Two weeks into the season, Malik Nabers is the NFL’s leading receiver with 238 yards and two touchdowns on 14 catches.
Nabers had two touchdown catches of at least 29 yards in Week 2.
The Chiefs allowed four players to amass at least 50 receiving yards in a Week 1 loss to the Chargers.
The New York Giants might be 0-2 on the season, but perhaps they can take some solace in knowing that they have the NFL’s leading receiver. Malik Nabers has amassed 238 yards over New York’s first two games, most of which came in an endlessly entertaining but disappointing loss to the Cowboys in Week 2. Not surprisingly, Nabers has helped Russell Wilson lead the NFL in passing yards after two weeks. It’s also made Nabers a prime target for prop bets in Week 3 when the Giants host the Kansas City Chiefs.
Despite Nabers’ fast start to the season, he’s still being a little overlooked among the favorites to lead in NFL Receiving Yards this season. On the team front, the Giants are among the biggest Week 3 underdogs. Nabers will be hoping that another big performance can prove doubters wrong, as the Chiefs are a good bet in Week 3 Picks Against the Spread.
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This is a pick that could easily go either way. While Nabers scored two touchdowns last week, the Giants were held to just two field goals in Week 1. If the offense that showed up that day reappears, Nabers isn’t going to get anywhere near the end zone.
The other tricky part is that Kansas City’s defense didn’t give up much last week. That was after giving up three passing touchdowns the first week of the season. That inconsistency makes it tough to predict what kind of defense Nabers and the Giants will face. But after an explosive game by Wilson and the passing attack last week, it’s best to give Nabers the benefit of the doubt on finding the end zone, especially with plus odds.
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Again, Kansas City’s two vastly different defensive performances complicate this bet. The Eagles managed just 101 total passing yards last week, with nobody getting more than Devonta Smith’s 57 yards. However, that was after the Chargers racked up over 300 passing yards against the Chiefs in Week 1. In that game, four players had at least 50 receiving yards, while two went over 70 yards.
The key factor is that the Chiefs were on a neutral field in Week 1 when they were horrible and at home in Week 2 when they played great. With the Giants playing at home this week, there is every reason to believe that the Kansas City defense won’t stifle the passing game the way it did last week, especially after the success the Giants had last week. Also, since Nabers had 71 yards in a rather lackluster performance in Week 1, topping 76.5 receiving yards feels realistic.
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Last week, Wilson started to look like his old self, which is a quarterback who throws a great deep ball. Both of the touchdown catches Nabers had last week went over 27.5 yards. Given that success, the Giants are going to keep trying to throw deep balls to him this week. Even if they can’t replicate that same level of success, the chances are good for Nabers to have at least one catch that goes over 27.5 yards.
Granted, the Chiefs won’t be as unprepared defensively for the deep ball as the Cowboys appeared to be last week. However, Kansas City’s defense did give up a 28-yard reception last week. The Chiefs also allowed two Chargers to have a catch over 30 yards in Week 1. That’s also a good sign that Nabers will find a way to have at least one long reception on Sunday night.
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Receptions: 14
Targets: 25
Receiving Yards: 238
Yards per catch: 17
Touchdowns: 2
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions in Week 3
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