The Patriots lead the AFC East
The Eagles will host the Lions on Sunday Night Football
The Colts and Saints are off in Week 11
The AFC and NFC Championship races are in full swing as we enter Week 11 of the NFL season. There have been many surprises thus far, like the Patriots leading the AFC East and the Colts dominating the AFC South.
For more info on the team standings, check our latest NFC Championship odds, along with AFC Championship odds.
We’re starting to get into a portion of the schedule that’s loaded with meaningful games. Here, we will provide a brief analysis of each matchup in Week 11 and discuss the corresponding odds.
Odds courtesy of bet365 sportsbook. bet365 is ranked as one of our top recommended NFL betting sites. If you bet $5, you get $200 in bonus bets by using our promo code WSN365 at registration.
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jets vs. Patriots |
+11.5 (-110) | O 43.5 (-110) | +550 |
| -11.5 (-110) | U 43.5 (-110) | -800 | |
| Commanders vs. Dolphins |
+2.5 (-105) | O 47.5 (-110) | +125 |
| -2.5 (-115) | U 47.5 (-110) | -150 | |
| Panthers vs. Falcons |
+3.5 (-110) | O 42.5 (-110) | -380 |
| -3.5 (-110) | U 42.5 (-110) | +300 | |
| Buccaneers vs. Bills |
+5.5 (-110) | O 49.5 (-110) | +210 |
| -5.5 (-110) | U 49.5 (-110) | -260 | |
| Texans vs. Titans |
-7.0 (-110) | O 39.5 (-110) | -380 |
| +7.0 (-110) | U 39.5 (-110) | +300 | |
| Bears vs. Vikings |
+3.0 (-110) | O 48.5 (-110) | +140 |
| -3.0 (-110) | U 48.5 (-110) | -165 | |
| Packers vs. Giants |
-7.5 (-110) | O 44.5 (-110) | -400 |
| +7.5 (-110) | U 44.5 (-110) | +320 | |
| Bengals vs. Steelers |
+5.5 (-110) | O 49.5 (-110) | +205 |
| -5.5 (-110) | U 49.5 (-110) | -250 | |
| Chargers vs. Jaguars |
-3.0 (+100) | O 44.0 (-110) | -155 |
| +3.0 (-120) | U 44.0 (-110) | +130 | |
| Seahawks vs. Rams |
+2.5 (+100) | O 48.5 (-110) | +125 |
| -2.5 (-120) | U 48.5 (-110) | -150 | |
| 49ers vs. Cardinals |
-2.5 (-110) | O 48.5 (-110) | -150 |
| +2.5 (-110) | U 48.5 (-110) | +125 | |
| Ravens vs. Browns |
-8.5 (-105) | O 41.5 (-110) | -450 |
| +8.5 (-115) | U 41.5 (-110) | +350 | |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos |
-4.0 (-110) | O 44.0 (-110) | -205 |
| +4.0 (-110) | U 44.0 (-110) | +170 | |
| Lions vs. Eagles |
+1.5 (-110) | O 48.5 (-110) | +105 |
| -1.5 (-110) | U 48.5 (-110) | -125 | |
| Cowboys vs. Raiders |
-3.5 (-110) | O 50.0 (-110) | -185 |
| +3.5 (-110) | U 50.0 (-110) | +155 |
Jets: Spread +11.5 (-110) | Moneyline +550
Patriots: Spread -11.5 (-110) | Moneyline -800
Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110)
The New England Patriots are tied for the best record in the AFC, and they’re coming off a big win over the Buccaneers. New England’s biggest critique was that they couldn’t beat quality opponents, but they proved the haters wrong on Sunday.
The Patriots are a double-digit favorite over the Jets, and this is for good reason. They have one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL on their side in Drake Maye.
Maye is the top frontrunner in NFL MVP odds, and the Jets have sold many of their star players outside of Breece Hall. This game shouldn’t be close if New England plays to their capability.
Commanders: Spread +2.5 (-110) | Moneyline +125
Dolphins: Spread -2.5 (-110) | Moneyline -150
Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110)
The Miami Dolphins’ season is over, but they’re still playing extremely hard. The Dolphins beat the Bills in Week 10, and they did it thanks to an elite rushing attack.
