houston Texans offense as he comfortably leads the team in Red Zone Rush Attempts with a 55.2% Usage Rate. With the Pittsburgh Steelers front seven ranking below league average in Def EPA, the Texans offense will be able to get into scoring position at a higher rate which will lead to an increase in Marks total number of Red Zone Carries.
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