Filip Hrgovic vs. David Adeleye: Betting Odds, Predictions, and Fight Preview

• Hrgovic boasts a 78% knockout average.

• Adeleye brings a 93% KO average.

• The Co-op Live Arena in Manchester plays host

Championship boxing makes a welcome return to our screens on Saturday following a brief summer break. Fight fans have spent the last few weeks enjoying the sun and preparing themselves for what promises to be a hectic 2025/26 season. The curtain goes up in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, where legendary UK promoters Frank Warren and Eddie Hearn join forces. The result is an exciting six-fight card featuring some of the sport’s best-followed fighters.

Top of the bill in Riyadh pairs Nick Ball and Sam Goodman over 12 rounds in a featherweight contest. Major online bookmakers in the United States, United Kingdom and beyond favour Ball, pricing “The Wrecking” from Liverpool as a red-hot favourite. Will he live up to expectations and deliver another huge win, or will Australia’s Goodman cause an upset? You can pick the winner or play one of the many betting specials available.

Here, we focus on a heavyweight showdown involving Filip Hrgovic and David Adeleye. It’s a 12-round contest, but very few boxing lovers expect this match to go the distance and trouble the scoring judges. It’s a meeting of two warriors with knockout power in both hands. Make sure you take your seat early, as this could be over ASAP.

Hrgovic vs. Adeleye Betting Odds

Odds from bet365 sportsbook. Sign up for a bet365 account with our promo code WSN365 and claim the welcome promo offer: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose. Find more info in our bet365 sportsbook review.

The oddsmakers price Hrgovica as their pre-fight betting favourite, and that will come as no surprise to anyone who has followed the Croatian’s career in his first 19 bouts. The price offered at all betting apps suggests Filip needs only to turn up to beat Adeleye, but as any boxing fan - avid or casual - will attest, anything can and often does happen in this sport. Bouts at the highest level are unpredictable, sometimes changing with a single punch.

If you’re hot on the chances of Adeleye, I’d say don’t let the odds put you off. The traders may think David arrives from London as a virtual no-hoper, but his professional boxing record shows he’s here on merit. The underdog boasts a jaw-dropping 93% KO average from 15 contests, ensuring he’ll gain the respect of Team Hrgovic. Despite his odds, Adeleye will be popular in the betting, especially with those chasing big odds.

Here’s an example of how to bet on Hrgovic vs Adeleye.

• $20 on Adeleye to win @ +350

The above bet means you’ve risked $20 on the underdog. If the pre-fight betting odds prove to be accurate and Hrgovic wins, you lose your $20 stake. But if Adeleye claims the victory, either on points or by stoppage, you’ll land a handsome profit. A $20 bet at odds of +350 pays $90. That’s a $70 profit and your original $20 stake back.

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Hrgovic Form and Figures

Hard-hitting Croatian heavyweight boxer Filip Hrgovic will duck between the ropes on fight night with a professional record reading 18 wins against one defeat, with 14 victories coming inside the distance. The 33-year-old known as El Animal made his pro debut back in 2017 with a first-round TKO, and soon made a habit of finishing jobs early. As the old saying goes in boxing: you don’t get paid overtime in this game. Filip won his first two inside a round.

The only defeat on his record ahead of bout number 18 was when he was stopped in round eight at the Kingdom Arena in Riyadh by British heavyweight Daniel Dubois. Before going on to wipe out Anthony Joshua, Triple D scored a career-defining KO victory over Hrgovic, giving the knockout artist a taste of his own medicine. DDD didn’t deck Filip in their battle for the IBO interim world heavyweight title, but he was beaten into submission, stopped by the doctor due to a deep cut suffered above the left eye.

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Adeleye Form and Figures

David Adeleye is the Londoner who starts as an underdog, knowing he has nothing to lose and everything to gain. His opponent was considered by many to be untouchable and destined for the very top of professional boxing, but his bubble burst when sharing a ring with Londoner Dubois. Triple D proved the best approach when facing Hrgovic is to fight fire with fire. Will Adeleye and his team follow that blueprint and throw caution to the wind? Armchair fans certainly hope that’s the case on Saturday.

Adeleye, known as Big D, stands at 6 feet 4 inches tall and holds a 15-fight professional boxing license with 14 wins and one defeat. It’s worth knowing Adeleye has claimed all but one of his wins inside the distance, beating Kamil Sokolowski at the famous York Hall, Bethnal Green, on the scorecards after six rounds. The only defeat on his CV was at the hands of Fabio Wardley, who used his big-game experience to score a stunning seventh-round TKO, winning the British, Commonwealth and European titles in the process.

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Hrgovic vs. Adeleye Predictions

Hrgovic vs Adeleye looks like a 50/50 shootout, certainly on paper. It’s rare for Hrgovic to face a fighter with a better knockout average than him, but the Croatian must prove he’s over that defeat to Dubois and has learned from the painful lessons dished out by Dynamite. I’m confident that he has and will return stronger. 

Back Hrgovic to win by KO/TKO in the opening six rounds of this contest, with these warriors going on the attack from the opening bell.

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How to Watch Hrgovic vs. Adeleye

• Location: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia 

• Date: Saturday, August 16

• Time: 2:30 PM ET

• Streaming: Live on DAZN