DeVon Achane had 22 rushes for 174 yards and two touchdowns. He also caught six passes on the afternoon, and he could have an even bigger game on Sunday.
The Commanders are dealing with numerous injuries, and the Dolphins have the speed to exploit Washington's defense. Miami should start a winning streak in Week 11 with a victory over the Commanders.
Panthers: Spread +3.5 (-110) | Moneyline +165
Falcons: Spread -3.5 (-110) | Moneyline -200
Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110)
The Panthers beat the Packers in Week 10, which was the biggest win of Bryce Young’s career as a starting quarterback. However, the team was dominated by the Saints on Sunday, and New Orleans is one of the worst teams in the league.
The Falcons suffered a disappointing loss in Week 10, falling to the Colts in Berlin, Germany. Atlanta has been in a position to win games, but they’re struggling to finish against quality opponents.
This week, I expect the Falcons to give the ball to Bijan Robinson consistently. The Panthers' rushing defense won’t be able to contain one of the best backs in the league.
Buccaneers: Spread +5.5 (-110) | Moneyline +210
Bills: Spread -5.5 (-110) | Moneyline -260
Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110)
The Buccaneers and Bills are both desperate for a win as each team could easily spiral if they lose in Week 11. Tampa Bay lost to the Patriots coming out of their bye week, and now they’re entering a brutal part of their schedule.
The Bills lost to the Dolphins on the road, and this was unexpected. Josh Allen is the reigning MVP, but he has been largely inconsistent in 2025. Allen threw for 306 yards and two touchdowns against the Dolphins, but the team failed to capitalize in critical situations.
The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite, but they can’t be trusted to cover large spreads against quality teams. Baker Mayfield could lead his team to a road upset in Buffalo.
Texans: Spread -7.0 (-110) | Moneyline -380
Titans: Spread +7.0 (-110) | Moneyline +300
Total: Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110)
The Houston Texans had a 2% chance to beat the Jaguars on Sunday when they were down 19 points in the fourth quarter. The team rallied with Davis Mills at quarterback and beat the Jaguars 36-29.
Mills was fantastic, throwing for 292 yards and two scores. Their run defense was also excellent in the second half, which helped them mount a comeback in the game.
The Texans have one of the best defenses in the NFL, and the Titans' offense has spiraled with Cam Ward at quarterback, so it’s worth laying the points with Houston.
Bears: Spread +3.0 (-110) | Moneyline +140
Vikings: Spread -3.0 (-110) | Moneyline -165
Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110)
The Chicago Bears are 6-3 under Ben Johnson, making him one of the NFL Coach of the Year favorites. Johnson’s job was to make Caleb Williams serviceable, and he has definitely done this in 2025.
The Bears came from behind to beat the Giants on Sunday, but they’ll have a big challenge against the Vikings, who have one of the best defenses in the NFL.
Minnesota got beat up by the Ravens, but this is a good spot for them to return to normalcy.
Packers: Spread -7.5 (-110) | Moneyline -400
Giants: Spread +7.5 (-110) | Moneyline +320
Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110)
The Giants are experts at blowing second-half leads, which has led the franchise to make a change at head coach. The Giants fired Brian Daboll this week, and they will be without their quarterback, Jaxson Dart.
The future is bright for New York, but they’re going to have a tough finish to the 2025 season. Green Bay is coming off a loss against the Eagles and is now fighting for a playoff position.
Green Bay needs a blowout win, and this feels like the perfect spot for Jordan Love and company.
Bengals: Spread +5.5 (-110) | Moneyline +205
Steelers: Spread -5.5 (-110) | Moneyline -250
Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110)
The results and AFC North odds tell us that it is a wide-open division, a rarity at this stage. The Steelers are leading the division, while the Bengals are fighting to stay relevant until their quarterback, Joe Burrow, returns from injury.
Joe Flacco has done an excellent job at quarterback and beat the Steelers in prime time earlier this season. Pittsburgh’s secondary hasn’t been great this season, and they should falter here.
Aaron Rodgers is coming off a rough game against the Chargers, and Pittsburgh has looked very poor lately.
