ATP Rome Masters Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

ATP Rome Masters

  • Delbonis can add to Khachanov’s woes
  • Mager to boost home hopes
  • Basilashvili a big price to sink seed

Bet on ATP Rome Masters, Here!

ATP Rome Picks

Federico Delbonis to beat Karen Khachanov at +114 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Gianluca Mager to beat Alex de Minaur at +140 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Matteo Berrettini at +275 at PointsBet

Andrey Rublev to win the Rome Masters at +2000 at William Hill

How to Watch ATP Rome

ATP Rome Masters Information
What ATP Rome Masters
Location Rome, Italy
Time Sunday, May 9 to Sunday, May 16
How to Watch Tennis Channel

Karen Khachanov vs Federico Delbonis

Player Odds
Karen Khachanov -124
BET NOW
Federico Delbonis +100
BET NOW

Odds from DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

Khachanov has struggled since moving onto the clay and things may not get any easier for him this week.

The Russian has won just one of his four matches since hitting the red dirt so coming up against a natural clay courter, who is bedded in on the surface is far from ideal.

Delbonis has already played two matches in Rome having qualified over the weekend with victories over Marcos Giron and Frances Tiafoe.

He also came through qualifying in Monte Carlo last month before running into Rafael Nadal in round two, while earlier in the season he was a semi-finalist in Santiago where Jaume Munar, a player who has won plenty of matches on the European clay, was among his victims.

The left-handed Argentine also won the pair’s only previous meeting in similarly slow conditions (the clay of Hamburg in 2017).

Khachanov’s big weapons have not been firing and the slow clay will blunt them again here so Delbonis looks worth a wager at odds-against.

Gianluca Mager vs Alex de Minaur

Player Odds
Gianluca Mage +135
BET NOW
Alex de Minaur -167
BET NOW

Odds from DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

De Minaur is another big name who isn’t at home on the Terre Battue.

The Australian is just 2-3 in completed matches on clay this season and here he comes up against a home player whose confidence will be up after finding some good form.

Mager recently made the quarter-finals in Belgrade, having qualified, and it took Aslan Karatsev to stop him. Karasev went on to beat Novak Djokovic the following day.

Wins over Laslo Djere and Alexei Popyrin were noteworthy and added to his impressive results which brought him the Challenger title in Marbella a few weeks earlier.

Again, this is a match that features a man at home on the surface against one definitely more talented but also out of his natural habitat.

I’ll take the Italian at what looks a decent price.

Matteo Berrettini vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Player Odds
Matteo Berrettini -360
BET NOW
Nikoloz Basilashvili +275
BET NOW

Odds from DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

It will seem strange to some to suggest that Berrettini, fresh off his run to the Madrid final, won’t win a match at his home tournament.

But there is plenty in that sentence to show exactly why I’m happy to take that approach.

Berrettini won’t arrive in Rome until Monday and he’ll have to play his opening match the next day.


Yes, Madrid is also a claycourt event but the conditions there are vastly different. The considerably higher altitude creates much faster conditions – ones that suit Berrettini’s server-oriented, power game. Back down at sea level, he’ll be more vulnerable and it may take more than a day for him to find his groove on these slower courts.

The problem is he’s only got one day and Basilashvili is a player more than capable of making him pay if Berrettini has failed to tune incorrectly.

The Georgian has already won titles in Doha and Munich this season, the latter on clay. He also reached the semis in Cagliari last month.

While there’s no doubt that consistency isn’t his biggest asset, Basilashvili certainly has the tools to trouble Berrettini. In fact, he has already done so – their head-to-head record stands at 2-2 with Basil having won the only meeting on clay.

At +275, he looks an overpriced underdog.

Best Outright Pick

Andrey Rublev was blasted out of Madrid buy John Isner’s huge serve last week – he actually won more than 53% of the points in that match – but that may prove to be a blessing in disguise here.

The Russian will have had plenty of time to adapt to the different conditions.

Don’t let the Isner loss fool you. Rublev has been in decent form on the clay, beating Nadal in Monte Carlo en route to the final. He also made the quarter-finals in Barcelona where defeat to Jannik Sinner was no disgrace.

With conditions here similar to those in Monte Carlo, Rublev looks capable of another deep run – and at a tasty price too.

Admittedly he’s in Novak Djokovic’s half of the draw but the world number one has spoken openly about how he’s not been happy with his game following shock losses to Dan Evans in Monte Carlo and Karatsev in Belgrade.

With Nadal also below his best level so far in this clay swing, Rublev looks a decent alternative at +2000.

Round Two Upsets?

Looking ahead to round two when the big guns come in, there are a couple who look vulnerable.

Daniil Medvedev isn’t happy on clay – he was ranting about it on the court last week – and he could have to face fellow Russian Aslan Karatsev, arguably the story of the season so far, in his opener.

Nadal also has a tough draw with Jannik Sinner likely to be first up for the Spaniard.

Sinner gave Nadal his biggest test of last year’s French Open and he’s improved further since that meeting.

He can crush the ball and will have the ability to get Nadal off-balance in a bid to find holes in his defense.

With Nadal having fallen below his high standards in recent times, Sinner may well be worth a second look if their match-up comes to fruition.

Bet on ATP Rome Masters, Here!

More Tennis Predictions & Odds

ATP San Diego and Sofia Predictions, Betting Odds, Picks
ATP San Diego and Sofia Predictions, Betting Odds, Picks
Check out ATP San Diego and Sofia predictions, best match picks, outright picks, and more! …
27 September | 03:08 | Andy Schooler
ATP Metz & Nur-Sultan Predictions, Betting Odds, Picks
ATP Metz & Nur-Sultan Predictions, Betting Odds, Picks
ATP Metz & Nur-Sultan - Get our expert predictions, best match picks, best outright picks, and more! …
20 September | 04:51 | Andy Schooler
US Open Predictions, Betting Odds, Picks
US Open Predictions, Betting Odds, Picks
US Open - Get our expert predictions, best match picks, best outright picks, and more! …
30 August | 05:05 | Andy Schooler

Andy Schooler

Expert on Tennis

Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.