March Madness Final Four Odds and Predictions 2021
- With March Madness 2021 coming soon, we take a look at the schools with the best chances to make the Final Four!
- The last time a number one seed failed to qualify for the Final Four was 2011.
- The favorites to make the Final Four this year are Baylor, Gonzaga, Michigan, and Illinois!
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March Madness is coming and we’re taking a look at the schools that are the favorites to make it all the way to the Final Four! There will be one representative from each major region and this year is as competitive as ever. The 2021 Final Four is scheduled for Saturday, April 3rd, 2021. The event will be held at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis Indiana.
How does the Final Four work?
Should a team get through the first three rounds of the NCAA Tournament, they qualify for what is popularly known as the Final Four. The Final Four features the winners of each region (East, South, Midwest, and West), who compete against each other to determine who will fight for the NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament title.
How Often Do Number 1 Seeds Make the Final Four?
You don’t always want to bet on the favorite when it comes to March Madness. Due to the single-elimination nature of the tournament, you should be more diligent when tracking team and player performance to determine their likelihood of winning their match – regardless of seed.
You should, however, pick at least one Number 1 seed to make your Final Four. Why is that? Since 1985, a Number 1 seed has made the Final Four in 15 of the last 35 NCAA Tournaments. Two or more Number 1 seeds have made the Final Four in 18 of those 35 March Madness Tournaments!
What Is the Lowest Seed to Qualify for the Final Four?
Underdogs are empowered in March Madness more than any other major sports competition across the United States! In the history of the NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament, the lowest seed to make the Final Four is the 11 seed – this happened four times.
- LSU, 1986
- George Mason 2006
- VCU, 2011
- Loyola-Chicago, 2018
Which School Has Made the Most Final Four Appearances?
In terms of Final Four appearances, the University of North Carolina leads the pack. With 20 appearances in March Madness’s Final Four, the Tar Heels lead the pack Their conversion rate when reaching the Final Four isn’t great though, as they’ve won a National Championship six times out of their 20 Final Four appearances.
Who Is Projected to Make 2021 Final Four?
There are a number of schools that will be in the running to make the Final Four. When wagering on who will make the Final Four, keep in mind things like the relative strength of a team in their conference versus the region that they’ll be competing in. Bracket distribution will also factor into which teams have a chance to make the Final Four.
Baylor Bears 21-1 (13-1, 1st in Big 12)
— Baylor Basketball (@BaylorMBB) March 8, 2021
Baylor seems to be the new mainstays of March Madness in recent years. They’ve made the Final Four twice in their school’s history, but they haven’t made the Final Four since 1950! Ranked third in the country and first, in the Big 12, the Bears certainly have the talent to make the Final Four.
Since 2008, Baylor has made the March Madness Tournament eight times. Of those eight appearances, the Bears’ best finish was in 2010, where they lost in the Regional Final as the third seed. They’ll likely enter the NCAA Tournament as the top seed in their region, so their path to the Final Four is theoretically in their favor.
Baylor is a perimeter-oriented, offensive powerhouse. They are second in the country in field-goals made and first in the country in three-point field-goal percentage. There are questions about their versatility, but they’ve done nothing to suggest their shooting will fail them in the tournament.
Gonzaga Bulldogs 24-0 (15-0, 1st in WCC)
— Gonzaga Basketball (@ZagMBB) March 1, 2021
The Gonzaga Bulldogs have only missed March Madness five times since 1995. Playing in the WCC they’ve been the conference’s model team for almost three decades now. Unfortunately, the Bulldogs have only made the Final Four once in that span of time.
The Bulldogs saw their best March Madness Tournament finish in 2017 when they lost in the Final to North Carolina. Gonzaga is always a difficult team to rate, as they severely outclass the talent in the rest of their conference.
They are brilliant offensively, but should they come up against the country’s other powerhouse sides we’re not too sure of their success.
Michigan Wolverines 19-3 (14-3, 1st in Big Ten)
It may have been Senior Day a few days ago …
however … it is also a celebration of the PARENTS as well!
— Michigan Men’s Basketball (@umichbball) March 8, 2021
The Michigan Wolverines are a famous college basketball program with eight NCAA Final Four appearances. In those eight appearances, they won the national championship once in 1989 under head coach Steve Fisher.
Save for a cold spell between 1998 and 2008, the Wolverines have been a very consistent school in getting to the March Madness Tournament. In one of the country’s toughest conferences, a good performance in the regular season usually spells tournament success.
Head Coach Juwan Howard knows a little bit about National Championship success and his Wolverines look ready to make the leap this year. A strong and deliberate offensive team that makes its name on incredible defensive effort, Michigan has all the makings of a Final Four member.
Illinois Fighting Illini 20-6 (16-4, 2nd in Big Ten)
“Three more in the Big Ten Tournament, six more after that.”
— Illinois Basketball (@IlliniMBB) March 7, 2021
The Illinois Fighting Illini Men’s Basketball team saw their national success occur in the pre-tournament national championship era, where they won the title in 1915 and 1943. Since then, they’ve competed in five Final Fours and 31 NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament’s overall.
To make the tournament this year would be Illinois’ first appearance since 2013 under John Groce. Brad Underwood has taken his time building his program, now looking like one of the most intimidating offensive units in the country.
The Fighting Illini have shown the ability to score at will while also being capable of slowing the game down when they need to. They are in the top 25 in two-point field-goal percentage allowed in the country, owing to their two-way versatility. That versatility is essential for a team to find success in March Madness, making them an easy selection for the Final Four.
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Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
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