Chargers: Spread -3.0 (+100) | Moneyline -155
Jaguars: Spread +3.0 (-120) | Moneyline +130
Total: Over/Under 44.0 (-110/-110)
The Jaguars had a 98% chance to beat the Texans on Sunday in the fourth quarter, but they ultimately lost due to their poor game plan. Jacksonville struggled to run the ball and ice the game, which eventually cost them a victory.
The Chargers are one of the best teams in the NFL when they play at their best. They did this last week on Monday Night Football when Justin Herbert was throwing the ball all over the Steelers, but they can’t be trusted.
Yet, Los Angeles is a much better choice than Jacksonville, so we’ll ride the hot hand in this spot.
Seahawks: Spread +2.5 (+100) | Moneyline +125
Rams: Spread -2.5 (-120) | Moneyline -150
Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110)
The NFC West could be decided on Sunday when the Rams and Seahawks battle. Both teams are playing their best football and contending for the division crown.
Seattle hasn’t been viewed as a serious contender despite being dominant behind Sam Darnold at quarterback. Darnold has been excellent, and he has the best QBR in the NFL at 77.6.
Despite this, Matthew Stafford is one of the MVP favorites right now, so this should be a great quarterback battle. Seattle has a chance to prove itself, and they’re getting points, which is a valuable bet.
See our NFC West odds and predictions here.
49ers: Spread -2.5 (-110) | Moneyline -150
Cardinals: Spread +2.5 (-110) | Moneyline +125
Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110)
Mac Jones has played like a top-10 quarterback in Brock Purdy’s absence. The quarterback has thrown for 2,151 yards with 13 touchdowns and six interceptions.
The 49ers were smoked by the Rams last week, but Jones still completed 84.6% of his passes. San Francisco is on the road against Arizona, but they’re a much better team.
The Cardinals have struggled to find consistency despite having a solid defense in 2025.
Ravens: Spread -8.5 (-105) | Moneyline -450
Browns: Spread +8.5 (-115) | Moneyline +350
Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110)
The Baltimore Ravens are coming off a massive win over the Vikings and now have a 64% chance of making the playoffs. The Ravens have consistently won games with Lamar Jackson at quarterback, and since he’s healthy, they’re typically favored weekly.
The Browns have one of the best defenses in the NFL, but they aren’t solid offensively. The team was bested by the Jets last week, and this was a bad loss for the team.
Jackson and Derrick Henry will eventually break through, and I don’t trust Cleveland to match their scoring.
Chiefs: Spread -4.0 (-110) | Moneyline -205
Broncos: Spread +4.0 (-110) | Moneyline +170
Total: Over/Under 44.0 (-110/-110)
The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a bye week, and they needed it heading into their game on Sunday. The Denver Broncos lead the AFC West, and the Chiefs are fighting for a playoff position.
Patrick Mahomes has been one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL this season. The Chiefs always have a chance to win when he is at quarterback, and he thrives in tough spots.
The Broncos have an elite defense, but Kansas City should come out on top.
See the latest AFC West odds and predictions here.
Lions: Spread +1.5 (-110) | Moneyline +105
Eagles: Spread -1.5 (-110) | Moneyline -125
Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110)
The Philadelphia Eagles beat the Packers at Lambeau Field on Monday, and now they’ll have another big challenge. The Lions will come to Philadelphia on Sunday night, and this could be an early preview of the NFC Championship Game.
While the Eagles did beat the Packers, they looked out of sync throughout their game on Monday. They played great defensively, but couldn’t get the job done offensively outside of a couple of drives.
I lean toward the Lions because their offense is much more complete at this point in the season.
Cowboys: Spread -3.5 (-110) | Moneyline -185
Raiders: Spread +3.5 (-110) | Moneyline +155
Total: Over/Under 50.0 (-110/-110)
The Dallas Cowboys and Las Vegas Raiders both need help. Dallas has one of the worst defenses in the NFL, while the Raiders have struggled to score all season.
Neither team plays complementary football, making it difficult to pick a winner in this game. Dallas is a 3.5-point road favorite, and if they play their game, they should be able to cover this line.
The Cowboys have many more offensive weapons, so it’ll be surprising to see the Raiders keep pace with them from a scoring perspective.
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