When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >

ATP Rome Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

Written by: Andy Schooler
Updated October 14, 2022
12 min read
  • Basilashvili the wrong underdog
  • Keep the faith with ARV
  • Delbonis a handicap play
  • Time for Novak to shine

ATP Rome Picks

Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Dan Evans at +120 at Caesars Sportsbook

Albert Ramos-Vinolas to beat Tommy Paul at -115 at Caesars Sportsbook

Federico Delbonis (+4.5) to beat Pablo Carreno Busta on the game handicap at -118 at FanDuel

Novak Djokovic to win the Rome Masters at +350 at PointsBet

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

🔥 Claimed by 156 people this week!



Get a No Sweat First Bet up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets

21+ | T&Cs apply

Atp Rome Masters

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Dan Evans

Evans was part of an impressive British effort in Madrid last week but beating an undercooked Roberto Bautista Agut in conditions which suited the underdog probably wasn’t as impressive as some made out.

Despite his two wins in the Spanish capital, Evans is still only 3-5 since hitting the clay.

Here he’ll face much slower conditions than in Madrid and that will make things hard for him against a decent clay player.

Basilashvili can blow rather hot and cold but he’s shown enough to me over the past few weeks to suggest he shouldn’t be +120 to win this contest.

In Munich he beat Ilya Ivashka before losing to the in-form Miomir Kecmanovic, while last week in Madrid the Georgian saw off Fabio Fognini before giving eventual champion Carlos Alcaraz a decent match.

I’m far from convinced Evans should be the favorite for this one, so backing ‘Basil’ at +120 makes good sense.

Albert Ramos-Vinolas vs Tommy Paul

Admittedly, last week’s column produced some disappointing results with Ramos-Vinolas losing from what looked a winning position against Marin Cilic.

However, I’m prepared to keep the faith with the Spanish clay specialist this week when he meets American Paul, who has now lost three in a row on the dirt.

He did hold match points against Jannik Sinner in Madrid last week but the Italian’s subsequent hammering at the hands of Felix Auger-Aliassime added some unwanted perspective to that effort.

Ramos-Vinolas beat Cam Norrie in Monte Carlo before making the last four in Estoril so he’s got decent form in conditions similar to those which he’ll find at the Foro Italico.

Paul has lost five of his last 11 matches against left-handers and another can follow here.

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Federico Delbonis

Delbonis leads this pair’s head to head 5-3 and while form clearly favours Carreno Busta, I find it hard to think there’s not some kind of value to be had in backing the Argentine.

Admittedly, Delbonis has been beaten by Dan Evans and Marton Fucsovics in the last few weeks but it’s not that long ago he was a semi-finalist in Buenos Aires and a meeting with a player he consistently troubled in the past should help raise confidence.

That’s before we mention the fact that the Davis Cup winner reached the quarter-finals here last season, beating three top-25 players along the way.

Meanwhile, Carreno Busta has only won back-to-back matches on one of his six main-draw appearances.

With PCB having lost a lot of tight matches of late, north of +300 about the underdog looks tempting but given that lack of form from the underdog, a handicapping approach is probably the wiser option.

Delbonis therefore gets the nod, receiving a 4.5-game start.

Round Two Upsets?

The top eight seeds all get first-round byes in Rome, so who could be under early pressure?

The obvious candidate is Casper Ruud, whose disappointing clay season continued in Madrid where he was beaten by Dusan Lajovic.

The Norwegian has been well below his best and whoever he plays in round two – it will be Sebastian Korda or Botic van de Zandschulp – won’t be easy.

Andrey Rublev, edged out by Stefanos Tsitsipas in the quarter-finals last week, may also be tested by Filip Krajinovic, who is always capable when his serve fires.

Best Outright Pick

There was lots of talk about a changing of the guard in Madrid last week, especially after Novak Djokovic lost to Carlos Alcaraz.

However, it was a tight defeat – 7-6 in the third set – and it’s been well documented how Djokovic hasn’t been at his best having played little so far this season.

Upon reflection, the Serb was probably quite pleased with how he was able to compete with a red-hot opponent and with another good week under his belt, Djokovic looks worth siding with in Rome at +350.

He’s a five-time champion at this event and has made the final in seven of his last eight visits.

See what’s the best online sportsbook for payouts before you sign up!

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

Logo #1



Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets

21+ | Terms and conditions apply

Logo #2



$500 Bonus Bet

21+ | VA only | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-532-3500

How to Watch ATP Rome

ATP Rome Information
What ATP Internazionali BNL d’Italia
Location Rome, Italy
Time Sunday, May 8 to Sunday, May 15
How to Watch Tennis Channel
Image for Andy Schooler


Andy Schooler

70 Articles

Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.

More info on Andy Schooler
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2024 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.