When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >

ATP Metz & Nur-Sultan Predictions, Betting Odds, Picks

Written by: Andy Schooler
Updated October 14, 2022
21 min read
Atp Metz Nur Sultan Predictions
  • Pospisil ready to roll again
  • Simon worth a wager
  • Popyrin well placed to dominate
  • Underdog Ymer holds strong claims

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

🔥 Claimed by 123 people this week!



Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly

21+ | T&Cs apply

ATP Metz & Nur-Sultan Picks

Vasek Pospisil (-1.5) to beat Gergoire Barrere on the game handicap at -118 at PointsBet Sportsbook

Gilles Simon to beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at +225 at PointsBet Sportsbook

Alexei Popyrin to beat Pedro Martinez 2-0 at +100 at PointsBet Sportsbook

Mikael Ymer to beat Jan-Lennard Struff at +175 at BetMGM 

Gael Monfils to win ATP Metz (Moselle Open) at +800 at BetMGM

Gregoire Barrere vs Vasek Pospisil

The indoor season is Pospisil’s time of year and I expect him to have too much for a limited opponent.

Barrere is just 1-6 at tour level in 2021 and while he has been playing on indoor hardcourts in the past couple of weeks on the Challenger Tour, he’s also won just one match during that period, losing to Liam Broady and Altug Celikbilek.

Pospisil hasn’t had the best of years but he loves playing indoors where his big first serve isn’t affected by weather conditions. It will get the added benefit of one of the tour’s quicker surfaces this week in Metz, too.

Last year he made two ATP finals indoors, while at the end of 2019 he helped Canada to the Davis Cup final with a string of fine performances under the roof in Madrid.

I’ll raise the Pospisil win price by backing him at -118 giving up 1.5 games on the handicap.

Bet on Vasek Pospisil Here!

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Gilles Simon

Simon looks a bit big here at +225 given his past record in Metz where he’s a three-time champion.

Admittedly there’s a reason he’s such a price. The Frenchman has endured a poor season, winning only three matches on the main tour to date, but having spoken publicly about his struggle and a lack of motivation, it’s notable that he’s using his protected ranking to play at a home event where he’s enjoyed great success in the past.

He did post a decent win over compatriot Arthur Rinderknech prior to the US Open, a tournament he was forced to miss when his coach tested positive for COVID-19.

Many of Simon’s recent defeats have been close final-set ones and here he’s up against a player also without much form to rely on.

Since reaching the last eight at Roland Garros, Davidovich Fokina has won only one of his six matches and simply looks too short here. A small Simon wager looks worth a try.

Bet on Gilles Simon Here!

Pedro Martinez vs Alexei Popyrin

I’ve been increasingly impressed by Popyrin this season and he looks likely to be the much better player in the fast conditions of the Moselle Open.

The big-serving Australian posted some good serving numbers en route to the third round of the US Open where he managed to blow a two-set lead against Dan Evans before losing 7-6 in the final set.

Popyrin’s second serve was an issue that day but I’m not sure Martinez will have the same joy as Evans.

He prefers conditions much slower than this, as emphasized by the fact he headed back onto the clay for a week after his US Open exit.

Martinez has the limited indoor experience, playing only 13 career matches at all levels indoors. He’s won just four of those, the last coming in January 2018. Of the four victories, none has come against a player ranked in the top 350.

Popyrin, who won an indoor ATP title in Singapore earlier in the year, is +100 to win in straight sets and that looks fair enough.

Bet on Alexei Popyrin Here!

🔥 Claimed by 185 people this week!



Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets!

21+ | T&Cs apply. *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.

Mikael Ymer vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Ymer’s price of +175 is another eye-catching one.

He played well in Winston-Salem just before the US Open, defeating both Frances Tiafoe and Carlos Alcaraz en route to the final. Both of those players went on to enjoy good runs in New York.

Ymer has well beaten in that final but he’ll have taken much from that good week and he should arrive back in Europe with confidence much higher than his opponent.

Since beating the new US Open champion Daniil Medvedev in Halle in June, Struff has a win-loss record of 1-8.

Yes, the German did make the semis here back in 2014, although they played on a Greenset court then; now it’s a Slamcourt surface. Outside of that, there’s little on his record in terms of indoor form.

I suspect it’s a bit quick for both men here but given the form and prices, I’ll happily take a chance on the outside.

Bet on Mikael Ymer Here!

🔥 Claimed by 185 people this week!



Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets!

21+ | T&Cs apply. *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.

Round Two Upsets?

The top four seeds in both Metz and Nur-Sultan all get first-round byes this week and there are a couple of those players who look like they could be vulnerable in their opening match.

In Metz, Alex de Minaur has won just one of his last six matches and may find home hope Arthur Rinderknech a touch challenge should the Frenchman win his opener.

Rinderknecht has enjoyed a strong breakthrough season and is already bedded in indoors having made the semi-finals of the Rennes Challenger last week.

In Nur-Sultan, the Astana Open’s top seed Aslan Karatsev may be worth opposing.

He’ll be playing indoors for the first time in almost a year but will open against a player who has competed in these conditions just days ago.

Emil Ruusuvuori, who made the last four at this event in 2020, played Davis Cup in Finland over the weekend, while Benjamin Bonzi was the winner of that aforementioned Rennes Challenger on Sunday.

Best Outright Pick

Gael Monfils has rediscovered some form since his marriage to WTA star Elina Svitolina and looks set for a title bid in Metz.

The French have won this event 11 times out of its 17 stagings, with Monfils responsible for one of those in 2009. Overall, he has an impressive 15-4 record at the event, reaching at least the semis in four of his five visits.

He’s a high-quality operator indoors, with seven of his 10 career titles coming with a roof over his head and looks worth backing at +800 this week.

How to Watch ATP Metz & Nur-Sultan

ATP Metz and Nur-Sultan Information
What ATP Moselle Open and ATP Astana Open
Location Metz, France; Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan
Time Monday, September 20 to Sunday, September 26
How to Watch Tennis Channel

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

Logo #1



Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets

21+ | Terms and conditions apply

Logo #2



$500 Bonus Bet

21+ | VA only | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-532-3500

Image for Andy Schooler


Andy Schooler

70 Articles

Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.

More info on Andy Schooler
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2024 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.